What next for the Web?

nobody really knows, but Richard MacManus has some interesting hypotheses.

In 2009 we’re seeing more products based on open, structured data e.g. Wolfram Alpha. We’re seeing more real-time apps e.g. Twitter, OneRiot. And we’re seeing better filters e.g. FriendFeed (and Facebook, which copies FriendFeed – er, I mean is inspired by).

In a nutshell here are some of the new or noticeable trends that we're seeing on the 2009 Web:

* Open data

* Structured data -> smarter

* Filtering content

* Real-time

* Personalization

* Mobile (location-based, so you could say that's smarter use of data too)

* Internet of Things (the Web in real-world objects)

There’s also an interesting embedded slideshow on the page.

I type, therefore I am

This morning’s Observer column.

For writers of my (baby-boomer) generation and older, typewriters were the bane of our lives. On the one hand, you couldn’t work without one. On the other, they were a pain to use. Every time you made a mistake, or had second thoughts about a word or a phrase, you had to cross it out and laboriously type the revision. There was no such thing as cut and paste and no backspace-and-erase facility. So the result was often a page that became so awful to look at that in the end one tore it out in a rage, screwed it into a ball and typed the whole ruddy thing again. Cutting and pasting was done with scissors and word-counting by going over the typescript with a pencil, whispering numbers as you went.

Most people who use keyboards today have no inkling of this. Word-processing software has always been part of their lives. As a result, the writing process has subtly changed. As Marshall McLuhan said: we shape our tools and afterwards they shape us. Composing on screen has become more like sculpting…

Who says Twitter is frivolous?

Heh! Here’s something to make the Twitter-deniers choke on their muesli. The Herschel-Planck space mission is now well on its way. Needless to say, it has a good website. The mission has launched two spacecraft. Herschel is the largest, most powerful infrared telescope ever flown in space. Planck is

Named after the German Nobel laureate Max Planck 1858-1947, ESA’s Planck mission will be the first European space observatory whose main goal is the study of the Cosmic Microwave Background – the relic radiation from the Big Bang.

Observing at microwave wavelengths, ESA’s Planck observatory is the third space mission of its kind. It will measure tiny fluctuations in the CMB with unprecedented accuracy, providing the sharpest picture ever of the young Universe — when it was only 380 000 years old — and zeroing-in on theories that describe its birth and evolution.

Planck will measure the fluctuations of the CMB with an accuracy set by fundamental astrophysical limits.

But now comes the really neat bit: Planck has a Twitter feed! It curently has 360 followers — and, understandably, isn’t following anyone. Probably has enough to do as it hurtles through space.

(Yeah, yeah, I know: the Tweets are done by some geek in ESA. But still… A friend of mine’s husband is one of the leading scientists behind the project. He was a bit miffed when she sent him a message this morning telling him that some complex manoeuvre had been successfully completed. She knew before he did, because she’s a Twitterer and he’s not).

WolframAlpha: correction

Hmmm… Seems that I was wrong. WolframAlpha isn’t really a competitor to Google, or indeed a search engine in the normal sense of the term. Or so the NYT maintains.

WolframAlpha, a powerful new service that can answer a broad range of queries, has become one of the most anticipated Web products of the year. But its creator, Stephen Wolfram, wants to make something clear: Despite the online chatter comparing it to Google, his service is not intended to dethrone the king of search engines.

“I am not keen on the hype,” said Mr. Wolfram, a well-known scientist and entrepreneur and the founder of Wolfram Research, a company in Champaign, Ill., that has been quietly developing WolframAlpha.

Mr. Wolfram’s service does not search through Web pages, and it will not help with movie times or camera shopping. Instead it computes the answers to queries using enormous collections of data the company has amassed. It can quickly spit out facts like the average body mass index of a 40-year-old male, whether the Eiffel Tower is taller than Seattle’s Space Needle, and whether it is high tide in Miami right now.

WolframAlpha, which is expected to be available to the public at wolframalpha.com in the next week, is not a finished product. It is an early working version of a project that has been years in the making and will continue to evolve over years, if not decades. As such, there is much it cannot answer now.

Cory’s inner geek

Cory Doctorow is one of the most interesting people I know. He’s just written a fascinating essay in Locus Online detailing three geeky spinoffs from his creative work. The first is a system for matching (i) institutions that would like a free copy of one of his books with (ii) donors who are willing to give one away. The second is his adaptation of Twitter hashtagging to extract more value from the text files in which he makes research notes when he’s working on a book. The third is an adaptation of the version-control systems commonplace in software development to track the evolution of his books through successive drafts. Here’s how he formulates the problem for which this is a solution:

I know a lot of archivists and one of their most common laments is the disappearance of the distinct draft manuscript in the digital age. Pre-digital, authors would create a series of drafts for their work, often bearing hand-written notations tracking the thinking behind each revision. By comparing these drafts, archivists and scholars could glean insights into the author’s mental state and creative process.

But in the digital era, many authors work from a single file, modifying it incrementally for each revision. There are no distinct, individual drafts, merely an eternally changing scroll that is forever in flux. When the book is finished, all the intermediate steps that the manuscript went through disappear.

It occurred to Cory that there was no rational reason why this had to be so. After all, computers are terrific at remembering insane amounts of trivial information. So he wrote to a programmer friend of his, Thomas Gideon.

Thomas loved the idea and ran with it, creating a script that made use of the free and open-source control system “Git” (the system used to maintain the Linux kernel), checking in my prose at 15-minute intervals, noting, with each check-in, the current time-zone on my system clock (where am I?), the weather there, as fetched from Google (what’s it like?) and the headlines from my last three Boing Boing posts (what am I thinking?). Future versions will support plug-ins to capture even richer metadata — say, the last three tweets I twittered, and the last three songs my music player played for me.

He called it “Flashbake”, a neologism from my first novel, Down and Out in the Magic Kingdom. I was honored.

It’s an incredibly rich — even narcissistic — amount of detail to capture about the writing process, but there’s no reason not to capture it. It doesn’t cost any more to capture all this stuff every 15 minutes than it would to capture a daily file-change snapshot at midnight without any additional detail. And since Git — and other source repositories — is designed to let you summarize many changes at a time (say, all the changes between version 1 and version 2 of a product), it’s easy to ignore the metadata if it’s getting in the way.

Wonderful stuff. I don’t think Cory has ever written a boring piece in his entire life.

RSS dead? Perish the thought

As usual, some of the most thoughtful commenting on the Web revolves around Dave Winer. Here’s an insightful comment on his posts about the “RSS is dead” meme.

What I love about RSS, is it’s an open source technology so to speak. No Cisco, Microsoft, IBM or any company for that matter has an interest. It’s a broadcasting system. I don’t see how it could possibly ‘die,’ go away, or be replaced. I actually see it getting stronger and stronger as the depths of the Internet get deeper and deeper. Publishers love the ability of their content to be disseminated in far off lands because ultimately they get the linkback, gain new followers, gain ad impressions, the list goes on…

In a way, it’s like saying the current pipe network stemming from the water company delivering me water to my house will go away. Possible, but doubtful. Even so, if we all have an ‘eco-friendly’ water tower built on the roofs of our house, and an underground water collection network in our backyard that collects excess rain water, purifies it, and eventually delivers it to our sinks and showers, the water (content) is still being delivered through a pipe (rss) to my water tank (aggregator, end-user). The pipe is necessary to get from point A to point B, even if we are in space and the shortest distance between two points is a curved line. There is still a pipe involved, whether it is physical or abstract.

We seem to always go down these types of roads every time a new technology is introduced (i.e. Twitter) that gains a large following. Everyone thinks it’s the end of civilization. Twitter is RSS. It’s a pipe. Diversification would say you are safest when you don’t put all your eggs in one basket (in one pipe), so are we really that stupid to rely on one delivery system (Twitter) to deliver us the goods?

Another Wikipedia hoax

Another case of an old story. Bet it gets used by steam media as an example of wikipedia failings and nobody wonders what ‘reputable’ newspapers were doing reprinting it without checking.

A WIKIPEDIA hoax by a 22-year-old Dublin student resulted in a fake quote being published in newspaper obituaries around the world.

The quote was attributed to French composer Maurice Jarre who died at the end of March.

It was posted on the online encyclopedia shortly after his death and later appeared in obituaries published in the Guardian, the London Independent, on the BBC Music Magazine website and in Indian and Australian newspapers.

“One could say my life itself has been one long soundtrack. Music was my life, music brought me to life, and music is how I will be remembered long after I leave this life. When I die there will be a final waltz playing in my head, that only I can hear,” Jarre was quoted as saying.

However, these words were not uttered by the Oscar-winning composer but written by Shane Fitzgerald, a final-year undergraduate student studying sociology and economics at University College Dublin.

Mr Fitzgerald said he placed the quote on the website as an experiment when doing research on globalisation.

RSS RIP?

Steve Gillmor thinks it’s dead.

It’s time to get completely off RSS and switch to Twitter. RSS just doesn’t cut it anymore. The River of News has become the East River of news, which means it’s not worth swimming in if you get my drift.

I haven’t been in Google Reader for months. Google Reader is the dominant RSS reader. I’ve done the math: Twitter 365 Google Reader 0. All my RSS feeds are in Google Reader. I don’t go there any more. Since all my feeds are in Google Reader and I don’t go there, I don’t use RSS anymore.