McCain looking for his 9-11 moment? Some cheap, armchair psychologizing…

Watching McCain posturing as the saviour of the US economy this evening I was reminded of this post by David Weinberger.

McCain’s suspending of his campaign is so very odd that I find myself looking for psychological, and not just political, explanations. So, try on this armchair psychoanalysis, keeping in mind that I’m just making this stuff up:

First, assume that McCain is desperate. When Fox puts you at 39%, desperation becomes reality-based thinking. Second — and this is the unpleasant part — imagine that McCain has had the thought that many of us had had: A terrorist attack in October would shake up the entire electoral chessboard, and might well favor the Republicans. (Yeah, yeah, I don’t think it should it, either.)

Now, no one wants a terrorist attack (except, um, the terrorists), including John McCain, of course. But we’re talking psychology here. So, could it be that McCain is reacting to the financial meltdown as if it were a large-scale terrorist attack because deep within him, he’s waiting for the crisis that saves him, the crisis that lets the aging warrior put on his flight suit one more time?

After all, the subtext of his “putting country first” trope isn’t patriotism but heroism. Heroes need crises. McCain’s brand of heroism consists of sacrifice: He gave up 5 years of his life in North Vietnam, and now he’s willing to give up campaigning.

McCain’s political problem is that in this case, his self-sacrifice seems unnecessary and can be taken as panic or cowardice. It seems like sacrifice for sacrifice’s sake. He thus runs the risk of voters turning away from the hero-without-a-cause to the leader who has one.

That Bush speech in full

Good evening, my fellow Armenians. This is an extraordinary period for America’s economics.

Over the past few weeks, many Americans have felt anxiety about their finances and their SUVs. I understand their worry and their frustration.

We’ve seen triple-digit swings in the stuck market. Major financial institutions have teetered on the ledge of collapse, and some have failed. As discertainty has grown, many banks have restructed lending, debit markets have frozen solid, and families and businesses have found it harder to get money from the ATM.

We’re in the midst of a serious financial crisis, folks, and the federal government is responding with decisive reactionariness.

We boosted confidence in money marketing mutualities and acted to prevent major investors from intentionally driving down sticks for their own personal gain.

Most importantly, my administration is working with those assholes in Congress to address the root and branch behind much of the destability in our marketplaces.

Financial assets related to home mortgagees have lost value during the house declination, and the banks holding these assets have destricted credit. As a result, our entire ecology is in danger.

So I proposition that the federal government deduce the risk posed by these troubled assholes and supply urgently needed moolah so banks and other financial institutions can avoid collapse and resume screwing the public in the time-honoured way.

This rescue effort is not aimed at perverting any individual company or industry. It is aimed at preservating America’s overall economics.

It will help American consumers and businesses get debit to meet their daily needs and create jobs for the good ol’ boys. And it will help send a semaphore to markets around the world that America’s financial system is back on truck.

Gawd help America. Thank you and good night.

And you thought Cheney was scary?

Well, just watch this.

I’m tired of hearing people pay obesience to John McCain because of his, er, heroism. Whatever principles he once may have had have already been jettisoned in the interests of getting elected. Besides, a guy who could offer this religious crackpot to his country as a potential president needs to be certified, not elected.

Clay’s Must-Read list

While browsing I came on what his agent describes as Clay Shirky’s ‘Must Read’ list.

Rise of the Stupid Network, David Isenberg — Why the Internet works

End-to-End Arguments In System Design, J.H. Saltzer, D.P. Reed, and D.D. Clark — How to Design for the Internet

Worse is Better, Richard Gabriel — Why weak but flexible systems beat strong but inflexible ones

Logic of Collective Action, Mancur Olson — Group coordination costs as a key aspect of organization design.

Please Hank, what do I say next?

One of the creepiest aspects of the Perfect Financial Storm is the way Dubya has been reduced to being a bit-player in his own Administration. It’s clear from the few public statements he’s made that he hasn’t a clue what’s going on and is reading from a script written for him by others.

Kodachrome: the end?

Yep. Looks like Kodak are phasing it out.

Only one commercial lab in the world, Dwayne’s Photo in Parsons, Kan., still develops Kodachrome, a once-ubiquitous brand that has freeze-framed the world in rich but authentic hues since it was introduced in the Great Depression.

Eastman Kodak Co. now makes the slide and motion-picture film in just one 35 mm format, and production runs — in which a master sheet nearly a mile long is cut up into more than 20,000 rolls — fall at least a year apart.

Kodak won’t say when the last one occurred nor hint at Kodachrome’s prospects. Kodachrome stocks now on sale have a 2009 expiration date. If the machines aren’t fired up again, the company might sell out the remaining supplies, and that would be the end.

“It’s a low-volume product; all volumes (of color film) are down,” said Kodak spokesman Chris Veronda.

Sigh. There goes part of my youth. And of Paul Simon’s.

The politics of unverified threats

Terrific post by Dave Winer.

Flash back to the United Nations on 2/5/03. An impressive almost Presidential Secretary of State, Colin Powell, delivering some chilling news, not coming right out and saying it, but definitely leading you to believe that Saddam has nukes and chemical weapons and stuff even more horrible and is getting ready to use all of it in some unspecified horrible way. It’s the lack of specificity that makes it so chilling.

Consider the whole scenario. Powell can’t tell us what the danger is because that would violate some security that he can’t violate. Well, I did what a lot of Americans did that day, I sucked it up and got behind my government. And they suckered me. And I’ll never forget it. I got fooled, and used, and a lot of people died, in the name of freedom, and it was all a lie.

We all paid a huge price that day, and the bill may be coming due today, because they’re presenting us with the same scenario, this time about the economy. And we’re not going for it. You can see it in the way things flipped around overnight. A lot of people woke up this morning, like I did, and realized — wait I’ve seen this movie before.

Now we have another impressive Almost Presidential secretary, Henry Paulson, who says there’s impending doom, but he can’t say exactly what it is, it’s not security this time, but fear of starting another level of bank runs. Senators and Representatives come out of a Thursday night meeting with the secretary (would they have believed the President) won’t say exactly what he said, but they are stunned. The next day buried in a sea of press about this event is an almost innocuous paragraph in a NYT piece that talks about a flight to safety from the US Treasury money market. OMG. A point made by the secretary to the Congresspeople, a lot of your constituents have their savings in money markets. The Senators think to themselves, Fuck the constituents, that’s where my retirement savings are! (And by the way, mine.)

And who elected Hank Paulson btw? Dave’s point is that

we can’t do it on the terms that Paulson asks for. There has to be some pain and there has to be oversight and checks and balances. There’s no such thing as a law passed by Congress that can’t be judged by the courts. Not in the USA, not under our form of government. And no way is Bush going to get that by us.

So here’s what I propose. The Republican slogan today is Country First. So let’s see the Republicans do a little of that famous Country First stuff.

Bush and Cheney must resign immediately. No immunity, no pardons. Nancy Pelosi will become President, promising not to run for re-election on November 4. Her term will be one of the shortest in US history, just long enough to enact the provisions of the bill being proposed by the Republican administration. If it really is the best thing for the country and not a trick, then the Republicans, being impressed by the seriousness of it, would have to insist that Bush step aside and let the Democrats execute the plan. The entire Bush cabinet stays in office through January 20, but reports, of course to Pelosi. And that includes Paulson.

It’s pretty simple. If they won’t do it, we know they’re bluffing.

Hmmm…. I think we know the answer to that one.

James Miller pointed me to an interesting post by Robert Reich, the Harvard academic who was Bill Clinton’s Secretary of Labor for a while:

The public doesn’t like a blank check. They think this whole bailout idea is nuts. They see fat cats on Wall Street who have raked in zillions for years, now extorting in effect $2,000 to $5,000 from every American family to make up for their own nonfeasance, malfeasance, greed, and just plain stupidity. Wall Street’s request for a blank check comes at the same time most of the public is worried about their jobs and declining wages, and having enough money to pay for gas and food and health insurance, meet their car payments and mortgage payments, and save for their retirement and childrens’ college education. And so the public is asking: Why should Wall Street get bailed out by me when I’m getting screwed?

So if you are a member of Congress, you just might be in a position to demand from Wall Street certain conditions in return for the blank check…

He goes on to set out five conditions. The one I like best is that banking bonuses be based on a five-year rolling average of performance.