Ballmer unloads

From Good Morning Silicon Valley.

Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer last week sold 49.3 million shares in the company worth $1.3 billion, according to an SEC filing. The shares Ballmer sold amount to 12 percent of his stake in the world’s largest software maker, and still leaves him with a 4.2 percent stake, according to Reuters.

The timing, coinciding with high-profile product releases of the Kinect and Windows Phone 7 — which are now on sale in the United States — might be curious. But in a statement on Microsoft’s website, Ballmer cites tax planning and financial diversification as reasons for his first stock sale in seven years, and says he plans to sell up to 75 million shares by the end of the year. “Even though this is a personal financial matter, I want to be clear about this to avoid any confusion. I am excited about our new products and the potential for our technology to change people’s lives, and I remain fully committed to Microsoft and its success,” Ballmer said.

Tech industry veteran Don Dodge estimates that the move will save the outspoken CEO $100 million in capital gains taxes before they rise next year.

As the man said, a billion here and a billion there and pretty soon you’re into some serious money.

The Mac Apps store: a harbinger of … what?

This morning’s Observer column.

A couple of weeks ago, Apple announced some new products, including a fancy new lightweight laptop and the latest version of the OS X operating system. In the midst of all the techno-porn, however, Steve Jobs dropped a little bombshell: Apple is opening an online store to sell Mac apps, ie small programs akin to those sold for the iPhone and iPad.

So what? you say. And you may be right. But since Apple is now one of the biggest companies in the world (by market value), nothing that it announces will go unexamined. In the blogosphere, there has been much speculation about what the Mac app store portends.

Opinions vary from the bored to the apocalyptic…

Towards the intelligent use of human beings

Last week, Richard Susskind gave a very interesting talk in the Arcadia Seminar series. He’s the only lawyer I know who has a D.Phil in Artificial Intelligence and he has become very well known for his analysis of the impact that IT is having — and will continue to have — on the practice of law. In a way, his seminar title –“The End of Lawyers?” — sums it up. It sounds like a crude version of technological determinism, but it isn’t. The core of Susskind’s argument is the insight that while some of the things that lawyers — and legal firms — do requires great expertise, experience, creativity and judgement, much of what’s involved in the practice of law involves very routine processes which can be radically improved by the intelligent use of computing.

His approach involves analyzing legal work along a spectrum from “bespoke” (the crafting of unique legal solutions to new situations) to “commoditized” legal products and services (for example, conveyances in house sales). Everything to the right of ‘bespoke’ on his spectrum can be significantly assisted by the intelligent use of IT.

Susskind is a compelling and very polished speaker who kept his large audience enthralled. As Nancy Banks-Smith (the Guardian’s wonderful TV critic) might have put it, nobody slept at the back. He believes that legal practice can and must change for one simple reason: its intrinsic inefficiency makes it unsustainably expensive, which means that citizens cannot afford to access legal services even when they badly need them (which imposes losses on society: think of all the disputes that go unresolved, or the number of petty injustices that go unremedied every year), and because the cost of lawyering imposes ridiculous costs on business. The idea that legal firms can go on charging £600 an hour for routine stuff that is actually done by junior lawyers, or by computer-assisted paralegal staff, should be exposed for what it is: a professional racket.

One test of a good seminar paper is that it reverberates in ones mind long after the event has ended, and so it was with Richard Susskind’s talk. Although he was focussing only on legal firms, it seemed to me that the general thrust of his analysis applies to every organisation. Yesterday, I had a long conversation with my OU colleague, Tony Hirst, about the way our organisation goes about its business. As in any large institution, we spend a lot of time circulating drafts and commenting on them. But we do this by circulating the documents as email attachments. So our network and our email inboxes are clogged by thousands of identical documents whizzing around. This is daft because there is an obviously superior way of doing it — namely to have a single shared copy held in something like Google Docs where everyone involved can edit and comment.

Why don’t we do this? Mainly because we’re still operating with a hard-copy, print mindset. Once upon a time we sent one another typed drafts, so the university’s internal mail system resembled a freight-transportation network designed for shipping atoms (as Nicholas Negroponte would put it). The fact that we are now shipping bits ought to have caused us to rethink what we were doing, but it hasn’t. Instead we are just repeating in electronic form what we did with physical typescripts. And it’s daft.

Another process that happens in any large outfits (and especially in universities) is the organisation of meetings. Getting busy people together can be nightmarishly difficult. Or, rather, it is if you do it the way many organisations do it — by email. I’ve lost count of the number of interminable email exchanges I’ve been involved in where ten people try and agree on a date and time for a meeting, when the obvious way to do it is via an online polling system like that provided by Doodle.

But — as Tony pointed out yesterday — fixing meeting dates and times is only the tip of the iceberg. Committee meetings often involve the production and distribution of numerous documents — agendas, minutes, reports, discussion papers. There’s absolutely no reason why an organisation that operates with shared documents can’t use software to assemble the documentation needed for a meeting without putting the burden on an already-overloaded secretary who should really be doing only those things for which human judgement, tact and resourcefulness are required.

All of which suggests that legal firms are not the only ones that can use IT more intelligently.

Chatbot wears down proponents of anti-Science nonsense

Now here is an excellent use of technology.

Nigel Leck, a software developer by day, was tired of arguing with anti-science crackpots on Twitter. So, like any good programmer, he wrote a script to do it for him.

The result is the Twitter chatbot @AI_AGW. Its operation is fairly simple: Every five minutes, it searches twitter for several hundred set phrases that tend to correspond to any of the usual tired arguments about how global warming isn’t happening or humans aren’t responsible for it.

It then spits back at the twitterer who made that argument a canned response culled from a database of hundreds. The responses are matched to the argument in question — tweets about how Neptune is warming just like the earth, for example, are met with the appropriate links to scientific sources explaining why that hardly constitutes evidence that the source of global warming on earth is a warming sun.

I like this approach. It’s got lots of other applications. Now, let me see: where shall we start? There’s all that gibbering about how the bond markets will come for us if Osborne doesn’t slash public spending. And then there’s the bleating of the Irish government about how the country’s situation is “manageable”. And there’s the fantastical vapourings of the Intellectual Property lobbies…

Where the iPad comes into its own

As time has gone on, I’ve found that my iPad has a few really useful affordances. The biggest is the battery life — which means that I no longer have to cluster with other laptop users round the few available power sockets. So I now take it to every meeting where I’m likely to want to take notes. I’ve also managed to get the hang of the on-screen keyboard, so I can type reasonably quickly.

There are now tons of note-taking Apps for the device, and so far I’ve tried quite a few: Apple’s (relatively expensive) Pages App; DocsToGo; Mental Note; Dan Bricklin’s NoteTaker HD; and Simplenote. Of these, I found Simplenote to be the most useful, because it automatically syncs to all my other devices — which means that a note can be accessed from anywhere. A few weeks ago, for example, I had to give a talk at a symposium, but didn’t have time to prepare a presentation or even print a script. So in the venue car-park beforehand I jotted down some notes on my laptop using the JustNotes program (which syncs with Simplenote), and then used the synced version on my phone as an aide-memoire for the talk.

This week I was a speaker at a Cambridge symposium on “The Digital Revolution and its futures” and — as usual — took out the iPad to begin taking notes. Sitting behind me was Andrew Gruen, a Gates Scholar who is doing very interesting work on Citizen Journalism and who is also an iPad & Mac user. He tapped me on the shoulder and said “Have you heard of Soundnote?” When I looked blank, he said “Try it: it’s really cool”.

So I did. At first sight it looks like any other notetaking App. But it has one magical ingredient: it can record audio and sync the recording to the typed notes. In other words, it does much of what my Livescribe pen does, but with none of the associated gadgetry — and cost. The Livescribe pen retails at around £120, and then there’s the cost of the special notebooks (you can print your own special paper, but life’s too short for that) on top.

And the cost of Soundnote? Why £2.99. For some people — those whose work involves taking minutes of meetings, for example — it would justify the purchase of an iPad. If this isn’t a Killer App, then I don’t know what is.

There’s an informative review/description of Soundnote here.