Monday 7 September, 2026

Non-potable


Quote of the Day

“The past is never dead. It’s not even past.”

  • William Faulkner

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Alison Krauss & Union Station | Dimming Of The Day

Link


Long Read of the Day

‘Empire’s tolling bell’: What China hears from America

This is an interesting essay by Michael Ignatieff speculating on what the Chinese leadership might be thinking as they watch the chaos in Washington.

According to a recent Chinese report, the sound that Xi Jing Ping and the Chinese leaders hear when they listen to America is “the heavy and haunting toll of an empire’s evening bell.”

What does it mean for the stability of the world when a rising power hears only a melancholy echo of fading power from its once dominant rival? Will this encourage Xi Jing Ping to make a play for global dominance now, or will he bide his time and wait patiently for his rival to collapse?

What happens if America comes to believe its power is ebbing away? Does it make peace with its rival and accept genteel decline, or does it strike before it becomes too weak to avert its own fall?

These are questions as old as the Greek historian, Thucydides’ analysis of why the Peloponnesian Wars broke out in 431 BC…

They are. And they matter for both Ukraine (and therefore Europe) and Taiwan.


Books, etc.

As a long-term reader of Francis Fukuyama (who even forgave him for his misguided foray into neoconservatism) I’ve been looking forward to — and pre-ordered — this memoir, which comes out tomorrow.


My commonplace booklet

James Dyson, the Brexit enthusiast who locates his factories in places other than the UK, has a new tech solution to a problem you didn’t know you had.

According to a nice piece by Ella Risbridger in the Financial Times,

The Dyson CameraJet™ Electric Toothbrush is “an entirely new way to clean your teeth.” It looks almost exactly like the old way to clean your teeth. It is, of course, a lot more expensive. It has an “integrated 100k-pixel macro lens camera powered by machine learning”. It takes 28 live images per second.

If you brush your teeth for the dentist-recommended twice-daily two minutes, that is 6,720 images a day and 2,452,800 images a year. For context, there are slightly fewer frames than this in Stanley Kubrick’s entire filmography. The proud new owner of the Dyson CameraJet™ Electric Toothbrush will have, by this time next year, created more images than The Shining, Doctor Strangelove, A Clockwork Orange and 2001: A Space Odyssey put together. Every one of those images will be of the inside of their own red wet maw.

I know what you’re thinking: no, it wasn’t published on April 1.


Linkblog

Something I noticed, while drinking from the Internet firehose.

  •  Medieval manuscripts are “biological time capsules” for deadly sheeppox virus

Utterly fascinating. The parchments contains the DNA of pathogens of the diseases affecting the animal from which it was made. Link


Chart of the Day

<img src=”http://memex.naughtons.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/Screenshot-2026-09-05-at-16.40.22-1024×823.png” alt=”” width=”584″ height=”469″ class=”aligncenter size-large wp-image-42671″ /

A chart from an interesting blog post by Sameer Singh, who thinks that currrent AI is the closing phase of the computing cycle that began with the microchip in the 1970s. I’m sceptical about his ‘personal robotics’ hypothesis, but he’s spot-on about the unsustainable economics of the current approach to massive-compute AI. ‘Inference’ (i.e. what most of us use AI for) is currently a huge loss maker for the companies because of the computing load it involves.

The sustainable future is open-source LLMs running on local hardware. Two years from now, the hardware needed for local inference will be in our pockets.


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Friday 4 September, 2026

The decisive moment

Well, a provençal moment anyway.


Quote of the Day

”The best people possess a feeling for beauty, the courage to take risks, the discipline to tell the truth, the capacity for sacrifice. Ironically, their virtues make them vulnerable; they are often wounded, sometimes destroyed.”

  • Ernest Hemingway

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Edward Elgar | Enigma Variations, Op.36: IX. (Nimrod)

Link

Something calming before you get to what lies below.


Long Read of the Day

Mike Brock on the significance of Trump’s renaming a lake — and the way giant corporations bend to his will.

Mr. Orwell, if he were here with us, would recognize what he was looking at. Moving past the fascinating advances in technology he missed during this absence, the general outlines of the epistemic tyrannies he warned about are all around.

What he would be looking at, this week, is a lake. One of North America’s Great Lakes. On Tuesday, Apple renamed one of them — Lake Ontario — on its Apple Maps application. Users in the United States now see “Lake America.” Users in Canada still see Lake Ontario. Everyone else gets both names — one body of water, two labels, assigned by region settings. No law made the company do it. The president’s order directs federal agencies and the federal names database, and it cannot compel a private label on a private map — and Apple did it anyway.

Orwell’s century had a ministry for this work — a Records Department, clerks, tubes for the old maps, a furnace. Ours is quieter. Nobody seizes the record. The record is a product, and products update. Keep the dates, because the dates are the story: the call was disclosed on Monday, August 31, Tim Cook’s last day as chief executive of Apple. The map changed on Tuesday, September 1, John Ternus’s first.

The order came on Thursday, August 27, directing the Interior Department and the Board on Geographic Names to scrub Lake Ontario from federal maps, contracts, and communications. The government database was updated within hours. I wrote about the order. MapQuest, a company the country had mostly forgotten, posted a screenshot of the lake that same day with four words under it: “We’re not changing it.” On Saturday, Google folded in three sentences on a product blog. On Monday, Interior Secretary Doug Burgum went on Fox Business‘ Mornings with Maria and described the president’s phone call to Tim Cook as scheduling: “I know that the president reached out to Apple directly, so I’m sure that we may be seeing that change coming up coming up soon to Lake America.” He called it “a little bit of inside baseball.” On Tuesday, the label flipped.

Apple has explained none of it. The company did not respond when the call was reported, and when the rename went live it declined to comment — no statement, no policy page, no byline anywhere on the decision…

The longer this goes on, the more relevant Orwell and Hannah Arendt become.


 AI’s surveillance dystopia is handing power to the peepers

My latest Observer column.

Way back in 2013, Edward Snowden (whom God preserve) revealed to an astonished world the scope and scale of US mass surveillance. The National Security Agency (NSA), he showed, was collecting everything it could, right down to recordings of German chancellor Angela Merkel’s phone conversations. But although the agency was able to “collect it all”, as its then director, Keith Alexander, put it, it was drowning in the torrents of data it was hoovering up. It found it difficult to turn all that data into information, its reach exceeded its grasp.

There was a sense in which that capacity deficit was reassuring. “Sure, I might be being surveilled,” went the mantra, “but I’m only a drop in that ocean.” There are CCTV cameras everywhere, but nobody’s really watching those videos, unless the police are looking for evidence after a crime.

But that was in 2013, which is 91 internet years ago. Now the NSA, and every other comparable agency in the world, seem to have the necessary capability. They call it AI, even though it’s mostly large language models such as Claude, Gemini, DeepSeek or GPT-5.

These machines have several critical capabilities for this work. One is that they’re very fast workers. A good example is scanning retinal images looking for cases that require human inspection. The processing time of AIs for each image range from 240 milliseconds to 45 seconds, while human graders may spend up to 20 minutes reviewing a full screening case. Given that the NHS needs to scan 12 million images every year, you can see why using the technology makes sense. Second, AIs are good at ingesting, cross-referencing and analysing disparate data sources. And third, they’re tireless, as the Hugging Face team observed in the startup’s postmortem on the now notorious hack on its servers by rogue AI agents from OpenAI.

Dystopian fears about an all-knowing surveillance state have been around for aeons. But this time, writes James Ball, a distinguished British journalist who worked on the Snowden story, there’s a crucial difference: “All of the technology to deliver this already exists,” he observes, “and is already in widespread use. Existing large language models would be more than capable of delivering such a system, not just pulling together disparate sources of intelligence, but analysing them in real time, ‘advising’ police on who to grab, and where to find them. Those systems will only improve in time. An administration could at least argue – and try its luck through the courts – that existing laws would allow all of this to be done.”

Ball has had conversations with current and former law enforcement staff, ex-intelligence agents from multiple countries, sources inside large AI companies, as well as academics and figures in civil society. Out of those conversations, he says, one clear message has emerged: “Thanks to AI, the surveillance dystopia science fiction has spent decades warning us about is already here. We just haven’t noticed yet.”

Here in the UK, though, it looks as if some institutions have been paying attention. For example, the Metropolitan police recently fed data from 35 sources into an AI system provided by (surprise, surprise!) Palantir to monitor officers and staff for disciplinary violations or criminality (keeping inappropriate images on work devices, say, or crossing ethical boundaries with victims of crime). The result was “investigations into hundreds of officers for issues including work-from-home violations, as well as a smaller number flagged for misconduct and criminality including sex offences”.

This kind of intimate surveillance used to be a wet dream for authoritarians. Now they can buy it off the shelf. What, then, will liberal democracies do about – or with – it? Expect the usual technocratic rationalisations for it: efficiency, reducing crime, value for money in the public sector and so on. And, of course, heading off threats to public order, such as, for instance, demonstrations against the mammoth datacentres that are now defined as “critical national infrastructure”.

If that, indeed, is the path we’re on, expect a rueful smile from Francis Fukuyama, the sage who thought that, after the Soviet Union imploded, liberal democracies would focus on “Getting to Denmark” – shorthand for a stable, prosperous and high-trust society. He may appreciate the irony that democracies opting for AI-powered surveillance would instead be focusing on “Getting to China”, where all this technology is already up and running.

Interestingly, this chimes with another development in the US.

This from Wired:

In the wake of attacks on CEOs, a nationwide protest movement targeting data centers, and increasing concerns about AI job replacement, federal intelligence agencies and domestic law enforcement are circulating reports with a new domestic target in mind: anti-technology extremists.

More than 1,000 pages of unpublished reports from the Department of Homeland Security, FBI, and fusion centers obtained by WIRED show a national shift taking place to surveil this new and worryingly broad category of people and activities deemed an emerging threat.

This new effort follows President Donald Trump’s National Security Presidential Memo 7, which instructs the Department of Justice to target anyone holding “anti-American,” “anti-Christian,” and “anti-capitalism” beliefs…


Books, etc.

My wife and I have just finished reading Emily Wilson’s translation of the Odyssey and foolishly ticked it off the list of Books To Be Read. But guess what? She has decided to rewrite the damn thing.

“It’s a complete retranslation. It’s not a revision of the old version,” Wilson told The Associated Press during a recent Zoom interview from her home in Philadelphia, where she is a professor of classical studies at the University of Pennsylvania. “I’m about halfway through.”

Regarded as the first major English-language translation of Homer’s epic by a woman, her book was already a bestseller and a culture-wars flashpoint before the release of Christopher Nolan’s blockbuster adaptation. But she says her translation methods have become more sophisticated and that enough time has passed for her to see some flaws in her work — as an example, she overused the word “slave” when ancient Greek had different terms for different categories of enslaved people. The new edition will be longer, she says, and will better reflect the differing social worlds of Homer’s poem.

The original version has already sold a million copies worldwide. Wouldn’t you think she’d give us poor readers a break.

My commonplace booklet

From Semafor:

Ukraine is intensifying its aerial assault against Russia with drones that fly for longer and carry a larger payload, boosting Kyiv’s profile as allied nations race to distill its battle-tested insights. Ukraine is “churning out cutting-edge military technology” at a speed with “few parallels in modern history,” The Wall Street Journal wrote. That expertise is in high demand: Italy is bringing on Ukraine’s ousted defense minister and drone impresario to advise on strategy, as Poland, facing heightened incursions from Russia, prepares for joint drone exercises with the US that are explicitly modeled on Ukrainian soldiers’ experiences. Taiwan also recently credited Ukraine with inspiring its drone push.

And, guess what?

US Army Secretary Dan Driscoll’s resignation on Monday could undermine efforts to modernize Washington’s armed forces, analysts said. US President Donald Trump’s “drone guy,” Driscoll reportedly clashed with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth over the army’s “transformation and readiness” efforts, which Driscoll believed were hamstrung by Hegseth’s firing of generals, CNN reported. Last month, the army said it would fold a cutting-edge drone unit that had been formed to imbibe lessons from Ukraine’s battlefield successes, a decision reflecting the new chief’s “back-to-basics” approach.


Errata

Heartfelt thanks to Terry Kavanagh and the many other readers who pointed out that the Simpson figure in Wednesday’s pic was not Bart but his nemesis, Sideshow Bob! My latest helping of humble pie has been duly ordered. I could not find my hat, but that was because I had already eaten it.


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Wednesday 2 September, 2026

Bart gets a facelift

Seen in an Arles street yesterday. With “No More War” scrawled on his forehead. Wonder what Homer would think.


Quote of the Day

”In this world of sin and sorrow there is always something to be thankful for; as for me, I rejoice that I am not a Republican.”

H.L. Mencken


Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

The Grateful Dead | He’s Gone

Link

Terrific. As you will have gathered I was a Deadhead. Still am, really.


Long Read of the Day

Blood and soil rhetoric in Buckingham by Andrew Brown

A really sobering essay. Kudos to Andrew for attending the gruesome event. He’s a very good journalist, and has been for many years. His brief preface gives you an idea of what it took out of him.

It’s taken me some time to write up the speech that Harrison Pitt, Rupert Lowe’s ideologue in Restore, gave to the Heterodox Sociology conference at the University of Buckingham in July. The delay is unprofessional, but I was too shocked to engage with it for a long time.

Pitt is described in the blurb to his policy paper as a “writer and academic”, without any academic affiliation listed. He is the author of Restore’s policy on mass deportations. He wants to abolish the asylum system and to “detain and deport every single person who has broken illegally into our national home”. Mass deportation is not a figure of speech here. He wants to deport nearly 2m people, who he hopes to get rid of in three years: 150,000 a year are to be forcibly deported, and three times as many would find life had been made so miserable that they would leave of their own fee will. All this is to be paid for by “taxes on remittance payments and fixed penalty notices”…

Read on. If you needed an antidote to these two parties (Restore and Reform) in the next UK general election, then this would be hard to beat.


Paul Brown RIP

Paul Brown, one of the great journalists of our era, has passed away at the age of 82. In a way, he was the man who invented environmental journalism, and he was the Guardian’s Environment correspondent for more years than I can remember. I got to know him when he came (with another great journalist, Frank McDonald of the Irish Times) on the Wolfson Press Fellowship programme that I’ve been running since 1996. They were an unforgettable pairing, who in addition to producing terrific reports (Paul on “The Voodoo Economics of Nuclear Power”, and Frank on the crazed ‘Celtic Tiger’ phase of Ireland’s path to perdition) managed to visit and assess every pub in Cambridge and its environs.

Appropriately, the Guardian has a good obit obituary of Paul. And our mutual friend, Joe Smith, has published a lovely memoir of him.

May he rest in peace.


Feedback

The other day I wondered if a claim I’d read that the average lifespan of a Russian soldier in Ukraine was 35 minutes could be true. Charles Arthur pointed me at an edition of the BBC radio programme More or Less in which Tim Harford takes these kind of claims apart. He also sent a link to the relevant discussion. But when I click on it, this is the result:

Bah!


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