Tuesday 9 February, 2021

Fontenay

Abbaye de Fontenay near Montbard in Burgundy is one of the world’s magical places. I’ve loved it ever since I discovered it in the 1980s.


Quote of the Day

“Many epidemiologists expect SARS-Cov-2’s long-term future to become an endemic virus causing mild illness, rather like four other human coronavirus Ed that cause cold-like symptoms.”

  • Clive Cookson, Financial Times, 6/7 February 2021

Now that’s the kind of future we can live with.


How Bruce Springsteen Agreed To Do a Super Bowl Commercial for Jeep

Link

Interesting story in Variety of how the legendary singer — who doesn’t do endorsements — was persuaded to make this little movie to be shown on Super Bowl night.

Springsteen didn’t take a laissez-faire approach to the project. Jeep offered to let him film scenes at his home in New Jersey, then mix them in with footage captured at the Kansas church, but Springsteen insisted on flying out to the chapel a week ago. His attention to detail was fervent, Francois says. There was no “glam squad” for makeup and no complaints about how cold it was outdoors.

“He spent 12 hours on site. He was totally hands-on about the editing. He was very, very, very active with the editing and the process,” says Francois. “He knew what he wanted, and he got what he wanted.”

The ad executive would not change anything about the process. “It took me ten years to get him in, but once he was in, he was all in.” Can’t see it going down well with the Trump crowd, though. Not that he will give a toss about that.


Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Daniel Grimwood | John Field | Nocturne no 6 in F major | Live

Link


GameStop contd. — Playing the market

Two related questions… 1/ Are share-trading apps a safe way to play the markets? Alex Hern has a useful guide to them in the Guardian:

This has resulted in billion-dollar losses for some hedge funds, and big profits for traders who cashed out before the stock fell back to less than $100. Many of these speculators were using a new generation of share-trading apps, such as eToro, Robinhood and Trading 212. Have these services tipped the scales of financial power in favour of the little guy? Here we answer some key questions …

What’s the difference between these new apps and an established platform, such as Hargreaves Lansdown?

There are two main differences between the new breed of trading apps and old-fashioned brokers. One is the cost, the other is the market. Apps, from Robinhood to Trading 212, have broken ground by offering trades “fee-free”. That’s a big difference from before, when an old-fashioned human broker would take a substantial cut for providing trading services and even newer online services – so-called eBrokers – would charge a flat fee per trade.

Just as important is market access. Until recently, most small investors focused on buying and selling equities (shares), bonds (loans to companies and governments) and funds that aggregate bundles of tens or hundreds of other financial products.

Trading apps broaden that out substantially. At one end of the spectrum, a growing number, including Robinhood and eToro, allow or even focus on trading cryptocurrencies – digital assets such as bitcoin, Ethereum and Monero – which tend to be very volatile. For those who want to stick with comparatively simple equities, the apps also offer financial tools that can increase the risk – and return – of bets, from buying on margin (taking out a loan to buy extra shares) to the world of options (bets that a particular stock will rise or fall a certain amount). These pay off handsomely if they’re correct, but are wiped out if they’re wrong.

2/ Hern has a link to an interesting NBER paper on the impact of smartphone trading apps on investor behaviour. The Abstract reads:

Using transaction-level data from two German banks, we study the effects of smartphones on investor behavior. Comparing trades by the same investor in the same month across different platforms, we find that smartphones increase purchasing of riskier and lottery-type assets and chasing past returns. After the adoption of smartphones, investors do not substitute trades across platforms and buy also riskier, lottery-type, and hot investments on other platforms. Using smartphones to trade specific assets or during specific hours contributes to explain our results. Digital nudges and the device screen size do not mechanically drive our results. Smartphone effects are not transitory.

In other words, if you want to play the market, do it from your laptop, not your phone. That sounds plausible to me.


T-cells, the South African variant and the AstraZeneca vaccine

Given that I’d been musing about the conjectured inadequacy of the AstraZeneca vaccine to protect against the South African variant of the coronavirus, Seb Schmoller (Whom God Preserve) send me a link to this interesting Twitter thread. On this analysis, it all comes down to one’s T-cells:

I never did biology in school, and it shows.


Dave Winer on the New York Times’s firing of Don McNeil

I’m baffled by why the New York Times would fire a great reporter like Don McNeil and concluded that there must be something going on that I don’t know about. Dave Winer is much more vocal on the matter:

I was asked why I care that the NYT fired Donald McNeil. It’s pretty simple. We all have an interest in how journalism works. They like to say that journalism is an essential part of democracy, but do the people have any influence over journalism? To really press the point, democracy is about the people, right? You can’t be of democracy without being of the people. We have a role in this, which journalism hasn’t embraced, in fact by fighting Facebook they are actively undermining our participation. And when they fire a great reporter who helps people, I, simply as a person and nothing more, have a stake in that, as does everyone who depends on good information from news orgs. And sure I care how 150 reporters at the NY Times feel, but I don’t care about them that much, compared to how much I care about the service McNeil was providing.

Another reason the firing of McNeil was such a concern is this question: Would the 150 people at the NY use their power to cancel against the people they cover, for an infraction like McNeil’s. Are we ready to accept that as a proper role of reporters at a news organization?


Facebook’s WhatsApp land-grab

Perceptive piece by Wafa Ben-Hassine.

On January 4, domestic terrorists were using Facebook as a tool to execute a violent attack on the US Capitol. On the same day, Facebook executives put the finishing touches on their own power grab. The plot? Wrest data from WhatsApp’s users.

Facebook’s plan started in 2018, after both of WhatsApp’s founders had left WhatsApp over clashes about data privacy. Now, three years later, WhatsApp’s updated privacy policy is the final stage. The policy change is simple: WhatsApp users no longer have the freedom to choose if their information can be shared to Facebook, other Facebook-owned companies or third parties. Now, billions of people across the globe must surrender their data to Facebook or lose access to the essential messaging app.

This ultimatum, as others have astutely observed, is actually a ham-handed admission by Facebook. WhatsApp started sharing its data with Facebook in 2016, and since then new users have never had the opportunity to opt out — even if the user’s experience is limited to WhatsApp. These latest changes are so egregious that 50 million users, and counting, are rushing to find a WhatsApp replacement with which to talk to family and friends. International users, who rely on WhatsApp as a business tool, have to rethink their business plans.

Alarmed by the exodus of annoyed WhatsApp users to Signal and Telegram, Facebook pushed back the ultimatum’s deadline by three months, but this is transparently just a stalling tactic. It’s also clearly influenced by the investigation by the US Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and more than 40 states for illegally building a monopoly through acquisitions, coercion, and by bullying smaller companies. Facebook, says the FTC, has been engaging for years in a “systematic strategy” that includes “its 2014 acquisition of WhatsApp. So integrating WhatsApp more tightly into the Facebook corporate web is doubtless a preemptive move to make it more difficult for courts to compel it to set WhatsApp free.


100 Not Out! — my lockdown diary, is out as a Kindle book. You can get it here 


This blog is also available as a daily email. If you think this might suit you better, why not subscribe? One email a day, delivered to your inbox at 7am UK time. It’s free, and there’s a one-click unsubscribe if you decide that your inbox is full enough already!


Monday 8 February, 2021

Frozen stiff

On our walk this afternoon.


Quote of the Day

“If the war didn’t happen to kill you it was bound to start you thinking. After that unspeakable idiotic mess you couldn’t go on regarding society as something eternal and unquestionable, like a pyramid. You knew it was just a balls-up.”

  • George Orwell

I’m hoping the Covid mess has something of the same effect, especially on the people who think we’re going back to ‘normal’.


Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Alison Krauss – In my mind I’m going to Carolina

Link


Sartorial functionalism

I had a zoom call this morning which meant that I needed to look reasonably respectable and so looked in the wardrobe for the one really good, handmade suit that I possess. But then I looked at it and wondered: will I ever get to wear this again? The answer, I hopefully guess, is yes. But it won’t be for a while yet.

The thing about being locked down is that the only appearances one really has to worry about are those on conferencing systems like Zoom, Teams, FaceTime or WebEx. In pre-pandemic times I had various roles (Vice President of a Cambridge College, for example, formal dinners, receptions, public lectures) where one was expected to be neat, tidy and, well, grown up. But since last March the only requirement has been to look superficially presentable. So all Summer long I wore shorts, boat shoes or sandals and short-sleeved, open-necks shirts or t-shirts. Throughout the Autumn and the winter so far I’ve mostly worn zipped sweaters or, occasionally, a wool cardigan.

And this morning? I looked at the suit, then out the window at the falling snow, and instead reached for a warm shirt, a pair of Land’s End flannel-lined jeans and a zipped sweater. And wound up feeling warm and almost presentable.


Corporate sociopathy contd.

Sunday’s Observer column and yesterday’s blog post clearly touched a nerve. For Robert Cosgrave it sparked a memory of where he “first ran across the concept of a corporation as an AI, or at least as an intelligence not human. It was in the blog of Scottish science fiction writers and futurist Charles Stross in 2010″.

Corporations do not share our priorities. They are hive organisms constructed out of teeming workers who join or leave the collective: those who participate within it subordinate their goals to that of the collective, which pursues the three corporate objectives of growth, profitability, and pain avoidance. (The sources of pain a corporate organism seeks to avoid are lawsuits, prosecution, and a drop in shareholder value.)

Corporations have a mean life expectancy of around 30 years, but are potentially immortal; they live only in the present, having little regard for past or (thanks to short term accounting regulations) the deep future: and they generally exhibit a sociopathic lack of empathy.

Collectively, corporate groups lobby international trade treaty negotiations for operating conditions more conducive to pursuing their three goals. They bully individual lawmakers through overt channels (with the ever-present threat of unfavourable news coverage) and covert channels (political campaign donations). The general agreements on tariffs and trade, and subsequent treaties defining new propertarian realms, once implemented in law, define the macroeconomic climate: national level politicians thus no longer control their domestic economies.

Corporations, not being human, lack patriotic loyalty; with a free trade regime in place they are free to move wherever taxes and wages are low and profits are high. We have seen this recently in Ireland where, despite a brutal austerity budget, corporation tax is not to be raised lest multinationals desert for warmer climes.

For a while the Communist system held this at bay by offering a rival paradigm, however faulty, for how we might live: but with the collapse of the USSR in 1991 — and the adoption of state corporatism by China as an engine for development — large scale opposition to the corporate system withered.

We are now living in a global state that has been structured for the benefit of non-human entities with non-human goals. They have enormous media reach, which they use to distract attention from threats to their own survival. They also have an enormous ability to support litigation against public participation, except in the very limited circumstances where such action is forbidden. Individual atomized humans are thus either co-opted by these entities (you can live very nicely as a CEO or a politician, as long as you don’t bite the feeding hand) or steamrollered if they try to resist.

In short, we are living in the aftermath of an alien invasion.


Covid futures

Yesterday I wrote about “Long Covid” as a possible future scenario in which we have to learn to live with the virus over a long period. This morning I find two piece of relevant information in my incoming mail and messages.

1/ The first is that the AstraZeneca vaccine (the one I had) may not be effective against the South African variant of the virus. As the (paywalled) FT put it:

The Oxford/AstraZeneca Covid-19 vaccine does not appear to offer protection against mild and moderate disease caused by the viral variant first identified in South Africa, according to a study.

Although none of the more than 2,000 mainly healthy and young patients in the study died or was hospitalised, the findings, which have not yet been peer reviewed, could complicate the race to roll out vaccines as new strains emerge.

In both the human trials and tests on the blood of those vaccinated, the jab showed significantly reduced efficacy against the 501Y.V2 viral variant, which is dominant in South Africa, according to the randomised, double-blind study seen by the Financial Times. If confirmed, this is worrying but not a showstopper given the new vaccine-creation tools that have evolved in the last year. But it probably means that, for me, 2021 will be a three-jab year.

2/ The second info-byte came in a text from a good friend. It read:

One of the steering groups I’m on is full of scientists who are involved in the vaccine programmes etc and one of them said to me last week that he thought that we had to get used to at a least a Covid ‘shadow’ that would last 6-10 years, and that was the optimistic scenario…

Often when I cite stuff like this people respond by chiding me for being “pessimistic”. Actually I think of myself as a realistic optimist. Even the gloomy ‘Long Covid’ scenario is something we will learn to live with and manage. We’re an ingenious, adaptive species. What I dislike is idiotic boosterist talk (like the current Prime Minister’s) about how we will “beat” the virus and stride triumphant into the glorious future. This kind of nonsense is reminiscent of the cant in August 1914 about how the war would be “over by Christmas”. It wasn’t, and this one won’t be either.


Trollope and irrational exuberance

During the original Internet boom (1995-2000) I remember reading Anthony Trollope’s The Way We Live Now and being struck by how contemporary it seemed. Now, in the light of the GameStop frenzy, the same thought has occurred to Paul Tuckwell of Surrey, a reader of the Financial Times. Saturday’s edition published a nice letter from him:

In Anthony Trollope’s novel The Way We Live Now there was a good understanding of the difference between company valuation driven by retail enthusiasm and actual value… Of a new company’s directors “there was not one other then present who had not after some fashion been given to understand that his fortune was to be made, not by the construction of the railway, but by the floating of the railway shares.” So the directors saw it was of no consequence whether the purpose of the company (to build a railway in the US) ever actually happened; the money was to be made creating a share frenzy which they “were to have the privilege of manufacturing”. The current retail hysteria hysteria and the resulting fantastical equity valuations, would have had Trollope reaching for his pen!


”We don’t recognise these figures”

Or how to spin bad news. Nice blast from Jonty Bloom

As a cynical old hack nothing raises my hackles more than the non-denial “We don’t recognise these figures….”. Because you can, without even crossing your fingers behind your back, say exactly that if the figure mentioned is 68.9% and you know the true amount is 70.1%. It sounds great but is utterly meaningless.

Its latest use, over whether trade to the EU has been slashed since Brexit is a reminder that the power of the Government to spin, delay, hide and smudge is almost limitless, so it is obvious how Brexit will play out. First there are the denials, nothing to see here. Then its, teething problems, nothing to see here it is already over. Then it will be throwing money and resources at the problem, nothing to see here we are fixing it. Then it will be, this has been going on for months, nothing to see here it isn’t new and anyway it is the EU’s fault.

Yep.


100 Not Out! — my lockdown diary — is out as a Kindle book. You can get it here.


This blog is also available as a daily email. If you think this might suit you better, why not subscribe? One email a day, delivered to your inbox at 7am UK time. It’s free, and there’s a one-click unsubscribe if you decide that your inbox is full enough already!


Sunday 7 February, 2021

Crossing point

London’s Millennium Bridge, in the days when people could casually be outdoors.


Quote of the Day

“Republicans are the party that says government doesn’t work, and then they get elected and prove it.”

P.J. O”Rourke


Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

The Wailin’ Jennys | Wildflowers | Live

Link


Tech corporations as sociopathic machines

This morning’s Observer column:

A few years ago, during a period when there was much heated anxiety about “superintelligence” and the prospects for humanity in a world dominated by machines, the political theorist David Runciman gently pointed out that we have been living under superintelligent AIs for a couple of centuries. They’re called corporations: sociopathic, socio-technical machines that remorselessly try to achieve whatever purpose has been set for them, which in our day is to “maximise shareholder value”. Or, as Milton Friedman succinctly put it: “The only corporate social responsibility a company has is to maximise its profits.”

Given that, it doesn’t really matter whether those who sit at the top of giant tech corporations are saints, sinners or merely liars and hypocrites. Facebook could be staffed entirely by clones of St Francis of Assisi and it would still be a toxic organisation, relentlessly pushing to achieve the purpose assigned to it by Professor Friedman. So if we want to make things better, our focus has to be changing the machine’s purpose and obligations, not on trying to persuading its helmsman to attend to the better angels of his nature.

Later. The point about corporations being sociopathic, superintelligent machines prompted an interesting email from Ross Anderson (Whom God Preserve), gently pointing out that he had made a similar point to the philosopher Daniel Dennett during a lecture Dennett gave in Cambridge in June 2019, which of course led me into an interesting dive back through diaries and notebooks.

Tracing the genesis of an idea can be a fool’s errand, especially if it’s a powerful idea. But this one proved more fruitful than I expected.

On the chronology, the Dennett lecture that Ross mentioned was in June 2019, but I had come across the ‘sociopathic’ idea before then in one of four seminars that David Runciman ran for the Centre for the Future of Intelligence in 2017-8 and I attended. It came up because he’s an expert on Hobbes and he argued at one point that Hobbes’s Leviathan was, essentially, an AI. The political philosopher, Philip Pettit, who was also at the seminar took up the idea and argued that corporations are intrinsically sociopathic — which is what I took away from that particular conversation (so I may have been wrong in attributing the sociopathy attribute to David rather than to Philip).

But it seems that the question of corporate sociopathy was been around a long time in American constitutional discourse. In part this seems to have been about the (ancient) legal doctrine that companies were granted “legal personhood” long ago. In 2003 Joel Bakan, a legal scholar, published The Corporation: The Pathological Pursuit of Profit and Power, a book which was accompanied by a documentary film, The Corporation (which I haven’t seen — https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0379225/) but which gave rise to lots of commentary about psycho/socio-pathy (e.g. https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/machiavellians-gulling-the-rubes/201605/are-corporations-inherently-psychopathic). And then, of course, there was the 2010 ‘Citizens United’ judgment of the US Supreme Court which held that the First Amendment prohibits the government from restricting independent expenditures for political communications by corporations, including nonprofit corporations, labor unions, and other associations. Which effectively means that in the US these sociopaths have free speech rights and can fund politicians who advance their interests.

I’m sure there’s a lot more but the bottom line is that this is an older idea than I had thought and it’s been been around for quite a while.

And then I remembered a joke that my friend Larry Lessig cracked a long time ago. “I’ll believe a corporation is a person”, he said, “when Texas executes one.”


Options for our future

I was out in the front garden this morning when two young women, out on their brisk, daily-exercise walk passed the front gate. “When this rubbish is over…”, one of them was saying and went on to outline some elaborate plan or other she had for when the Covid crisis is over.

Which brought to mind Simon Kuper’s column in the weekend edition of the Financial Times. In terms of where we might be a year from now, he writes, two main scenarios emerge.

The first is the good news one. Covid-19 keeps circulating, but gradually loses its sting. Most people, at least in rich countries, get vaccinated this year. The vaccines prevent disease caused by all strains of the virus and it becomes no worse than a nasty cold.

The second scenario is the bad news one — “less likely”, says Kuper, “yet so momentous that we need to think it through”. It is that the world gets “Long Covid” with vaccine-resistant mutations causing years of mass deaths, repeated lockdowns, economic meltdown and political dysfunction or collapse.

While we’re on the subject, there is, alas, an even worse scenario — outlined by Ian Goldin, Professor of globalisation and development at Oxford. He thinks that a new pandemic is actually a more likely possibility than Long Covid. His argument, as summarised by Kuper, is based on “the growing frequency of pandemics this century, as habitats of animals and humans become compressed, and global travel increases transmission”.

So let’s hope that young woman passing my gate this morning is right, and that “when this rubbish is over” we can go back to some kind of life.


100 Not Out!

My Lockdown Diary is out as a Kindle eBook. You can get it here


This blog is also available as a daily email. If you think this might suit you better, why not subscribe? One email a day, delivered to your inbox at 7am UK time. It’s free, and there’s a one-click unsubscribe if you decide that your inbox is full enough already!


Forget Zuckerberg and Cook’s hypocrisy – it’s their companies that are the real problem

This morning’s Observer [column][(https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/feb/06/mark-zuckerberg-tim-cook-facebook-apple-problem):

A few years ago, during a period when there was much heated anxiety about “superintelligence” and the prospects for humanity in a world dominated by machines, the political theorist David Runciman gently pointed out that we have been living under superintelligent AIs for a couple of centuries. They’re called corporations: sociopathic, socio-technical machines that remorselessly try to achieve whatever purpose has been set for them, which in our day is to “maximise shareholder value”. Or, as Milton Friedman succinctly put it: “The only corporate social responsibility a company has is to maximise its profits.”

Given that, it doesn’t really matter whether those who sit at the top of giant tech corporations are saints, sinners or merely liars and hypocrites. Facebook could be staffed entirely by clones of St Francis of Assisi and it would still be a toxic organisation, relentlessly pushing to achieve the purpose assigned to it by Professor Friedman. So if we want to make things better, our focus has to be changing the machine’s purpose and obligations, not on trying to persuading its helmsman to attend to the better angels of his nature.

Later. The point about corporations being sociopathic, superintelligent machines prompted an interesting email from Ross Anderson (Whom God Preserve) gently pointing out that he had made a similar point to the philosopher Daniel Dennett during a lecture Dennett gave in Cambridge in June 2019, which of course led me into an interesting dive back through diaries and notebooks.

Tracing the genesis of an idea can be a fool’s errand, especially if it’s a powerful idea. But this one proved more fruitful than I expected.

On the chronology, the Dennett lecture that Ross mentioned was in June 2019, but I had comeacross the ‘sociopathic’ idea before then in one of four seminars that David Runciman ran for the Centre for the Future of Intelligence in 2017-8 and I attended. It came up because he’s an expert on Hobbes and he argued at one point that Hobbes’s Leviathan was, essentially, an AI. The political philosopher, Philip Pettit, who was also at the seminar took up the idea and argued that corporations are intrinsically sociopathic — which is what I took away from that particular conversation (though I may have been wrong in attributing the sociopathy attribute to David rather than to Philip).

But it seems that the question of corporate sociopathy was been around a long time in American constitutional discourse. In part this seems to have been about the (ancient) legal doctrine that companies were granted “legal personhood” long ago. In 2003 Joel Bakan, a legal scholar, published The Corporation: The Pathological Pursuit of Profit and Power, a book which was accompanied by a documentary film, The Corporation (which I haven’t seen — https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0379225/) but which gave rise to lots of commentary about psycho/socio-pathy (e.g. https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/machiavellians-gulling-the-rubes/201605/are-corporations-inherently-psychopathic). And then, of course, there was the 2010 ‘Citizens United’ judgment of the US Supreme Court which held that the First Amendment prohibits the government from restricting independent expenditures for political communications by corporations, including nonprofit corporations, labor unions, and other associations. Which effectively means that in the US these sociopaths have free speech rights and can fund politicians who advance their interests.

I’m sure there’s a lot more but the bottom line is that this is an older idea than I had thought and it’s been been around for quite a while.

Saturday 6 February, 2021

Those Bloody Brits

Nice joke on the current Private Eye cover.


100 Not Out!

My Lockdown Diary is out on Kindle. You can get it here.


Quote of the Day

“Out of the kitchen, to stew is to fret, to worry, to agitate. In the kitchen, however, to stew is to have great expectations”.

  • Molly O’Neill, New York Times, 1994.

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Haydn | Symphony #94 in G (‘Surprise’) | 2nd movement | Andante

Link

Just to make sure that nobody sleeps at the back.


Long Read of the Day

Dan Wang’s annual letter

Dan Wang is one of the best-informed and thoughtful China analysts I read. At the end of every year he writes a charming annual letter which is full of insights.

This is the one for 2020. Sample:

Steady engagement with the (Communist Party’s )journal throughout the year has forced me to think more deeply about the Chinese Communist Party. There are many things that Xi wants to do, I believe that his most fundamental goal is to make this Marxist-Leninist party an effective governing force for the present century. His patient work to reshape the bureaucracy is aided by a distinctive feature of the Chinese system: the use of propaganda to create centralized campaigns of inspiration. Some of Xi’s efforts have borne fruit: the country’s governance capabilities have markedly improved, a trend that is apparent in daily life. At the same time, the state has grown much more repressive. A focus on repression shouldn’t neglect the improvement in the country’s institutional and commercial strengths; and appreciation of this improvement ought to be tempered by the party center’s growing mania for control.

When foreign commentators discuss the experience of reading state media, they rarely fail to attach a reference to its “turgid prose.” While some partyspeak is indeed unreadable, I’ve always seen that dismissal as a signal of contempt for the party’s pronouncements, thus deterring people from taking it seriously. But there is reason to treat its content with care. Propaganda might not matter to you, but it matters to the party…

Long read, but worth it.


Our emerging surveillance state

An unnamed source provided the New York Times‘s reporters Charlie Warzel and Stuart A. Thompson with an amazing data set, based on tracking the digital trails of the smartphones of thousands of Trump supporters, rioters and passers-by in Washington, D.C., on January 6, as Trump’s political rally turned into a violent insurrection. At least five people died because of the riot at the Capitol and a huge law-enforcement operation is in progress to arrest and prosecute the insurrectionists. And of course a key to bringing the mob to justice has been the event’s digital detritus: location data, geotagged photos, facial recognition, surveillance cameras and crowdsourcing.

“The data we were given”, write Warzel and Thompson,

showed what some in the tech industry might call a God-view vantage of that dark day. It included about 100,000 location pings for thousands of smartphones, revealing around 130 devices inside the Capitol exactly when Trump supporters were storming the building. Times Opinion is only publishing the names of people who gave their permission to be quoted in this article.

About 40 percent of the phones tracked near the rally stage on the National Mall during the speeches were also found in and around the Capitol during the siege — a clear link between those who’d listened to the president and his allies and then marched on the building.

While there were no names or phone numbers in the data, we were once again able to connect dozens of devices to their owners, tying anonymous locations back to names, home addresses, social networks and phone numbers of people in attendance. In one instance, three members of a single family were tracked in the data.

The source shared this information, in part, because the individual was outraged by the events of Jan. 6. The source wanted answers, accountability, justice. The person was also deeply concerned about the privacy implications of this surreptitious data collection. Not just that it happens, but also that most consumers don’t know it is being collected and it is insecure and vulnerable to law enforcement as well as bad actors — or an online mob — who might use it to inflict harm on innocent people. (The source asked to remain anonymous because the person was not authorized to share the data and could face severe penalties for doing so.)

If you know about how surveillance capitalism works, nothing in this story will surprise you. But that’s largely because we’ve become wearily familiar with the way the tech industry has gone its lawless way. “The data presented here”, say Warzel and Thompson,

is a bird’s-eye view of an event that posed a clear and grave threat to our democracy. But it tells a second story as well: One of a broken, surreptitious industry in desperate need of regulation, and of a tacit agreement we’ve entered into that threatens our individual privacy. None of this data should ever have been collected.

It shouldn’t. And now we need to contemplate the question of whether this massive enclosure movement can be stopped.

We’re now back in a bi-polar world in which two rival systems are heading into a new Cold War. There’s us in the West, huddled under a faltering American hegemony; and China, representing an alternative way of having technological and economic progress without the inconveniences of democracy. But underpinning this emerging geopolitical divide, there’s also a paradoxical convergence — for both blocs are committed to using digital technology for comprehensive surveillance of their populations. The only difference is that in China it’s driven by the state, whereas in the West it’s a public-private collaboration, involving companies with a toxic business model, operating under the tacit aegis of a state that needs the surveillance capabilities of the companies to augment its own formidable powers.

Footnote The two reporters have done great earlier work in documenting this stuff – see, for example, here.


Other, hopefully interesting, links

  • Airstream’s new $100,000 trailer is a remote work paradise. Link
  • Your selfie stick not long enough? Try a mini drone instead. Leading-edge uselessness department. Link
  • Elon Musk may be Tesla’s CEO. But he wasn’t the company’s founder. Who knew? Link

This blog is also available as a daily email. If you think this might suit you better, why not subscribe? One email a day, delivered to your inbox at 7am UK time. It’s free, and there’s a one-click unsubscribe if your decide that your inbox is full enough already!


 

Friday 5 February, 2021

College at dusk

Wolfson College, Cambridge. A shot that came from testing the low-light capability of the Nikon D700 a few years ago.


Side-effects and misconceptions

In yesterday’s edition I wrote about feeling oddly reassured by the mild side-effects of my Covid jab. They were, I felt, signs that the vaccine was also doing its stuff: waking up my immune system.

This prompted a nice email from Jonathan Rees, a reader who knows about this stuff:

John, better to say priming rather than waking . Immunology is about ‘self’ and ‘non-self’. Your immune system has just recognised something as a bit of ‘non-self’ — it doesn’t like it. It has noted it, seen it off, and kept its data on file (the fact that the non-self bit is ‘castrated’ allows this to be a pure learning experience)

On your second jab —or real infection —it will wake very quickly, jump out of bed, and launch the troops who are tanking up with engines ready to go.

Sort of like: starting a non M1 mac (priming) compared with starting an iPad — the latter is ready to go ‘instantaneously’. My only consolation is that I’m writing this on an M1 Mac! And I like Jonathan’s metaphor-switch.


Quote of the Day

In 2004, the New York Times asked Stephen Hawking: what is your IQ? He replied: “I have no idea. People who boast about their I.Q. are losers.”

HT to Helen Lewis

Hmmm… maybe that makes me a winner? I have no idea what my IQ is, though there are days when I wonder if it even reaches into double digits.


Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Randy Newman | You’ve Got a Friend in Me | Live with Chris Thile and friends

Link


Long Read of the Day

The Capitalist Case for Overhauling Twitter

Scott Galloway is one of the smartest observers of the online world. This essay about Twitter’s failings is acutely perceptive, but goes beyond the usual critiques — it comes up with suggestions for how to both fix Twitter as a company and also to make it into a positive force for society. Galloway has skin in this game. As well as being an academic, he’s a tech investor. And he owns $10m of Twitter stock.

The basic problem is the business model — surveillance capitalism. Some service like Twitter would undoubtedly be a good thing for society. But it needs an honest business model. Subscriptions. I’d pay for a cleaned-up, non-bot-infested version. And I bet a lot of others would too.

Also, I’d enable people to block all retweets.

But, anyway, read Prof Galloway’s analysis and prescriptions.


Britain’s battery problem

A post-Brexit realisation has dawned on carmakers in the UK that their real challenge now is replacing traditional engine plants with battery factories. The immediate problem is that tariff-free trade with the EU relies on rules of origin of components in your product. If everything is made either in the UK or the EU, then no problem. If not.., big problems.

The difficulty is that the internal combustion engine is now doomed as a propulsion system for motor vehicles. By 2030 — or 2035 at the latest, ICE-propelled vehicles will be illegal. So an entire huge industry has to pivot to producing electric vehicles – EVs. But these need massive batteries — which are not manufactured in the UK, except in small quantities and power denominations. Accordingly, British car manufacturers who wish to continue making cars will have to build EVs. But if they wish to sell them to the EU, they will incur serious tariffs.

The only solution is for the UK to develop — pronto — massive battery-manufacturing capacity. That’ll take time and Britain is a late starter. As far as I can see, there’s only one factory making EV batteries in any quantity — the factory near Nissan’s car manufacturing plant in Sunderland. It makes the batteries for the short-range version of Nissan’s Leaf EV (but not for the latest, longer-range Leaf, which at the moment come from the US, I think).

And a start-up called — yes, you guessed it, Britishvolt — is planning to spend £2.6B on a ‘gigafactory’ (cliché du jour in the industry at the moment) at Blyth in the North East. First batteries are scheduled to roll off the production line in 2023. I’ll believe that when I see it.


Organic fascism?

Cory Doctorow has an interesting post prompted by Luke Carneal’s question, “Why Are Some Organic Farmers Turning to Reactionary Politics?”.

Carneal is an organic farmer with an interest in ideology and politics. He says he’s noticed a shift recently among some of his peers toward right-libertarian attitudes.

I don’t intend to suggest that a right wing perspective sways the majority of my fellow ecological farmers, but that underneath the sometimes true-to-life stereotypes of the socially liberal small-scale organic farm world, there is a marginal but growing tendency toward conservative views. If we look more closely at the philosophical motivations underpinning the modern back-to-the-land movement and the economic positioning of small organic farm operator-owners, it becomes clear that the emergence of libertarian attitudes amongst some members of this demographic is far from surprising – and should be expected to grow in coming years.

What’s driving this? Lots of things, probably. But,

The spiritual-philosophical ideology of the reactionary homesteader or small organic farmer shows itself in a number of recognizable modern anxieties – prepper subculture, government mistrust, a turn to new age medicine, anarcho-primitivism, and other manifestations of the scarcity feelings that find a home in both hippie lifestylism and right wing politics. Perhaps the individual who best embodies the ex-urbanite turn to new age homestead conservatism is Curtis Stone, a YouTube blogger who first rose to familiarity in the farm scene as an innovator of hyper-small-scale backyard vegetable farming. Going back to 2015 and 2016, a viewer will find his video channel populated exclusively by informative videos on no-till cropping systems, customer management, and other topics pertinent to the nuts and bolts of running a small farm venture near an urban center. I certainly gained much from these videos on my own path into bio-intensive small-scale agriculture. Stone also published a book, The Urban Farmer, in 2015, which still sits on my bookshelf. It contains helpful diagrams of irrigation sprinkler setups, soil amendment recommendations, and not a word on politics.

Jump forward to 2021, and half of Stone’s videos are now uploaded exclusively to BitChute, a right wing video hosting website, and contain titles such as “Refuge from the NWO (New World Order) within Private Societies,” “Don’t let fear and anxiety wear you down!” and “Talking collapse with Jack Spirko.”


Other links

  • Observation of the day: Statusq.org “During lockdown, the frequency with which one needs to shave is inversely proportional to the quality of one’s webcam.” Link
  • Bill Emmott interviews Alex Tabarrok. Genuinely interesting podcast. Link
  • David Edgerton on Boris Johnson’s fatuous obsessions with ‘moonshots’. Link

This blog is also available as a daily email. If you think this might suit you better, why not subscribe? One email a day, delivered to your inbox at 7am UK time. It’s free, and there’s a one-click unsubscribe if you decide that your inbox is full enough already!


Thursday 4 February, 2021

danah boyd

danah, one of the foremost scholars of Cyberspace, particularly social media, speaking at the tenth anniversary of the Oxford Internet Institute.


Vaccine news

I’ve become (temporarily) a minor celebrity because I work with (mostly) much younger people and am therefore the first person they know who has actually had a vaccine jab. The most common question they ask is about side-effects.

I’ve had flu jabs for years and never experienced any side-effects. With the Oxford/AstraZeneca jab (the one I had) the most common side-effects (according to the NHS leaflet) are:

  • a painful, heavy feeling and tenderness in the arm where you had the injection. This tends to be worse around 1-2 days after the vaccine
  • feeling tired
  • headache
  • general aches, or mild flu-like symptoms

I had a few of these – specifically:

  • a light headache for a couple of days
  • a tired feeling for a day (which my workaholic superego regarded as sheer laziness)
  • one bout of a flu-like chill for a couple of hours
  • and one bout of mild overnight sweating

Otherwise situation normal (and not FU,for those who know about SNAFU).

The odd thing is that I felt rather reassured by all this. It suggested to me that my body was having to do some work. Which meant, I guess, that the vaccine was also doing its stuff: waking up my immune system.


Quote of the Day

”I hope you have not been leading a double life, pretending to be wicked and being really good all the time. That would be hypocrisy.“

  • Oscar Wilde

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Elgar | Nimrod | Barenboim | Chicago Symphony Orchestra

Link


Long Read of the Day

 The Next Cyberattack Is Already Under Way

Historian Jill Lepore’s review of Nicole Pelroth’s  This Is How They Tell Me the World Ends: The Cyberweapons Arms Race.

Perlroth reports (and it’s hard to tell if this is hyperbole) that the N.S.A. has a hundred analysts working on cyber offense for every analyst working on cyber defense. In the fall, CISA dedicated itself to protecting the election. On Election Day, the agency issued updates every three hours. The goal, as CISA’s head, Chris Krebs, said, was for November 3rd to be “just another Tuesday on the Internet.” On November 17th, after Krebs again publicly declared the election to have been free and fair—he tweeted, “59 election security experts all agree, ‘in every case of which we are aware, these claims (of fraud) either have been unsubstantiated or are technically incoherent’ ”— Trump fired him. The feared Election Day attacks never came, not only because CISA worked well but also, Perlroth suggests, because they were no longer necessary. “Our candidate is chaos,” a Kremlin operative told a reporter in 2016. That candidate stalked the nation in 2016 and again in 2020.

Lepore’s most recent book,  If Then: How One Data Company Invented the Future, about how we got to targeted advertising in elections, is also pretty good.


Democracy in decline

From today’s Washington Post

Across the world, democracy is in decline. The Economist Intelligence Unit, the London-based research and analysis group, quantified the decline with a report released Wednesday. The annual survey, which rates the state of democracy across 167 countries based on measures including electoral processes and civil liberties, found that just 8.4 percent of the world lived in a full democracy last year, while more than a third lived under authoritarian rule. The global average score fell to 5.37 out of 10 on the democracy index — the lowest rating since the EIU began the index in 2006.

Others have come to similar conclusions. Freedom House, a nongovernmental, nonpartisan advocacy organization established in 1941, released a report in October that found that the state of democracy and human rights had worsened in at least 80 countries since the start of the coronavirus pandemic.

There is no question that democracy is declining, but it’s harder to explain exactly why. One reason is the still-raging pandemic, a public health crisis that saw many nations impose unprecedented restrictions. “Confronted by a new, deadly disease to which humans had no natural immunity, most people concluded that preventing a catastrophic loss of life justified some temporary loss of freedom,” the Economist wrote this week in a summary of its sister organization’s index.

But the threat to democracy did not emerge with the coronavirus. Data from Freedom House shows that more than 100 countries have seen their levels of freedom decline since 2016, while only a handful have seen gains. The EIU’s global democracy index, meanwhile, has been dipping each year since 2015. What’s happening to democracies right now looks like less of blip — and more of a trend.

Grim news that rather reinforces my conviction that instead of regarding the post-war surge in democracy as confirming Fukuyama-type confidence in the triumph of the system, we should realise that historians may eventually come to see that what we complacently regarded as normal was, in the longer view of history, just a blip. Liberal democracy may turn out to have been a fragile creation, the product of a lucky convergence of historical circumstances. We were lucky to have it, and didn’t take sufficient care of it.


Are Private Messaging Apps the Next Misinformation Hot Spot?

Yes they are. But probably far less hot than when they’re on Facebook and YouTube. This exchange between Brian X. Chen and Kevin Roose of the New York Times is a useful exploration of whether it’s good that many unsavoury characters from the dregs of the internet are disappearing from big social platforms, or whether it’s dangerous to have them congregating in spaces where researchers, journalists and law enforcement can’t keep tabs on them as easily. It’s not long and worth reading in full.


Other, hopefully interesting, links

  • New study cracks the case of why food sticks to centre of nonstick pans. Just in case you were wondering. Link
  • Why You Should Take Any Vaccine. By Zeynep Tufecki, consistently one of the wisest writers on the pandemic. Link
  • Does this video ring any bells for you? Sure did for me. Link

This blog is also available as a daily email. If you think this might suit you better, why not subscribe? One email a day, delivered to your inbox at 7am UK time. It’s free, and there’s a one-click unsubscribe if you decide that your inbox is full enough already!


Wednesday 3 February, 2021

Forgive me if I find this chart particularly interesting. This is the vaccine I had on January 30.

Alex Tabarrok has a useful commentary on it.


Quote of the Day

”In 1969 I published a small book on Humility. It was a pioneering work which has not, to my knowledge, been superseded.”

  • Lord Longford (known to the British tabloids as ‘Lord Porn’ because of his campaign to stamp out pornography).

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news Mary Bergin with Tony Linnane and Mick Conneely | Three reels

Link

The reels are The Banks of the Ilen, The Scartaglen and The Belles of Tipperary

Mary Bergin is an extraordinary musician who works magic with the simplest instrument imaginable.


Long Read of the Day

The Science of reasoning with unreasonable people

By Adam Grant, who teaches organisational psychology at Wharton. (Trump’s alma mater, by the way. Not that that’s anything to do with anything.)

TL;DR summary: Don’t try to change someone else’s mind. Instead, help them find their own motivation to change. Link

I found it interesting but not entirely convincing. Maybe I’m just being unreasonable!


Game On: the GameStop saga, contd.

It gets more and more interesting. For example…

1 – Nicholas Colin had a go at it in his weekly newsletter:

Everyone Wants To Be a Capitalist

The one thing I’m quite sure of regarding the GameStop story is that we haven’t seen the end of it yet. One reason why is because it has been driven (even without falling into the facile idea of “little guys vs. hedge funds”, which has been pretty well shown to not be the case) by the ‘multitude’: those billions of networked individuals who can now exert power in the Entrepreneurial Age.

It shouldn’t be a surprise that many members of the multitude were drawn towards trading over the past year. After all, while much of the world’s market economy has been effectively halted by COVID-19, it’s been only too evident that the capitalist side of things has been doing quite well. That left a ripe environment for what my friend Martin Gurri calls “The Revolt of the Public” to make its way to the heart of Wall Street (which, as it turns out, is located less in Zuccotti Park and more in Bloomberg terminals 😉).

In the end, it’s not simply that barriers to information have been taken away. It’s that without those barriers, the multitude is able to coordinate in ways that were never before possible. It’s no guarantee that ‘the people’ will win against hedge funds; but at the very least, it’s a guarantee that there’s a new player in the game who must be accounted for.

And it is a game.

2 – Linsey McGoey in the LRB joined in with an interesting post which started with Alexis de Tocqueville and George Sand in 1848 and eventually got to GameStop:

It may sound like a classic case of David v. Goliath, but that’s not the whole story. The WSB players on Reddit are not all small-scale. One post noted drily that one of the moderators of the forum used to be Martin Shkreli, a notorious ‘pharma bro’ who has drawn rage over the years for price-gouging on lifesaving medicines. According to this version, it isn’t exactly a good guys v. bad guys story. It’s more about less bad guys ripping off worse guys – all the while exposing the most naive investors to heavy losses which they can’t afford.

Yes and no. Behind Shkreli, there are legions of other men and women with different and even noble agendas.

We don’t yet know what the regulatory ramifications of GameStop will be. Nor do we know its emancipatory potential, its capacity to level the market aristocracy. Years ago, old-guard leftists would scoff at the idea of ‘socialist hedge fund’, dedicated to buying up distressed debt and cancelling it, or using the profits for a strike fund. Now such ideas are on the table, embraced by a new generation who know all too well how powerful and rigged the market really is.

When it comes to the great financial ‘casino’, as Susan Strange dubbed it in 1986, today’s young are tired of being manhandled like plastic chips, scattered by ‘invisible hands’ that may be hard to see, but are clearly good at hoarding. It would be prudent not to underestimate the young. The chips have eyes, they can see the market is rigged, and they are taking notes on its vulnerabilities.

For decades, powerful hedge funds have derailed post-Depression financial reforms, while private equity buccaneers dodge the levels of income tax that any mid-level office or health worker pays. The market is not a democracy, it’s feudalism, and the lords expect subservience from well-pampered regulators.

With GameStop, we don’t know, and will probably never know, who threw the first stone. Maybe it was someone like Shkreli, or maybe it was a young girl, pulling an even faster one. And why not?

3 – Which provoked this lovely Comment by P Eluard:

An interesting factor that plays into your argument has been the blatant double standard of treatment when it came to how retail investors (like me, and potentially anyone else with a smartphone and a bank account) were treated relative to the hedge funds and legacy financial institutions. The platforms which are the big new thing in this series of events, like the ‘robinhood’ app in the US or the ‘freetrade’ app in the UK (which I piled in on as soon as I heard about what was going on, inveterate redditor here) were forced by their guiding institutions to limit the buying power of their users during the squeeze. They said this was to protect their users from volatility. Robinhood has a stakeholder of some sort in Melvin capital, the hedge fund that lost 53% of its value in January. So people were rather surprised when they finally seemed to have the chance to ‘steal from the rich, and give to the poor’, and found that actually they were dealing with the sheriff of Nottingham the whole time, the truth being in the small print.

After sinking a very small sum I could afford to lose into GME stocks on freetrade, I was surprised to wake up on friday and find my trade wouldn’t be quite as free as I thought, and I wouldn’t be able to buy any more, due to their American partner institution declining to offer any American stocks for buying and selling on Friday. The story is that, due to the massive volume of trading that happened on Thursday when the first peak was reached in the price, the clearing house raised the amount that the platforms would have to put up to process the purchase. The clearing houses being unable to process purchases was a key fact in the 2008 crash, I believe (feel free anyone to correct me.) So that’s a justification. But, limiting the buying power of retail investors allowed the institutions, free of limitations, to cover their losses over the next couple of days, as the upwards momentum was drained, and the retail investors left confused as to why their stellar peaks never arrived. Still, seeing billionaires panicking about how much money they were losing and blaming their extremely stupid gambling losses on the poor hating the rich was payment enough for some. I had a blast.

This one will run and run. Or should that be ruin and ruin?

I agree with Nicholas Colin: what this caper has usefully revealed (to those who didn’t know it) is that the stock market (especially the US one) is indeed a game. The thing about Robinhood, Freetrade & Co is that they reduce the friction for small players to get into the game. In the process, they have also introduced some interesting new dynamics into it.


What the Woke Don’t Get About the Old

Nice essay by Sahil Handa

If you’re young like me, you have heard that putdown for our elders, “OK, boomer.” But perhaps also like me, you’ve been a little confused by what it meant. According to an explanation on Vox, “the older generation misunderstands millennial and Gen Z culture and politics so fundamentally that years of condescension and misrepresentation have led to this pointedly terse rebuttal.” Urban Dictionary is more direct, describing “OK, boomer” as “a simple way to tell old people to fuck off.”

What both sources miss is that “OK, boomer” says more about our generation than theirs.

I tend to dislike analysis of generations, partly because I do not feel any particular tie to my own. I was always the kid who liked to spend time with adults. Most of my cousins are twice my age, and I spent my first 16 years trying to be considered their equal. I hated when the parents would sit in a separate room, and leave the kids to play videogames: I was desperate to be taken seriously.

But aged 22 now, I see that the current generational stereotyping isn’t just the old frowning at the young, but my generation frowning at the old. According to the idea prevalent among young progressives, old liberals are self-indulgent and morally compromised. Their use of words like “civility” and “patience” is nothing but a way to preserve the status quo. They are transphobic, complacent about the climate, and make a habit of glossing over Western atrocities. And they do it all with a smug smile (while stockpiling cash from the youngsters who need it).

It’s a nice piece, worth reading in full. He also has a companion essay “What the Old don’t get about the Woke”.

I do hate that term “Woke”, though. Can’t we think of a more elegant one?


Other, hopefully interesting, links

  • Robert Caro interviews Kurt Vonnegut. Unmissable. Often, it’s not clear who’s interviewing whom. Link
  • Jeff Bezos’s email to Amazon employees. Link
  • Google Cloud lost $5.6B in 2020. No wonder Jeff Bezos was grinning today. Link

This blog is also available as a daily email. If you think this might suit you better, why not subscribe? One email a day, delivered to your inbox at 7am UK time. It’s free, and there’s a one-click unsubscribe if you decide that your inbox is full enough already!


Tuesday 2 February, 2021

Nature’s Polygons

Giant’s Causeway, Northern Ireland, on a quiet evening.


Lest we forget…

Trump M.D.

Dr Deborah Birx, one of Trump’s Coronavirus advisers, listens to her boss. Thought bubbles not by me,btw.


The madness of (investing) crowds

From Chris Nuttall in the FT yesterday:

Silver has replaced GameStop as the investment du jour for retail traders, but there is also the Elon effect out there, with Mr Musk lifting bitcoin last week after adding it to his Twitter bio. Now his appearance on the Clubhouse audio service at the weekend has led to a doubling in the share price of Clubhouse Media Group, which happens to be a completely different company. The same thing happened last month when he recommended the Signal messaging service and unrelated Signal Advance rose by more than 6,000 per cent. Regarding Clubhouse, Lex says audio could be the future of online socialising, with the Discord chat app attracting 300m users as well.

Does make you wonder about people, sometimes. The way in which Elon Musk can shape opinion is one of the wonders of the online world.


Quote of the Day

“The battle for the mind of Ronald Reagan was like the trench warfare of World War I. Never have so many fought so hard for such barren terrain.”

  • Peggy Noonan, Reagan’s speechwriter 1984-9.

I’ve never understood why people had such a high opinion of Reagan. He was an amazingly destructive President who just happened to have a good bedside manner.


Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Diana Krall | Just The Way You Are

Link


Twitter, George Soros, and Porn

An interesting essay by Ranjan Roy on subjective vs objective realities: or, social media vs the real world. A worrying aspect of pandemic life is how our understanding of reality is increasingly being shaped by algorithmically-curated, ad-funded digital representations. We trust the platforms to let us know “what’s happening right now” (to coin a Twitter trope) because we can’t be out there seeing it for ourselves.

For any of you that may have ever perused a pornography website, you may have noticed the scenarios getting increasingly preposterous over the years. Multiple partners and medically improbable appendages are the base case. I am cognizant that the situations presented are not representative of ‘real life’. They are not representative of typical sexual relations. I’m sure the scenarios presented on porn sites really do happen sometimes, but they’re highly exaggerated outliers.

I’ve been a tech platform cassandra for my non media+tech friends for a few years now, but trying to explain how ad-based business models and algorithms combine to create a completely distorted understanding of reality has been difficult. The one thing that almost instantly breaks through is to equate the reality presented in a social feed to porn. Yes, the things you are presented with are real and do exist, but they are not representative of the mundane nature of everyday life. Again, highly exaggerated outliers.

In the same way none of us are going to pornhub and searching “suburban pudgy 40something couple missionary” (maybe you are and kudos to you) the algorithm does not promote the uninteresting and the unstimulating. If there is any censorship on these platforms, it’s of the tedious and routine elements of life.

To look at your Facebook, Instagram, or Twitter feed as representative of reality is to look at Pornhub and think “this is how most people have sex”.

Great stuff. He goes on to explain George Soros’s concept of ‘reflexivity’, which is basically the feedback loop by which expectations or desires can shape reality.


Joke Capitalism: GameStop Populism and the Desire for Narrative

Fabulous piece by Andrew Granato that suggests that my initial reading of the GameStop narrative might have been a trifle, er, naive! Sigh.

This story that retail investors buying GameStop shares constitutes populism relies on the fact that the most publicly visible reason for the stock surge is investors who are putting in small amounts of money by public equity markets standards (from the hundreds to the tens of thousands, if we choose to believe screenshots with thousands of upvotes on Reddit) while the most visible losers are two hedge funds, Melvin Capital and Citron Research.

Who is actually reaping the strong majority of the benefits of the surge, on the other hand, bears little resemblance to Reddit day traders and much more resemblance to Melvin and Citron, because the strong majority of equities in the United States are owned by wealthy individuals and asset managers who act on behalf of mostly wealthy individuals. Who are the biggest owners of GameStop? Fidelity (14%), Cohen’s RC Ventures (13%), and BlackRock (11%), and then a bunch of other mutual and hedge funds, and also a guy named Donald Foss who became a billionaire from a subprime auto loan company. Pick almost any American publicly traded company; the list of names will be pretty similar. And as Ranjan Roy wrote about yesterday for some newsletter, there is strong evidence that the rally itself is primarily driven by professional investors.

Maybe I should eat my hat — again! I’ve always found it a nutritious diet.


Still living in a council flat with ‘Grenfell’ cladding? The Westminster government would prefer that you — and we — didn’t know about it.

Great piece of investigative journalism by openDemocracy:

Aluminium composite cladding (ACM), which was implicated in the catastrophic Grenfell Tower fire that killed 72 people in June 2017, was banned the following year.

But the Ministry for Housing, Communities and Local Government (MHCLG) has told local authorities they can block Freedom of Information (FOI) requests that may identify high-rise buildings with aluminium cladding.

In a letter sent to all local authority chief executives, and obtained by openDemocracy, the housing ministry told councils that when responding to FOI requests about ACM “it is appropriate to withhold information that could lead to the identification of affected buildings”.

The news comes as Labour leader Keir Starmer announced that he will force a vote in Parliament next week to commit the government to publishing figures on the number of buildings affected by dangerous cladding.

The housing ministry’s letter, written by the director-general of building safety in November 2017, states that “clearly it is not for” the department to determine how councils respond to FOI requests. But Jon Baines, an information rights expert at the law firm Mishcon de Reya, said he “cannot see any other way of interpreting” the letter than as official guidance.

You think this is a scandal? So do I. But for the current regime it’s business as usual.


Another, hopefully interesting, link

  • Gigapixel Vermeer: Girl with a Pearl Earring has no more secrets. Amazing. Just keep zooming in. Link

This blog is also available as a daily email. If you think this might suit you better, why not subscribe? One email a day, delivered to your inbox at 7am UK time. It’s free, and there’s a one-click unsubscribe if you decide that your inbox is full enough already!


 

Monday 1 February, 2021

Orchid in a window


Quote of the Day

“Baseball is a Lockean game, a kind of contract theory in ritual form, a set of atomic individuals who assent to patterns of limited co-operation in their mutual interest.”

  • Michael Novak, writer and philosopher

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Händel | Giulio Cesare | Va tacito e nascosto. Link

Thanks to Janet Cobb for the suggestion. This modest version makes an interesting comparison with the full-on Glyndebourne version.


Long read of the Day

The miracle that is OpenStreetMap. Link

You can think of OSM in several ways:

  • A distributed community of mappers contributing information about the geography of the world to a common repository
  • A free web map hosted at https://www.openstreetmap.org/
  • A loosely affiliated collection of free and open source tools for mapping the world
  • A real-time stream of instructions representing how to add, change, or remove cartographically projected geometries and associated metadata based on a prior state
  • Google Maps, but openly licensed

Or you could say that Open StreetMap is to atlases as Wikipedia is to an encyclopedia but that annoys both OSM and Wikipedia supporters who think it’s like saying that baseball is like cricket for fat people.

This is a long but fascinating piece about an important collective effort which should remind people that it’s the kind of thing that the Internet enables (and the walled gardens of Facebook et al do not).


An Airbnb Listing Written by My Mom to Me

by Jenny Crowley

I loved this. Sample:

There’s no place like home. This private basement bedroom is perfect for long weekends, holiday stays, or extended visits. Departure dates are flexible yet completely unnecessary. We can discuss them later.

THE SPACE

Relax and unwind from the stresses of working too much by staying in this charming Wisconsin oasis with all the comforts of home. Because it is your home. And will always be your home.

And this:

You also have access to the fully stocked kitchen, so help yourself. There’s chili, tater tot hotdish, homemade chicken noodle soup, beef stew, apple pie, and butterscotch oatmeal cookies in the freezer for when you get hungry. Or Smart Pop, Funyuns, Bugles, Cheez-Its, and Peanut Butter M&Ms in the cupboard for when you get bored.

A wide range of refreshments are available as well, like bottled water, Folgers coffee, hot chocolate, Lipton Iced Tea, Diet Pepsi, and one bottle of Cherry Vanilla Coke Zero I bought by mistake.

No need to pack any clothes either because the bedroom closet is still bursting with your late ’90s high school fashions. I wasn’t sure what you wanted to keep. Like your prom dress. You only wore it once and just looked so beautiful in it. I didn’t have the heart to give it away. Maybe you’ll need it for a wedding or a date or a festive costume party.


Reporters as brands

Ben Smith, the Media Editor of the New York Times (and formerly of Buzzfeed) has a long piece in the Times about the thorny question of whether journalists employed by traditional news outlets should have a significant (and sometimes combative) presence on Twitter. As far as I can see — in the best tradition of old-style American monopoly journalism — he manages to avoid taking a position, this this is how he concludes:

I suspect that successful news organizations of the future will find ways to align these dynamics: to share in their employees’ success and to add enough value that their stars stick around. Twitter’s recent acquisition of a newsletter company, Revue, could point in that direction. Revue has been focused on tools for publishers, as well as for individuals, and you could imagine a situation in which both journalists and publishers can share in the value of that promotion.

In the meantime, I will conclude simply by thanking you for reading me each week, and, if you do, for subscribing to The Times. And please follow me on Twitter at @benyt.

Personally, I don’t think professional journalists shouldn’t be prominent tweeters. Apart from anything else, they’re just feeding the troll-engine.


Rich countries have botched the pandemic, big time

Just before the pandemic, Johns Hopkins University, the Nuclear Threat Initiative, and the Economist Intelligence Unit released a World Health Preparedness Report ranking every country in the world on its pandemic preparedness. The highest-ranked country was the U.S. — but now, only eight of the 153 countries in the study have a worse death rate than the U.S. The U.K. came in second for preparedness; its death rate is even worse than America’s. Thailand and Sweden were ranked equally on preparedness, but Thailand has seen only 1 death per million people, while Sweden has seen 1,078.

So much for preparedness reports, then. Mind you, if the investigators had just looked at who was in charge of the US or the UK in 2019 they might have made more astute assessments.


Nowhere in the US Constitution are idiots disbarred from being members of Congress. Who knew?

Nice column by Jack Shafer.

Nowhere in the Constitution — and this is excellent news for freshly sworn-in Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.)—does it stipulate that a House member must have the mental capacity to cook on all four burners.

This is in keeping with the Framers’ general idea that only the lowest bars should be set for officeholders. But…

As CNN, the Washington Post, POLITICO and a score of other outlets have reported, Greene is a shambles of a human being. She subscribes to or has promoted an awful bunch of irrational and absurd ideas and positions, so irrational and absurd that you’d be doing her a favor by calling them merely “fringe.” She has trafficked in false QAnon claims of a global pedophilic-satanic cabal involving top Democrats and Hollywood celebrities; she “liked” a comment suggesting the Parkland school massacre was a “false flag” operation and asserted much the same about the Sandy Hook killings; she appeared to support the execution of Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi (also accusing Pelosi of treason); suggested the Las Vegas shooting was part of a plot to abolish the Second Amendment; claimed the 2020 presidential election was stolen; and asserted the 2018 midterms, in which Democrats took the House, represented “an Islamic invasion of our government.” On Jan. 21, shortly after Joe Biden took the oath, Greene filed, as she had promised, articles of impeachment against him. Her articles of impeachment won’t go anywhere, but they gave us a pocket preview of her flagpole-sitting skills.

And the funny thing is that if the House tried to unseat her (or if she resigned and stood again) the voters in her gerrymandered seat would probably re-elect her.

Reminds me of Bertrand Russell’s argument that one of the merits of democracy was that an MP could never be stupider than his constituents “because the more stupid he is the more stupid they are to elect him”. (MPs were overwhelmingly male in thos days.)


Other, hopefully interesting, links

  • How to stop your spectacles fogging up when you wear a mask. Useful research by Elias Visontay for the Guardian. And he seems to have found a solution. Link
  • How to stop elephants trampling your crops: put bee-hives round the perimeter. Neat and humane idea. And you can sell the honey too. Link

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