The Net in 2020

Hmmm… The folks at the Pew Internet surveys have done another one of their consultation exercises with various experts on the Future of the Internet. Main conclusions:

  • A low-cost global network will be thriving and creating new opportunities in a “flattening” world.
  • Humans will remain in charge of technology, even as more activity is automated and “smart agents” proliferate.
  • However, a significant 42% of survey respondents were pessimistic about humans’ ability to control the technology in the future. This significant majority agreed that dangers and dependencies will grow beyond our ability to stay in charge of technology. This was one of the major surprises in the survey.
  • Virtual reality will be compelling enough to enhance worker productivity and also spawn new addiction problems.
  • Tech “refuseniks” will emerge as a cultural group characterized by their choice to live off the network. Some will do this as a benign way to limit information overload, while others will commit acts of violence and terror against technology-inspired change.
  • People will wittingly and unwittingly disclose more about themselves, gaining some benefits in the process even as they lose some privacy.
  • English will be a universal language of global communications, but other languages will not be displaced. Indeed, many felt other languages such as Mandarin, would grow in prominence….
  • Full results here.

    eBay Adword madness

    I’m often intrigued by the idiocy of the eBay ads popped up by Google. This one comes from Gmail in an exchange between me and a colleague about a meeting at Cambridge. The Alumni ad is clearly relevant. The eBay one is daft.

    iPod users ‘shunning iTunes store’

    Hmmm… BBC NEWS report

    Despite the success of Apple iTunes, few people stock their iPod with tracks from the online store, reports a study.

    The Jupiter Research report says that, on average, only 20 of the tracks on an iPod will be from the iTunes shop.

    Far more important to iPod owners, said the study, was free music ripped from CDs someone already owned or acquired from file-sharing sites.

    The report’s authors claimed their findings had profound implications for the future of the online music market…