IP regimes: an economic analysis

Copyright and patents are methods of remedying a market deficiency — a way of ensuring that innovators get sufficient returns to ensure that society gets a smooth flow of new ideas. We grant temporary monopolies in order to fix the problem. Many of us suspect that current IP regimes are grossly inefficient in these terms, which is why we need economists to take a long hard look at it. For example, the term of copyright protection seems indefensibly lengthy: it introduces long-term monopolies which interfere with free trade. It’s absurd that, say, Windows 95 is protected for 70 — 0r is it 95? — years! Now comes an interesting exploration of the economics by two economists. Their conclusion? Existing copyright and patent protection goes on for far too long! Excerpt:

In the case of copyright, we think that evidence in favor of increasing elasticity of total monopoly revenue is decisive and that existing copyright terms are vastly too long: all of the different sources of data say the same thing. In the case of patents, the evidence is less conclusive and far more subject to measurement problems, but the best available evidence suggests that the elasticity of total monopoly revenue is increasing in this case as well. … And our quantitative analysis indicates that the scale of market effect is strong and that as a consequence there should be both an immediate reduction in patent terms as part of any TRIP agreement augmented by a phased reduction tied to future growth.

Later… Most of the arguments made by those of us who are critical of current IP regimes are based on concerns about freedom and rights (e.g. Larry Lessig’s most recent book is entitled Free Culture). These arguments are, IMHO, valid, but I suspect they are not the ones that will prove most persuasive in the long run. We’d do better to focus on the economics. A rational IP regime would be one that matched protection to market and technological conditions.

Take the music industry as an example. It claims that it needs copyright protection to recoup its investment in artists, promotion, reproduction and distribution, etc. (OK,ok, I know that even that’s questionable, but let’s accept it for the time being.) However, selling music online (e.g. through iTunes) takes away a huge chunk of the cost of distribution, and therefore requires less ‘investment’ by record companies. So in this case, the efficiencies and savings brought about by technological development would logically imply that record companies need less IP protection, not more. So, for music, the period of copyright protection ought to go down.

Chateau Naughton ’05

After a terrifying year during which I feared I had pruned our vine too severely, we look like having a bumper harvest this time around. All that’s needed now is some sunshine and warmth to ripen the crop.

The customer is always wrong

There — I’ve said it! It goes against every marketing man’s credo. I suppose in some industries (retailing, for example) it’s reasonable to proceed on the basis that the customer is usually right — because you can respond quickly to sales feedback. But in relation to technology (where the lead times for radical technologies are more substantial), the customer doesn’t have a clue what he wants — until one day you provide it. And you can’t build a serious technology business by being customer-focussed at the outset.

I’ve always been convinced of this, but thought that I was just a loner — until I read this lovely rant by Quentin.

Thank You Tony

I’m not making this up. There is a web site called ThankYouTony.com. It was set up “to thank Prime Minister Tony Blair for his support of the American actions in Iraq”. The blurb reads:

Whereas, the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Tony Blair, has vigorously supported the United States in the disarmament of Iraq;
Whereas, the United Kingdom is a strong and loyal ally to the United States;
Whereas, Prime Minister Tony Blair has committed substantial military forces of the United Kingdom to the current action in Iraq;
The American people extend their heartfelt thanks to Prime Minister Tony Blair for his courage and leadership; and
Extend their deep appreciation to the United Kingdom and the men and women of its armed forces.

Click Here to Thank Tony

And click here to throw up. Don’t you just love the ‘whereas’ stuff!

Good news from Microsoft

Avast, ye scurvy dogs! From Good Morning, Silicon Valley

Microsoft on Tuesday officially launched Windows Genuine Advantage, a program designed to temper the widespread counterfeiting of the company’s software by requiring Windows users to verify their operating system’s authenticity. From now on, you must prove you paid Microsoft before downloading updates through Windows Update, Microsoft Update for Windows content, and the Microsoft Download Center (critical security updates will be available to users with or without WGA validation). Customers who discover they have a counterfeit copy of Windows are eligible for a legitimate copy of the OS at no charge, assuming they’re able to provide Microsoft with a proof of purchase.

Why is this good news? Simply because piracy of the Windows operating system has been one of the factors serving to obscure the real (and exhorbitant) cost of Microsoft-based computing. In most of the poorer parts of the world (and virtually the whole of Asia), people run Windows-based systems on pirated software — which is why they have not yet thought seriously about Open Source (i.e. free) software. After all, Windows has been — to them — ‘free’ software. But all this is going to change as Redmond seeks to claw back its rightful royalties. So at Ndiyo we are delighted by this turn of events. More power to Mr Gates’s anti-piracy elbow.

Update:: it was cracked within 24 hours. Sigh. Thanks to Bill T for the news, though.

Open source beer

Richard Stallman has always emphasised the distinction that free software is “free as in open rather than as in ‘free beer'” when trying to communicate the spirit of the free software movement. Now comes an intriguing twist.

Students from the Information Technology University in Copenhagen is trying to help by releasing what they are calling the world’s first open source beer recipe.

It is called Vores Oel, or Our Beer, and the recipe is proving to be a worldwide hit.

The idea behind the beer comes from open source software. This is software whose code is made publicly available for anyone to change and improve, provided that those changes and improvements are then shared in turn.

SunSignals

Here’s a neat idea for anxious parents heading for the sun. SunSignals are little adhesive patches which change colour when the level of UV radiation they’ve absorbed reaches danger level. UV rays break chemical bonds in the substance used to impregnate the patches, causing a pH shift which causes the colour to change from yellow to deep orange. Neat, eh?