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David Runciman: How climate scepticism turned into something more dangerous. Doubts about the science are being replaced by doubts about the motives of scientists and their political supporters. Once this kind of cynicism takes hold, is there any hope for the truth?
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APnews: Survey: 4 in 10 US adults have experienced online harassment. This is a summary of a sobering PEW Report on online harassment.
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WSJ: Paying Professors: Inside Google’s Academic Influence Campaign. Article (sadly, behind a paywall) claims that Google paid anywhere from $5,000 to $400,000 for research supporting business practices that face regulatory scrutiny; a ‘wish list’ of topics. Other tech firms doubtless do the same.
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Frank Pasquale: When antitrust becomes pro-trust: the digital deformation of US Competition policy. As bracing as you’d expect from Frank. Great paper.
Can neoliberals learn from history?
Just came on this.
“I can’t help thinking of the Venetian republic in their last half-century. Like us, they had once been fabulously lucky. They had become rich, as we did, by accident. They had acquired immense political skill, just as we have. A good many of them were tough-minded, realistic, patriotic men. They knew, just as clearly as we know, that the current of history had begun to flow against them. many of them gave their minds to working out ways to keep going. It would have meant breaking the pattern into which they had been crystallised. They were fond of the pattern, just as we are fond of ours. They never found the will to break it.”
The Two Cultures, 1959.
Links for 12/7/2017
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Peter Turchin: What Economics Models Really Say. A Review of Economics Rules: The Rights and Wrongs of the Dismal Science by Dani Rodrik (Norton, 2015). Really useful review — by a mathematical biologist!
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David Edgerton on ‘Digital Transformation’. Guaranteed to infuriate tech determinists. 20 minutes, but worth it. Make some coffee first.
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What Did North Korea’s Missile Test Really Change? – The Atlantic. Useful reminder that the people most at risk from Kim Jong Un are not Americans, but South Koreans.
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Vili Lehdonvirta: The online gig economy grew 26% over the past year. Useful empirical research. And the gig economy isn’t just about Deliveroo, btw.
May vs. Blair: no contest
Tony Blair has become a toxic brand because of the Iraq war, with the result that his achievements are now overlooked. So I was struck by this passage from Polly Toynbee’s Guardian column marking the first anniversary of Theresa May’s arrival at the top of the greasy pole:
Consider what Tony Blair did in his first year: the Good Friday agreement signed; the national minimum wage and human rights acts passed; the Bank of England made independent; a £5bn windfall from privatised utilities; and devolution to the Scottish parliament and Welsh assembly begun, along with a London mayor. He stripped the House of Lords of most hereditary peers, brought in a Freedom of Information Act, lowered the gay age of consent, ordained the right to roam, and saved the Kosovans. There was much more in the pipeline, with benefits for families increasing hugely. Any one of those achievements would be totemic in hapless May’s wasted year.
Yep.
Links for 11/7/2017
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The Ideas Industry: How Pessimists, Partisans, and Plutocrats are Transforming the Marketplace of Ideas by Daniel Drezner.
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Dani Rodrik: Economics of the populist backlash. The backlash to globalisation was predictable, but the forms that it took weren’t.
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Richard Fletcher and Rasmus Kleis Nielsen: Using social media appears to diversify your news diet, not narrow it. The counter-narrative to the Cass Sunstein mantra about echo-chambers and ‘enclave extremism’.
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David Wallace-Wells: The Uninhabitable Earth. The most alarming article on climate change that I’ve ever read.
Links for 10/7/2017
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End of the shopping mall: “Sears is closing another 43 struggling stores.”. Wow! Sears Holdings announced last week that it will close eight of its Sears department stores and 35 Kmart locations, adding to the list of 236 stores the company plans to shut down in 2017. In March it said that it had “substantial doubt” about its ability to remain in business. It’s lost $10 billion since 2010, the last time it turned a profit. Sears closed 240 stores in 2016 and 53 in 2015.
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How often do people have sex?. Only Google knows, apparently.
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Echoes of Wall Street in Silicon Valley’s grip on money and power. Yep.
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LSE Blog: Seven Signs of Over-Hyped Fintech. Useful. Doesn’t just apply to Fintech either.
How things change
The €2.4B fine on Google handed down by the European Commission stemmed originally from complaints by shopping-comparison sites that changes in Google Shopping that the company introduced in 2008 had amounted to an abuse of its dominance in search. But 2008 was a long time ago in this racket, and shopping-comparison sites have become relatively small beer because Internet users researching possible purchases don’t start with a search engine any more. (Many of them start with Amazon, for example.)
This is deployed (by the Internet giants) as an argument for the futility of trying to regulate behaviour by dominant firms: the legal process of investigation takes so long that the eventual ruling is so out of date as to be meaningless.
This is a convenient argument, but the conclusion isn’t that we shouldn’t regulate these monsters. Nevertheless it is interesting to see how the product search scene has changed over time, as this chart shows.
The obvious solution to the time-lag problem is — as the Financial Times reported on January 3 — for regulators to have “powers to impose so-called “interim measures” that would order companies to stop suspected anti-competitive behaviour before a formal finding of wrongdoing had been reached.” At the moment the European Commission does have powers to impose such measures, but only if it can prove that a company is causing “irrevocable harm” — a pretty high threshold. The solution: lower the threshold.
What Trump gave Putin: the only thing he really wanted
Interesting take on the tete-a-tete from Masha Gessen, who knows more about Putin than is good for anyone:
Mr. Putin has for years — 17 years, to be exact, for this is how long he has been in power — been clear about what he wanted from his relationship with the United States president: He wants to be treated as an equal partner on the world stage and not to be questioned about or pressed on the Russian government’s actions inside Russia or in what he considers his sphere of influence. Despite the friendly tenor of Mr. Putin’s relationship with George W. Bush and the offer of a “reset” made by Barack Obama’s administration, Mr. Putin never achieved his objective — until now. His fourth American president has given him exactly what he wanted: respect, camaraderie and freedom from criticism.
The one accomplishment of the meeting — a limited cease-fire in Syria — is exactly what Mr. Putin wanted. Not the cease-fire, that is: He wanted an acknowledgment that the United States and Russia are equal negotiating parties in the Syrian conflict. He spent years cajoling and then blackmailing the Obama administration into accepting Russia’s decisive role in the Middle East. Now, Mr. Trump has handed him much more than that. He has demonstrated that Russia and the United States can negotiate Syrian life and death without involving any Syrians.
Links for 9/7/2017
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“Emmanuel Macron’s official portrait is a symbolic celebration of centrism”. Clever analysis of the semiotics of Macron’s official portrait — which hangs in every office of the French state. That’s a lot of offices. Very interesting in the way it demonstrates Macron’s astonishing attention to symbolic detail.
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By me: “Challenges to Silicon Valley won’t just come from Brussels”. Why the Reality Distortion Field centred on Palo Alto doesn’t get what’s happening in the rest of the world.
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Memo to Board: spend money on cybersecurity or pay the price. New York Times report on what a cyber attack can do to your profits — and your share price.
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Katie Hope, BBC: “Inside the secret and lucrative world of ‘the super tutor'”. Or how to earn between £150 and £1,000 an hour tutoring rich kids so that they can get into private schools. The gig economy on steroids.
DeepMind or DeepMine?
This morning’s Observer column:
In July 2015, consultants working at the Royal Free hospital trust in London approached DeepMind, a Google-owned artificial intelligence firm that had no previous experience in healthcare, about developing software based on patient data from the trust. Four months later, the health records of 1.6 million identifiable patients were transferred to servers contracted by Google to process the data on behalf of DeepMind. The basic idea was that the company would create an app, called Streams, to help clinicians manage acute kidney injury (AKI), a serious disease that is linked to 40,000 deaths a year in the UK.
The first most people knew about this exciting new partnership was when DeepMind announced the launch of DeepMind Health on 24 February 2016…