On this day…

…in 1979, America’s worst commercial nuclear accident occurred inside the Unit Two reactor at the Three Mile Island plant near Middletown, Pennsylvania.

Patience 2.0

‘Grand’ Arcade this morning. Note long, orderly queue up left hand side. What are they waiting for?

(Hint: See top right of the picture.)

Aw, ok. See below.

Grand Arcade: Flip Side

Cambridge’s ludicrous new shopping mall — pretentiously entitled ‘Grand Arcade’, if you please — opened today. The flip side was also on display, meticulously polishing the fixtures and fittings.

Step on those brakes, man, step on those brakes

From Engadget

It’s only taken about a million years, but someone has finally decided that improvements are possible in automobile braking lights. Students from Virginia Tech have developed a new system that can show not just whether you’re stopping, but if you’re slowing down, when you’re about to stop, and how quickly you’re pressing the pedal. The concept uses an array of horizontally arranged LED lights — when you begin to slow, lights in the center glow orange, after a certain threshold side lights turn to red, and if you’re slamming on the brake, they’ll all flash red. The team, led by mechanical engineering Professor Mehdi Ahmadian, has plans for the system beyond the lab, though they speculate that it will be easier to add them as additional indicators on commercial vehicles at first. If this pans out, someday soon we may all be tailgating a totally psychedelic light show.

Hmmm…. Someone has commented pointing out that BMW offer ‘Adaptive Brake Lights’ as an optional extra:

“Bumper-to-bumper collisions most often occur when the driver behind you didn’t realize how hard you were braking. Our Adaptive Brake Lights help eliminate that scenario by emitting a larger, brighter light the more force you use. It allows those behind you to clearly see whether you”re lightly tapping the brakes to slow down or applying full force for a sudden stop.”

Krugman on Bear Stearns

From his NYT column

Nobody expects an investment bank to be a charitable institution, but Bear has a particularly nasty reputation. As Gretchen Morgenson of The New York Times reminds us, Bear “has often operated in the gray areas of Wall Street and with an aggressive, brass-knuckles approach.”

Bear was a major promoter of the most questionable subprime lenders. It lured customers into two of its own hedge funds that were among the first to go bust in the current crisis. And it’s a bad financial citizen: the last time the Fed tried to contain a financial crisis, after the collapse of Long-Term Capital Management in 1998, Bear refused to participate in the rescue operation.

Bear, in other words, deserved to be allowed to fail — both on the merits and to teach Wall Street not to expect someone else to clean up its messes.

But the Fed rode to Bear’s rescue anyway, fearing that the collapse of a major investment bank would cause panic in the markets and wreak havoc with the wider economy. Fed officials knew that they were doing a bad thing, but believed that the alternative would be even worse.

As Bear goes, so will go the rest of the financial system. And if history is any guide, the coming taxpayer-financed bailout will end up costing a lot of money.

The U.S. savings and loan crisis of the 1980s ended up costing taxpayers 3.2 percent of G.D.P., the equivalent of $450 billion today. Some estimates put the fiscal cost of Japan’s post-bubble cleanup at more than 20 percent of G.D.P. — the equivalent of $3 trillion for the United States.

If these numbers shock you, they should. But the big bailout is coming. The only question is how well it will be managed.

As I said, the important thing is to bail out the system, not the people who got us into this mess. That means cleaning out the shareholders in failed institutions, making bondholders take a haircut, and canceling the stock options of executives who got rich playing heads I win, tails you lose.

Couldn’t have put it better myself. But will it happen? Don’t hold your breath.

And another thing… The Reagan era savings-and-loan scandal mentioned by Krugman went largely unexposed by the fearless American media. Just as the sub-prime scandal did — until it became unmissable. I went to a fascinating dinner in London about two years ago in which the great Mark Anderson did one of his famous tours d’horizon. He went on and on about the “coming sub-prime crisis” and I began to feel embarrassed because I’d never heard the phrase until that moment. And I’m a pretty assiduous reader of newspapers — American as well as European.

Quote of the day

“Likely to encounter issues for which there is no resolution.”

From Adobe’s summary of software that won’t run under Mac OS X 10.5 (Leopard).

Translation: You’re screwed, sucker. Buy an upgrade.

If they’d said something like: “Look, this is old software and we can’t afford to keep every release we’ve ever issued up to date”, then that would have been fine. It’s the impersonal “issues for which there is no resolution” that bugs me.

The watchdog that slept

From Robert Peston’s Blog

The Financial Services Report into its supervision of Northern Rock is a catalogue of mistakes, a tragedy of errors rather than a comedy.

The City watchdog admits to inadequate record keeping. Proper notes weren’t taken of important meetings with Rock executives.

There was no rigorous assessment of the serious business risks being run by the Rock, both in the way that the bank was rapidly increasing its mortgage lending and in its financial dependence on selling these mortgages to investors in the form of bonds.

In some ways, it was the riskiest bank in the UK.

But here’s what will shock many.

It was treated by the FSA as though it was the least risky bank in the UK: it received deep assessments of its operations less frequently than most other banks; FSA staff had far fewer meetings with Rock executives than they did with executives at other banks; and unlike what happened at other banks, there was no attempt to force the Rock to reduce the risks it was running.

As the FSA itself says, this was not just a failure of more junior staff. Responsibility for these failings ultimately rests with senior FSA management…

I’ve got a good friend who runs an investment company — and who therefore has had many dealings with the FSA. Long before the Rock fiasco, he told me that the FSA was the most incompetent and arrogant organisation he’d ever dealt with. And yet it had powers of life or death over his business.

And another thing… One of the most disgraceful aspects of the whole story is the way the FSA and its City acolytes tried to frame Mervyn King, the Governor of the Bank of England, for the failure to deal with the errant bank. The whole thing stinks. But I bet nobody in the FSA will fall on his sword.

Wikipedia gets $3m donation

Hooray! From The Register

Wikipedia, the people’s encylopedia, has trousered a $3m donation from the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, to be paid in equal chunks over three years. Which is nice. Even nicer, the money hails from a charity, and not from philanthropic venture capitalists, who may or may not have commercial designs upon Wikipedia’s ads-unsullied pages.

Wikipedia is the world’s eighth biggest website, but it has a measly 15 full-time employees, up from last year’s even more measly 10. It will use the Sloan cash to fund quality improvements and to up staff levels to 25 people.

JPMorgan has to pay more for Bear Stearns

JPMorgan Chase is to pay a revised $2.1bn (£1.05bn) for Bear Stearns after sweetening the terms of the deal to make it almost impossible for a rival to make a counter offer amid growing concern among other banks over the original $236m transaction…

[Source]

Still, it’s only $10 a share, which is some consolation, given what BS was once ‘worth’. On that subject, incidentally, John Lanchester recently said some pertinent things, viz:

Companies, even huge financial companies like Bear Stearns, have personalities, and the personality of Bear, the fifth-largest US investment bank, was bullish, chest-out, cigar-chomping, macho, and unlovable. In 1998, the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management – which would better have been named Short Term Crazy Betting – blew up. It had available cash of $500m but had borrowed and leveraged so extensively that it was holding contracts worth an apocalyptic $1.25tn. The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, William McDonough, got together the heads of the big US banks at his offices, and essentially demanded that they rescue LTCM.

This was a moment for the fat cats and Wall Street oligarchs to demonstrate their public-spiritedness by risking their own money to rescue LTCM from its own mistakes, and in the process avert the risk of a global meltdown. The first banker to speak was James Cayne the (literally) cigar-chomping head of Bear Stearns. He was in a good position to know the gory details about LTCM’s derivative holdings, because Bear Stearns cleared LTCM’s trades. Cayne said no. He refused to help LTCM.

The other bankers went berserk. But Cayne didn’t budge, and in the process uttered a magnificently menacing line: “Don’t go alphabetically if you want this to work.” So the other banks bailed LTCM out, and did not love Bear Stearns for not doing so, and at least one person in the meeting openly vowed revenge…