Monday 21 February, 2022

The Boss

Imagine if your boss always looked at you like this. Well, mine does.


Quote of the Day

”Not in the clamour of the crowded street
Nor in the shouts and plaudits of the throng
But in ourselves, are triumph and defeat.”

  • Henry Wadsworth Longfellow

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Muddy Waters and The Rolling Stones | Baby Please Don’t Go | Live at the Checkerboard Lounge

Link

Chaotic and unforgettable.


Long Read of the Day

The German Bind

Nathan Gardels, the Editor of Noema magazine, has written an interesting essay about the standoff between Russia and the West. As I read it I kept thinking of Keynes’s famous 1919 polemic, The Economic Consequences of the Peace — in particular his insight into what the Allies’ determination to humiliate and punish Germany would do to that country.

Here’s the passage that caught my eye:

In 1996, well before Putin’s ascent to power, Alexander Lebed, a popular former Russian general and presidential candidate critical of the bibulous Boris Yeltsin, wrote an essay for my Global Viewpoint newspaper syndicate. Already then, the resentment at being played by those with the upper hand was gestating. As he framed the issue: “When politicians and military planners, who were so used to the lengthy ‘struggle of position’ against the USSR and the Warsaw Pact, found themselves in a very favorable position, it proved too difficult for them to give up the temptation to, finally, at long last, implement their former plans.”

For Lebed, this steady advance of a hostile military alliance into the space its own allied forces had just abandoned rubbed in the ignominy of defeat. “If this sense of loss and humiliation that comes with defeat is allowed to fester in the Russian mentality, it may lead to an inferiority complex that can only be overcome by gaining new victories, preferably over old rivals,” he warned, invoking the lesson of Hitler’s rise in the wake of Germany’s sense of humiliation after the Versailles Treaty that ended WWI. “Territories come and go,” Lebed wrote, “but humiliation of a nation’s dignity remains in the minds of the people. … It injects the virus of vengeance into the defeated nation.”

Presciently, he went on: “I doubt very much that pushing Russia to the backyard of Europe will increase the sense of stability and certainty, or make Russia more democratic and predictable. This approach by the West is destined, at best, to place both sides peering at each other suspiciously from across the fence, fists in our pockets.” And so it has.

Perhaps miscalculating, Putin seems to have sensed a weakness in the West relative to Russian strength and saw a chance to finally push back. He took his fists out of his pockets and moved massive military force to the Ukrainian border, in the process achieving the very opposite of his aim by fortifying the resolve of an alliance that was on its way to obsolescence.

Talk about unintended consequences.


DIY surveillance est arrivé

Yesterday’s Observer column:

Once upon a time, intensive surveillance was a prerogative of states. After the arrival of the internet, and especially the rise of companies such as Google and Facebook, ISPs (internet service providers) and mobile networks, it became a prerogative shared between the state and private companies – corporations that log everything you do online. Surveillance became a kind of public-private partnership. The companies do much of the work and readily cooperate with security agencies when they come armed with a warrant.

Way back in 2009 the German Green politician Malte Spitz went to court to obtain the data that his mobile phone operator, Deutsche Telekom, held on him and then collaborated with the newspaper Die Zeit to analyse and visualise it. What emerged was a remarkably detailed timeline of his daily life, a timeline that would have been readily available to state authorities if they had come for it with appropriate legal authorisation.

But in internet time 2009 was aeons ago. Now, intensive surveillance is available to anyone. And you don’t have to be a tech wizard to do it…


Brexit = ‘buy from Europe’

Coruscating column by Simon Jenkins.

A massacre is occurring. More than 35,000 healthy British pigs have been slaughtered and buried on farms since September, with an estimated 200,000 languishing in a backlog.

The reason is that abattoirs lack the staff to process them, largely due to Britain’s exit from the pan-European labour market. In October, the environment department offered 800 six-month visas for foreign butchers. But it insisted they go through its laborious scheme for seasonal workers: barely 100 turned up. Whitehall also refuses to curb imports of European pork – which now makes up 60% of the UK market and rising. To the National Pig Association, Brexit means buy from Europe.

And, later,

Leaving the EU had some arguments for it. Leaving the single market had none. “Soft” Brexit within that market would have been far been easier to negotiate. Leaving it has meant wrecked supply chains and terminated scientific collaboration. It has undermined recruitment patterns and destabilised Northern Ireland. It has crippled the fish industry and impeded billions of pounds of UK trade. Its consequences have wavered between nuisance and disaster.

So is Brexit a ‘success disaster’? Actually no: a success disaster is where something is so successful that it overwhelms its creator. Brexit is just a disaster.


My commonplace booklet

What it’s like having the Russian army around Interesting Twitter thread. Impossible to verify, though. Link


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DIY surveillance *est arrivé*

This morning’s Observer column:

Once upon a time, intensive surveillance was a prerogative of states. After the arrival of the internet, and especially the rise of companies such as Google and Facebook, ISPs (internet service providers) and mobile networks, it became a prerogative shared between the state and private companies – corporations that log everything you do online. Surveillance became a kind of public-private partnership. The companies do much of the work and readily cooperate with security agencies when they come armed with a warrant.

Way back in 2009 the German Green politician Malte Spitz went to court to obtain the data that his mobile phone operator, Deutsche Telekom, held on him and then collaborated with the newspaper Die Zeit to analyse and visualise it. What emerged was a remarkably detailed timeline of his daily life, a timeline that would have been readily available to state authorities if they had come for it with appropriate legal authorisation.

But in internet time 2009 was aeons ago. Now, intensive surveillance is available to anyone. And you don’t have to be a tech wizard to do it…

Read on

Friday 18 February, 2022

Crocuses

Seen on a walk yesterday.


Quote of the Day

“The knives of jealousy are honed on details”

  • Ruth Rendell

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Richard Strauss | Four Last Songs | TrV 296 – 4 | Jesse Norman

Link

I like all four, but this one is my favourite.


Long Read of the Day

The myth of tech exceptionalism

Wonderfully acute essay by Yaël Eisenstat and Nils Gilman in Noema magazine.

Silicon Valley in recent decades has managed to build an anti-regulatory fortress around itself by promoting the myth — rarely stated plainly, but widely believed by tech practitioners — that “tech” is somehow fundamentally different from every other industry that has come before. It is different, the myth says, because it is inherently well-intentioned and will produce not just new but previously unthinkable products. Any micro-level harm — whether to an individual, a vulnerable community, even an entire country — is by this logic deemed a worthwhile trade-off for the society-shifting, macro-level “good.”

This argument, properly labelled “tech exceptionalism,” is rooted in tech leaders’ ideological view both of themselves and government. This ideology contributes to the belief that those who choose to classify themselves as “tech companies” deserve a different set of rules and responsibilities than the rest of private industry.

Exceptionalism is a strategy for avoiding regulation and it’s based on two rhetorical strategies.

  1. Whatever harms technology creates, it is more than outweighed by the good in the present.

  2. The claim that hypothetical future innovations will more than offset any harms of today’s technology.

This fine piece provides a useful antidote to tech BS, and is worth your time.


How many words does it take to make a mistake? 

Characteristically thoughtful LRB essay by Will Davies on the mechanisation of learning.

In the utopia sold by the EdTech industry (the companies that provide platforms and software for online learning), pupils are guided and assessed continuously. When one task is completed correctly, the next begins, as in a computer game; meanwhile the platform providers are scraping and analysing data from the actions of millions of children. In this behaviourist set-up, teachers become more like coaches: they assist and motivate individual ‘learners’, but are no longer so important to the provision of education. And since it is no longer the sole responsibility of teachers or schools to deliver the curriculum, it becomes more centralised – the latest front in a forty-year battle to wrest control from the hands of teachers and local authorities.

Among other things, the pandemic seems to have speeded up the neoliberal conquest of education.


My commonplace booklet

The best riposte to those who are rude to, and dismissive of, people who believe in fairies is that since 1970 particle physicists — those archetypal sober citizens — have been devout believers in the existence of neutrinos — subatomic particles that are so small that they can pass right through the earth without pausing.

Not only do physicists believe in these blighters, but they are now claiming to be able to weigh them. Exhibit A is this article, ”How Light is a Neutrino?”, which has appeared in Nature, no less. It doesn’t actually come up with an answer, though — just says that the latest effort to weigh the elusive particle produces a more precise estimate of its upper limit. And apparently this is progress.


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Thursday 17 February, 2022

PJ O’Rourke RIP

Even when one disagreed with him about politics (which I certainly did), he was great fun and often a joy to read.

The NYT ran a good Obit. Sample:

He was a proud conservative Republican — one of his books was called “Republican Party Reptile: The Confessions, Adventures, Essays and (Other) Outrages of P.J. O’Rourke” — but he was widely admired by readers of many stripes because of his fearless style and his willingness to mock just about anyone who deserved it, including himself. In “Republican Party Reptile” he recalled his youthful flirtation with Mao Zedong.

“But I couldn’t stay a Maoist forever,” he wrote. “I got too fat to wear bell-bottoms. And I realized that communism meant giving my golf clubs to a family in Zaire.”

In 2010, The New York Times invited him and assorted other prominent people to define “Republican” and “Democrat.” He offered this:

“The Democrats are the party that says government will make you smarter, taller, richer and remove the crab grass on your lawn. The Republicans are the party that says government doesn’t work and then get elected and prove it.”

They (the Republicans) don’t make them like that any more.


Quote of the Day

”A spin with P. J. O’Rourke is like a ride in the back of an old pickup over unpaved roads. You get where you’re going fast, with exhilarating views but not without a few bruises.”

  • Signe Wilkinson, reviewing PJ’s Parliament of Whores in the New York Times.

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Peter Gabriel and Kate Bush | Don’t Give Up

Link

Extraordinary duet. It’s had more than 40m views on YouTube, so they’re doing something right.


An obituary for coal

Every year at this time, subscribers to The Economist (of whom I’m one) get sent a copy of The World Ahead — supposedly looking forward to the coming year.

Given that 2022 is the year when burning coal in a domestic fire will be outlawed, Anne Wroe, the Economist‘s Obituaries editor, contributed “Ashes to Ashes”, an elegant Obituary for the natural resource that made Britain great. I read it aloud to a friend who was busy doing something else at the time and thought that readers who are not Economist subscribers might enjoy it. So here it is:

Link


Everything you need to know about that Andrew Windsor business

Can’t imagine anyone bettering this dispatch in yesterday’s edition of Politico’s London Playbook newsletter.

SHAMING OF PRINCE ANDREW

ROYAL WRONG ‘UN: Queen Elizabeth II will help her son Prince Andrew pay an out-of-court settlement of more than £12 million to a woman who accused him of raping her when she was a child, in exchange for her silence and to prevent him from facing a jury trial. The sordid deal is the final disgrace for the queen’s third child and ends his prospect of ever salvaging his reputation or returning to public life. It raises searching questions about why Britain’s monarch is funding a settlement that saves Andrew from having to defend himself against Virginia Giuffre’s sexual abuse allegations in court. Andrew always claimed he had never met Giuffre and only weeks ago vowed to prove his innocence at a trial. Instead, he got his mum to pay her off. There is also the grim reality that since the queen, Andrew and the royal family derive much, if not all, of their wealth from the British public, it is essentially us who are paying for Andrew to buy his escape from justice. All in all, Tuesday was probably the most humiliating and damaging day for the royals in their recent history.

OUR NOBLE QUEEN: The story splashes most of today’s newspaper front pages. The Telegraph’s Victoria Ward and Josie Ensor report the queen will “partly fund” the settlement, which they are told “exceeds £12 million.” They say the terms of the deal require both Andrew and Giuffre not to discuss the case or the settlement in public. The Times’ Charlotte Wace, Will Pavia, Jonathan Ames and Mario Ledwith hear Andrew settled after pressure from Prince Charles as the case threatened to overshadow this year’s Platinum Jubilee. Playbook is not sure the queen paying off an alleged sexual abuse victim so she can have a party is as good a look as the royals think. The Sun’s Tom Wells say Andrew will never return to the front line of public life. The Mail calls it his “final humiliation.”


Long Read of the Day

Peter Thiel, the Right’s Would-Be Kingmaker

Long, long piece by Ryan Mac and Lisa Lerer in the New York Times on the current political plans of Silicon Valley’s most disruptive libertarian. There’s no good news in it, except for Republican extremists and maybe Trump supporters. And it provides further confirmation of the extent to which dark money and personal wealth are destroying American democracy.


Realism about Quantum computing

Given that our entire digital world increasingly depends on strong and virtually unbreakable encryption, there have been lots of doomsday conjectures about the computational power that will supposedly be provided by ‘quantum’ computers — i.e. those that work with Qubits rather than binary bits. The belief is that quantum machines will be so powerful that they will do in minutes calculations that would take conventional machines millions of years.

This interesting paper seems to throw cold water on this. Here’s the Abstract:

Note the number of physical Qubits required: 317 million to break the Bitcoin encryption in a time period small enough to be operationally useful.

Reality check: At the moment, the biggest working quantum computer (IBM’s) has the princely number of 127 physical Qubits.

Tentative conclusion: Conventional encryption looks a good bet for the time being.


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Wednesday 16 February, 2022

Harbingers of Spring?

Seen on a woodland walk the other day.


Quote of the Day

”Frankly, I’d like to see the government get out of the war altogether and leave the whole field to private industry.”

  • Milo Minderbinder in Catch 22

Drone manufacturers have the same idea.


Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Eels | Mr E’s Beautiful Blues

Link


Long Read of the Day

The case for defending Ukraine

A counterweight by Natia Seskuria to the essay I posted yesterday asking (sceptically) why the US was so bothered about Ukraine and Putin. Ms Seskuria is an Associate Fellow at the British Royal United Services Institute (RUSI). Since the tensions appear to be easing as I write this (late Tuesday evening), maybe all this stuff will be moot in a week. But here’s a sample.

The current crisis is not only about Ukraine’s sovereignty. It is about protecting the values that the U.S. stands for against Russian attempts to erase the rules-based international order. By issuing non-starter ultimatums on the U.S. and its allies—demanding that they take Russia’s so-called security concerns into consideration and change long-standing NATO policies—Russia is directly challenging America’s influence in Europe.

Until now, the West has largely underestimated or turned a blind eye towards the Kremlin’s malign activities. In many instances this approach has been motivated by the economic benefits of cooperation with Russia: the German government is still reluctant to scrap the Nord Stream 2 pipeline project, despite Russia’s use of its energy resources as a geopolitical weapon. American leaders have done little better. Barack Obama held off on providing some lethal weapons to Ukraine to avoid provoking Putin. Although his successor Donald Trump ultimately authorized the purchase of anti-tank Javelin missiles to Ukraine and Georgia, his ambiguity and reluctance to criticize Putin further encouraged the Kremlin to play the game by its own rules.

Interesting piece but basically it’s the same argument ever since Chamberlain signed the deal with Hitler about Czechoslovakia. Giving in to bullies only encourages them.


Happy Valentine’s Day from Facebook. Here’s a Photo of You and Your Ex

Lovely piece by Emily Kling.

Happy Valentine’s Day! Just logging in for a quick scroll? Take your time.

You’re not on here as much as you used to be. Still, we’ll never forget you. In fact, we at Facebook love celebrating the moments and people you’ve worked really hard to forget. So now that you’re here, please enjoy this picture of you and your ex-boyfriend from five years ago.

You really loved that wine bar. Look at how happy you were. And is it just us or is your body snatched in this pic? Do you still own that blouse? Oh, right, it doesn’t fit anymore. Just like your ex, it’s gone now.

What happened anyway? I mean, we’re Facebook; we, of course, know what happened. We’ve read the private messages between your ex-boyfriend and your best friend. Pretty steamy. But also, what happened to you? Bummer that you never fully moved on.

Lovely satire. Do read the whole thing. And then delete your account.


How a journalist used Apple AirTags, Tiles and a GPS tracker to watch her husband’s every move

(with his permission, btw)

Kashmir Hill is a terrific journalist who has been covering the tech industry for a long time. A few years she conducted a remarkable experiment to see whether she could live a normal life without using the services of the tech giants. You can guess the result, but it made an interesting and sobering story.

Her latest investigation involved putting various consumer tracking devices on her long-suffering husband to see how effectively he could be tracked.

In mid-January, my husband and I were having an argument. Our 1-year-old had just tested positive for Covid-19 and was occasionally grunting between breaths. I called urgent care and was told we should take her to the emergency room. But, because I had been up all night with her, I was too exhausted to drive.

“I’m worried,” I told my husband. “I want you to take her to the hospital.”

“Doctors always tell us to take the baby to the E.R. whenever we call about anything,” he replied, exasperated. (This was true.) “She is fine. She is eating and playing and happy. This is not an emergency.”

He eventually caved and set out for the hospital a half-hour away. Knowing he was already annoyed by me, I did not want to pepper him with questions about how it was going.

Instead, I turned to the location-monitoring devices that I had secretly stashed in our car a week earlier.

I put a quarter-sized Apple AirTag in a seat pocket; a flat, credit card-shaped Bluetooth tracker made by Tile in a dashboard pocket; and a hockey-puck-like GPS tracker from a company called LandAirSea in the glove compartment.

It’s a fascinating story, well told. And sobering if you’ve bought Tiles or AirTags. I have one of the latter, but it’s only attached to my house keys. (Thinks) Hmmm… But since I never leave home without my keys doesn’t that mean…?


My commonplace booklet

  • Nissan is going to stop making internal combustion engines (ICEs) Link. I’m not surprised. With the Nissan Leaf they were early into the EV game.

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Tuesday 15 February, 2022

The selfie is older than you think

The era of the selfie didn’t begin with smartphones. Here are two fashionable dames posing against a background of a city devastated by an earthquake and in flames. In 1906.


So why exactly is the US willing to risk a nuclear war over Ukraine?

This piece on Yascha Mounk’s Persuasion blog, by ‘Herbert Reed’ (a pseudonym for a “former US State Department official”) makes sense, at least to me. Here’s the bit that particularly struck a chord.

Ukraine matters a lot more to neighboring Russia than it does to the faraway United States. Russians have long been complaining about Ukraine’s bid to join NATO and its defense ties with the West. As Vladimir Putin has made clear, Russia sees the issue of Ukraine as absolutely existential. It is not hard to understand why: Ukraine is Russia’s neighbor and deeply intertwined with Russian history. If Russia threatened to form a military alliance with Mexico, the United States would probably have a similarly fierce reaction.

So what is the United States defending at such great risk in Ukraine? Do most Americans have any idea? There is no doubt Russian President Vladimir Putin is a bully, but preventing bullying is not a U.S. national security interest. According to Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman, America “will not allow anyone to slam closed NATO’s ‘Open Door’ policy.” In other words, America is defending the right of Ukraine to join an alliance of its choosing—even though we currently have no plans to even start the process of admitting Ukraine to NATO. So, in essence, to defend the abstract right of a country few Americans care about to join an alliance that has no intention of admitting it, the United States is willing to risk an economic calamity and war with a nuclear power. That certainly doesn’t sound like a foreign policy for the middle class.

Indeed, the indifference of the American middle class toward Ukraine shows a certain strategic rationality that the foreign policy elite seem to lack. Ukraine, after all, is no geopolitical prize. The last time Moscow controlled Ukraine, the Soviet Union conspicuously failed to win the Cold War. This time, the effort to occupy or control a Ukraine that has become economically dysfunctional, endemically corrupt and deeply anti-Russian would substantially weaken Russia.

This brings two things to (my) mind: (i) NATO’s foolish expansion eastwards (under US pressure) after the collapse of the USSR in 1989; and (ii) the equally-crazed determination to invade IRAQ in 2003.

And I’ve yet to see a Western government publish a candid assessment of the economic and other chaos that a new war would bring.


Quote of the Day

”There are one hundred and ninety-three living species of monkeys and apes. One hundred and ninety-two of them are covered with hair. The exception is a naked ape self-named Homo sapiens.”

  • Desmond Morris

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

The Gartan Mother’s Lullaby | The Choral Scholars of University College Dublin

Link

I suppose one shouldn’t highlight lullabies in the morning. But then some readers may work the night shift.


Long Read of the Day

Getting to Yes

Terrific New Yorker essay by Merve Emre on “the seductions of Ulysses” which is hopefully not paywalled.

“Ulysses” is all about wandering, of course, and about the loneliness that attends it. While running errands that same morning, Leopold Bloom summons a memory of his wife, Molly, thrusting into his mouth a crushed seedcake on the day he proposed to her: “I lay, full lips open, kissed her mouth. Yum. Softly she gave me in my mouth the seedcake warm and chewed. Mawkish pulp her mouth had mumbled sweet and sour with spittle. Joy: I ate it: Joy.” Yet the sweetness of his memory is soured by a sudden recollection. This is the day, he suspects, that Molly is going to have sex with the businessman Blazes Boylan, the “worst man in Dublin.” Bloom is adrift from his wife, adrift from his past self, and alone with his memory—just as readers, devouring the novel with pleasure, look up to realize that they are alone and adrift on its thrashing sea of references. “The anxiety which ‘Ulysses’ massively, encyclopedically struggles to transcend,” [the critic] Bersani writes, “is that of disconnectedness”—the “traumatic seductions” of desiring to read all one would have to read to master those references. How many people have read not just Homer, Dante, Shakespeare, Sterne, Fielding, Blake, Goethe, Wilde, and Yeats but also Irish, Indian, and Jewish folklore? How many are proficient in French, German, Spanish, Hebrew, Greek, and Latin? Whom do you share these connections with?

Answer: Fellow Joyceans, I suppose, of whom there are an awful lot.

Great essay, which ventures into territory that many literary scholars might tactfully avoid.


Why Proust was right

A nice little essay about memory by Peter Hitchins in The Lamp Magazine. He had no madelaines as a lad but…

The smell of really good coffee will always evoke my first visit to Paris, by train and boat, aboard the vanished Golden Arrow Express. Just the hint of it brings back the freezing day, the bare officious customs shed at Calais, and my family picking our way worryingly across the tracks (this was never allowed in Britain in those days). Then came the most delicious meal I had ever eaten ending with actual real coffee, as we rumbled across northern France. I also especially recall one of those enormous black French steam locomotives, like prehistoric monsters, which emitted an incongruous thin “peeeep!” like a bird startled on a pond. That France, now so easily recalled, has wholly vanished since.

It has, but in the case of the trains, that peeeping steam-belching locomotive has been replaced by the TGV, and a damn good thing that is too. Still, this is a nice piece.


My commonplace booklet

The changing room illusion

Try it. And then feel as embarrassed as I did. Makes you realise why eyewitness accounts can be unreliable. Link


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Monday 14 February, 2022

Monday 14 February, 2022

We went to a friend’s for dinner on Friday evening and discovered their cat sitting mesmerised by the flames in their woodburner, like a small child watching the flickering images on a TV. Wonderful moment.


Quote of the Day

”It was almost impossible to persuade Number 10, in particular, to treat the devolved governments as though they were grown-up governments with their own democratic legitimacy.”

  • Philip Rycroft, Permanent Secretary at the Department for Exiting the European Union. (From the UKICE Brexit Witness Archive.)

Surprise, surprise. I’ve always thought that the UK is the most pathologically centralised country in Europe, perhaps even more than France.


Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Paul Simon – Under African Skies (from The Concert in Hyde Park)

Link


Long Read of the Day

Data Is Not The New Oil

Nice essay by Dave Birch (Whom God Preserve) demolishing a popular but misleading metaphor and suggesting a better one: data is the new plutonium. He explores the implications of taking that view — which provides an interesting perspective and explains why this is worth your time.


Computers can write their own code. So are programmers now obsolete?

Yesterday’s Observer column:

I studied engineering at university and, like most of my contemporaries, found that I sometimes needed to write computer programs to do certain kinds of calculations. These pieces of utilitarian software were written in languages now regarded as the programming equivalent of Latin – Fortran, Algol and Pascal – and what I learned from the experience was that I was not a born hacker. The software I wrote was clumsy and inefficient and more talented programmers would look at it and roll their eyes, much as Rory McIlroy might do if required to play a round with an 18-handicap golfer. But it did the job and in that sense was, in the laconic phrase sometimes used by the great computer scientist Roger Needham, “good enough for government work”. And what I took away from the experience was a lifelong respect for programmers who can write elegant, efficient code. Anyone who thinks programming is easy has never done it.

All of which goes to explain why I sat up when, last year, someone realised that Codex, an offspring of GPT-3, a large neural network trained on vast troves of text gathered from the web that could generate plausible English text, could write apps, ie, short computer programs…

Read on


Johnson, Starmer and ‘swiftboating’

My favourite podcast, Talking Politics is winding down, which is a pity but understandable when one knows the toll that six years of producing original thinking every week about British and international politics has taken on David Runciman, Helen Thompson and the show’s producer Catherine Carr. In that time they provided a vivid illustration of how podcasting is a medium capable of providing a ‘second draft of history’ with a wider intellectual bandwidth than traditional broadcast media can provide.

On last week’s episode, which was about ‘The meaning of Boris Johnson’, Chris Brooke made an interesting observation about Johnson’s weird attempt to smear the Labour leader, Keir Starmer, with a vicious and false accusation that he had failed to prosecute Jimmy Savile, the notorious long-term paedophile. (It was true that the Crown Prosecution Service failed to prosecute Savile, but Starmer had not been the head of the service at the time when that non-decision was made.)

Most people interpreted Johnson’s smear as evidence of his desperation. But Chris saw an interesting parallel from ages ago in the so-called “swiftboating” of John Kerry, the Democratic candidate for the US presidency in 2004.

The object of the exercise was to undermine Kerry’s record as a much-decorated war hero for his service in the Vietnam war, and it clearly played a role in Kerry’s failure to win the election. The motivation behind the ‘Swiftboat’ campaign seems to have been Republican fears that George W. Bush’s dodgy military ‘experience’ (which consisted of a relaxed period in the Texas National Guard) didn’t exactly look impressive when compared with Kerry’s distinguished military record. So one can interpret it as a successful attempt to ‘cancel’ a perceived asset of his campaign for the presidency.

Turning back to Johnson’s smear… Starmer is not the most exciting of political leaders, but compared with Johnson he has an unquestionably distinguished record of public service. He is also manifestly a more serious and adult figure than the chaotic clown currently occupying 10 Downing Street. Associating him (wrongly) with the Savile scandal serves the purpose of mitigating these natural advantages over Johnson, in the sure knowledge that such smears ‘stick’ in a polaraised political environment.

They sure do. Evidence of that was provided on February 7 when, as the Guardian reported,

On Monday, Starmer and the shadow foreign secretary, David Lammy, had to be bundled into a police car after anti-vax protesters surrounded him near parliament with shouts of “traitor” and “Jimmy Savile”. One witness said a protester carried a hangman’s noose prop, which another protester had joked was for Starmer.

And yesterday, the Guardian reported:

The Metropolitan Police is investigating death threats against Keir Starmer made in the wake of Boris Johnson’s accusation that he “failed to prosecute” Jimmy Savile.

A cache of evidence documenting the threats was sent to Scotland Yard on Friday afternoon, including a number of apparently identifiable users on the messaging app Telegram who called for the Labour party leader to be hanged or “executed”.

The Centre for Countering Digital Hate (CCDH), which seeks to disrupt online hate, sent the material to the Met after unearthing threats to life against a named individual.


The uses and abuses of hype

The five Levels of Hype

This illustration is the centrepiece of an illuminating article by Johannes Klingebiel. One cannot study the contemporary tech industry without understanding the role that hype plays in it. I’ve often found the Gartner Hype Cycle useful in framing discussions about a particular technology, but its limitation is that it’s too granular sometimes. Klingebiel’s approach provides more of a helicopter view.

And hype, just like investment bubbles, has its uses, as Klingebiel observes:

Hype is an interesting thing. It‘s rightfully often spurred as misleading bullshit or ignorant boosterism but it also has its uses. In short: when it comes to creating a new technology you need to sell a vision to attract the resources you need (people, investment, etc.). Hype can also act as glue. At its best, it can create a shared vision pulling the actors in the same direction and thus creating a self-fulfilling prophecy.

h/t to Andrew Curry (Whom God Preserve) for alerting me to it.


My commonplace booklet

Anand Menon’s Gresham College lecture on what we’ve learned so far from Brexit. As someone who thought he knew a lot about this, I found it really illuminating and an hour well spent. Link


Friday 11 February, 2022

Dreaming of Provence

We’re determined (well,hoping) to make it back there this summer.


Quote of the Day

”A cucumber should be well sliced, and dressed with pepper and vinegar, and then thrown out, as good for nothing.”

  • Samuel Johnson

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Chet Atkins | Black Mountain Rag

Link


Long Read of the Day

What Will It Take to Resuscitate American Democracy?

This essay by Stephen Marche is really a Long Read for a whole weekend!

Any American who can read knows that democracy is in crisis. The US government increasingly struggles to fulfil its most basic tasks, like guaranteeing the debt, passing budgets or confirming the diplomatic corps. Meanwhile armed groups of insurrectionists, like the one that stormed the US Capitol just over a year ago, spread incoherence. Think tanks on the right and universities on the left still debate policies like the tax rate or parental leave but they’re playacting by this point, whether they know it or not. They distract themselves with antiquities while the temple collapses around their shoulders. The questions have become much more basic than abstruse policy. Will democracy survive? How to keep America’s institutions alive?

Future historians will see a great irony in the intellectual history of our moment. Supposedly, we live in an era of wokeness. The misnomer could hardly be more total. The United States is sleepwalking to its end.

Marche is a novelist, essayist, commentator and the author of half a dozen books, including The Unmade Bed: The Messy Truth About Men and Women in the Twenty-First Century (2016) and The Hunger of the Wolf (2015). He’s currently working on a book about the possibility of a second civil war in the US which will be published by Simon and Schuster so — not surprisingly — the tone of the piece is a bit apocalyptic. Maybe that comes from being a novelist. At times the piece reminded me of the directness of Kim Stanley Robinson’s approach to the climate crisis. Here’s the outline of his argument:

  1. For conservative intellectuals, “the slip into dreams came over a decade ago, in 2008. The reason behind their collapse was simple. They were wrong about everything”.
  2. The failures of left-wing thinkers “are more severe than the failures on the right. The also started in 2008 and “much of the left doesn’t know it’s failed”.

Hope you find it as striking as I did.


What the Canadian Truckers Want

If you’re puzzled by the truckers’ protest, then this is illuminating. I haven’t been paying much attention to it, and have therefore been ingesting the mainstream media’s reporting of it. This is a piece by a reporter who took the trouble to talk to some of the protesters.


Virginia Woolf: cook?

My observation in Tuesday’s edition that

the obvious explanation for Woolf’s ignorance [about beouf en daube], of course, is that she never appears to have done any cooking herself. At any rate her diaries are full of exasperated entries about the difficulties she has with her cook(s)

attracted the attention of Sheila Hayman (Whom God Preserve), from whom Nothing is Hidden. She pointed me to Rachel Cooke’s 2014 Guardian review of The Bloomsbury Cookbook  by Jans Ondaatje Rolls, a compendium of recipes and food-related paintings, prose and gossip starring Woolf and all the rest of the Bloomsbury crowd.

This contains fragments of maddening information, such as that Woolf “once mistakenly baked her wedding ring into a suet pudding”, and that “Woolf was a keen baker; she was also devoted to bottling and pickling”.

But the bit that really caught my eye was this:

We are what we eat. When Clive Bell’s waistcoat button flew across the room during a society piano recital in 1923, it was a sign he’d been enjoying the work of his wife Vanessa’s cook, Grace Huggens, just a little too much. But his real appetite, you gather, was for life; the humiliation, as Virginia Woolf put it, “brushed him only slightly”, and his spirits remained “superb” even as his waistband groaned.

Intrigued by this, I dug out my copy of VW’s Diaries for the relevant year (in the Penguin edition edited by Julian Bell) but could find no reference to this intriguing event (though Clive figures extensively in the year’s entries), and the index contains no mention of Grace Huggens). Which of course makes me wonder where this story comes from. But it also, dammit, caused me to spend (waste?) a couple of hours re-reading the diary, which I’ve always found addictive. Sigh.


My commonplace booklet

  • Geomagnetic Storm Destroys 40 New SpaceX Satellites in Orbit

Over the past three years, SpaceX has deployed thousands of satellites into low-Earth orbit as part of its business to beam high-speed internet service from space. But the company’s latest deployment of 49 new satellites after a Feb. 3 launch did not go as planned.

As a consequence of a geomagnetic storm triggered by a recent outburst of the sun, up to 40 of 49 newly launched Starlink satellites have been knocked out of commission. They are in the process of re-entering Earth’s atmosphere, where they will be incinerated.

Hmmm… Divine intervention? SpaceX is Elon Musk’s company. Perhaps the Almighty is pissed off by his fatuous claims about the imminence of Full Self Driving.

Thanks to Alina Utrata for the Link.


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Thursday 10 February, 2022

The Holy Wall?


Quote of the Day

“The battlefield of Cold War 2 extends far beyond the realm of missiles and ships. At its core, this is a struggle not over control of territory but over which set of institutions and ideas will guide the course of the world’s development. And on the economic, technological, cultural, and diplomatic fronts, the U.S. is somewhat asleep at the wheel.”


Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Sony Terry and Brownie McGee | Bring it on home to me

Link

I once heard them do this live. Unforgettable.


Long Read of the Day

The Big Short of Streaming

by Damon Krukowski

It’s  quite a short Long Read (for a change), but very efficient at getting its message across — which is that Spotify is a tech company trying to pass itself off as part of the music industry.

Nicely done.


Facebook is learning the painful lesson it taught print journalism

Good OpEd by Megan McArdle in The Washington Post. The lesson: never build your house on someone else’s land. Which is what mainstream media learned when they decided that they had to be on Facebook.

In 2015, some professors at Virginia’s Sweet Briar College faced an unusual problem. Through the college, they had purchased homes on campus. The land underneath them, however, was still owned by their employer. And now the college was closing, and presumably selling the campus to someone who might want to use that land for something else.

Happily, Sweet Briar was rescued at the last minute by its alumnae. But the financial cavalry don’t always ride to the rescue just in time, so the plight of the professors nonetheless stands as a vivid example of a wise business adage: “Never build your house on someone else’s land.”

For years, Facebook has been teaching that lesson to businesses that built their strategies around the platform. And now Facebook is itself getting schooled, which is why I bring this up.

Meta, Facebook’s parent company, just had a truly horrific earnings call…

Great piece.

When, in 2012, Zuckerberg decided to do a massive pivot and orient his company totally towards the smartphone, he was widely hailed — in Silicon Valley and by the commentariat — as a genius in the Bill Gates mould. (People saw echoes from the way Gates pivoted Microsoft in the mid-1990s to focus on the Internet once he perceived the extent of the threat that Netscape represented for Microsoft.) But Facebook didn’t own the smartphone — Apple and Google did with iOS and Android, respectively. So you could interpret Zuckerberg’s new pivot to the so-called Metaverse as determination to own the next iteration of the tech world so that anyone who wants to play in it has to do so on his terms — and at their own peril).


My commonplace booklet

In case you’re wondering how Julian Assange can pay his (whopping) legal bills, here’s how, courtesy of Azeem Azhar:

AssangeDAO, a decentralised autonomous organisation set up to raise money to cover the fees and publicity campaigns towards Julian Assange’s release, collected over $20 million in three days. As of writing this, the campaign has raised 16427.8 ETH or just over $50 million. This is a fascinating act of political subversion—worth following. Source: Wikileaks

Footnote. Puzzled by the DAO idea? Here’s Wikipedia on the subject:

A decentralized autonomous organization (DAO), sometimes called a decentralized autonomous corporation (DAC), is an organization represented by rules encoded as a computer program that is transparent, controlled by the organization members and not influenced by a central government. A DAO’s financial transaction record and program rules are maintained on a blockchain. The precise legal status of this type of business organization is unclear.

You bet it is.


This Blog is also available as a daily email. If you think that might suit you better, why not subscribe? One email a day, Monday through Friday, delivered to your inbox. It’s free, and you can always unsubscribe if you conclude your inbox is full enough already!


 

Wednesday 9 February, 2021

Signs of Life

Last year we bought a young cherry tree to replace an acer that had died in the first year of the pandeic, possibly because we hadn’t reckoned with the very dry Spring. So we have and watched over its successor like a pair of anxious parents. Yesterday morning I went out to check on it and photographed the top of one of its branches, relieved by the realisation that it is clearly ok.

Later, looking again at the photograph, I find myself marvelling at how good the camera in the iPhone 11 is. I’m a serious photographer and usually bring a Leica with me when we go walking. But, even then, I sometimes find that the iPhone produces better pictures. And, of course, the old adage — that the best camera is always the one you happen to have with you — applies with increasing force. Apple’s decision to pour astonishing amounts of resource and technical talent into the iPhone camera has clearly paid off.


Quote of the Day

The Prime Minister made much the same false statement to parliament on 24 Nov, 5 Jan, 12 Jan and 2 Feb. @FullFact have repeatedly requested a correction and the Office for Statistics Regulation have written to his office to ask him to stop. The claim is important in its own right (it’s that there are hundreds of thousands more people in employment now than before the pandemic; in fact there are hundreds of thousands less) but the principle is important too. You can be thrown out of the House of Commons for accusing someone of lying – but not, it seems, for repeatedly making untrue statements?

Tim Harford, on his blog


Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Chet Atkins and Mark Knopfler | I Still Can’t Say Goodbye

Link

It’s nice the way it steals up and grabs you.


Long Read of the Day

What Was the TED Talk?

An insightful assessment by Oscar Schwartz of the TED-talk phenomenon and the story about our future(s) that it’s been subliminally pushing over recent decades and which, Schwartz thinks, “has contributed to our unending present crisis”.

The story goes like this: there are problems in the world that make the future a scary prospect. Fortunately, though, there are solutions to each of these problems, and the solutions have been formulated by extremely smart, tech-adjacent people. For their ideas to become realities, they merely need to be articulated and spread as widely as possible. And the best way to spread ideas is through stories — hence Gates’s opening anecdote about the barrel. In other words, in the TED episteme, the function of a story isn’t to transform via metaphor or indirection, but to actually manifest a new world. Stories about the future create the future. Or as Chris Anderson, TED’s longtime curator, puts it, “We live in an era where the best way to make a dent on the world… may be simply to stand up and say something.”

And yet, Schwartz maintains, TED’s archive is actually “a graveyard of ideas” an endlessly optimistic manifesto for futures that never materialised. So what happened to those futures?

It’s a great read, so the spoilers stop here.

But afterwards…

I came away with two thoughts.

One was that the interesting futures envisaged by the attractive solutionists on the TED stage didn’t come about because they seemed blissfully unaware of the realities of political, ideological and corporate power which are actually making sure that those futures never happened, or — if they did — happened under their supervision.

Another thought sparked by one striking passage:

Perhaps the most incisive critique came, ironically, at a 2013 TEDx conference. In “What’s Wrong with TED Talks?” media theorist Benjamin Bratton told a story about a friend of his, an astrophysicist, who gave a complex presentation on his research before a donor, hoping to secure funding. When he was finished, the donor decided to pass on the project. “I’m just not inspired,” he told the astrophysicist. “You should be more like Malcolm Gladwell.” Bratton was outraged. He felt that the rhetorical style TED helped popularize was “middlebrow megachurch infotainment,” and had begun to directly influence the type of intellectual work that could be undertaken. If the research wasn’t entertaining or moving, it was seen as somehow less valuable. TED’s influence on intellectual culture was “taking something with value and substance and coring it out so that it can be swallowed without chewing,” Bratton said. “This is not the solution to our most frightening problems — rather, this is one of our most frightening problems.”

I also liked Robert Cottrell’s assessment on his curated newsletter, The Browser.

He thought that Schwartz’s piece was,

an astute assessment of the impact that the TED Talk had on the cultural role of the public intellectual. No punches are pulled. At the height of its popularity, the “inspiresting” style of these speakers was reaching tens of millions. This mode is “earnest and contrived. It is smart but not quite intellectual, personal but not sincere, jokey but not funny. It is an aesthetic of populist elitism”


Has Facebook peaked?

My OpEd in last Sunday’s Observer:

Facebook was much in the news last week, although you may not realise that because it has been renamed Meta in the hope the bad vibes associated with its maiden name would gradually fade from public memory. (Google tried the same stunt with Alphabet and that hasn’t worked either.)

For a change, though, Facebook’s latest moment at the top of the news agenda had nothing to do with scandals and everything to do with its financial results, which were so unexpectedly bad that the shares dropped 25% at one point, taking $240bn (£177bn) off its market value, which in turn led to a 2% drop in the Nasdaq index.

Given that Facebook has hitherto been a licence to print money, so much so that at one stage (in 2019), when it was fined $5bn by the Federal Trade Commission, its shares actually went up as Wall Street registered that the ostensibly massive fine was actually the equivalent of a fleabite on an elephant.

But this time was different. Why? Three factors stood out from reports of Mark Zuckerberg’s conference call with stock market analysts: the impact of TikTok; Apple’s move to require iPhone users to consent to being tracked by advertisers; and the revelation that the hitherto unstoppable growth in the number of Facebook users has stalled…

Read on


Embracing George W?

Fabulous essay by Elayne Oliphant on meeting George W Bush at the ceremony where she became a US citizen.

Beforehand, I had told myself numerous stories about why I was pursuing American citizenship: the US had undeniably become home, I wanted to vote, I wanted to cross borders with the same passport as my children. To myself, however, I carefully avoided the question of whether or not I could obtain American citizenship—with relative ease as a white, cis-gendered, straight, professional, upper middle-class Canadian—without also engaging in American violence.

But now here I was, participating in a shocking display of televised propaganda, waving my tiny flag furiously as the camera swooped around us ahead of each commercial break. In the presence of George W. Bush, I uttered an oath in which I promised to forego all previous loyalties and be willing to “bear arms on behalf of the United States when required by the law.” It was a powerful and painful reminder that all of these elements—my family, my community, and American violence—cannot be disentangled.

Fascinating, nuanced piece.


My commonplace booklet

Testing the effectiveness of KN95 and surgical mask ‘fit hacks’. You’d be amazed what people do to try and improve the fit. Link