From one of the most thoughtful blogs on the Net…
As usual, we’ll start the new year by reviewing the predictions we made for the previous year. Here now, our 2007 predictions, in italics, with hindsight in ordinary type.
(1) DRM technology will still fail to prevent widespread infringement. In a related development, pigs will still fail to fly.
We predict this every year, and it’s always right. This prediction is so obvious that it’s almost unfair to count it. Verdict: right.
(2) An easy tool for cloning MySpace pages will show up, and young users will educate each other loudly about the evils of plagiarism.
This didn’t happen. Anyway, MySpace seems less relevant now than it did a year ago. Verdict: wrong.
(3) Despite the ascent of Howard Berman (D-Hollywood) to the chair of the House IP subcommittee, copyright issues will remain stalemated in Congress.
As predicted, not much happened in Congress on the copyright front. As usual, some bad bills were proposed, but none came close to passage. Verdict: right.
(4) Like the Republicans before them, the Democrats’ tech policy will disappoint.
Very little changed. For the most part, tech policy issues do not break down neatly along party lines. Verdict: right.
Lots more: worth reading in full. He also has an intriguing post on the technology policies of Barack Obama