Dolmen

Poolnabrone burial ground in the Burren in Co. Clare.

Quote of the Day

” Success is having to worry about every damn thing in the world, except money.”

• Johnny Cash* 

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Beethoven| Violin Sonata No. 5 in F Major, Op. 24 “Spring”: IV. Rondo. Allegro ma non troppo | Itzhak Perlman and Vladimir Ashkenazy

Link

Long Read of the Day

 A.I. May Be Just Kind of Ordinary

Nice NYT essay by David Wallace-Wells on the way public sentiment about AI is subtly changing.

In 2023 — just as ChatGPT was hitting 100 million monthly users, with a large minority of them freaking out about living inside the movie “Her” — the artificial intelligence researcher Katja Grace published an intuitively disturbing industry survey that found that one-third to one-half of top A.I. researchers thought there was at least a 10 percent chance the technology could lead to human extinction or some equally bad outcome.

A couple of years later, the vibes are pretty different. Yes, there are those still predicting rapid intelligence takeoff, along both quasi-utopian and quasi-dystopian paths. But as A.I. has begun to settle like sediment into the corners of our lives, A.I. hype has evolved, too, passing out of its prophetic phase into something more quotidian — a pattern familiar from our experience with nuclear proliferation, climate change and pandemic risk, among other charismatic megatraumas…

An interesting piece throughout. He’s a perceptive writer and I wonder if he’s picking up intimations that the AI bubble is beginning to leak air. Anyway, worth a read.

My commonplace booklet

The U.S. government is forcing citizens to spend up to $10 billion by 2030—not on clean energy, but on keeping uneconomic coal plants alive. Utilities had already planned to close them. Now, the Department of Energy is blocking retirements, locking in higher bills and more pollution.

At the same time, the administration is trying to strip $7 billion from Solar for All—a program designed to bring rooftop solar to millions of low-income families.

This isn’t about “energy security.” It’s corruption: public money moved from the future to the past, from health to harm, from science to denial.

Link

Feedback

Thanks to John Darch and Hugh Taylor for spotting that the car with all the bicycles in Monday’s edition couldn’t have been on the M5. It was in fact on the A14.

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We’re all going on a cycling holiday

Spotted on the M5 on the way to the South-West. I reckon this is a family of six cyclists plus a baby passenger (in the back seat of the adult bike on the roof-rack).

Quote of the Day

”The illegal we do immediately. The unconstitutional takes a little longer.”

• Henry Kissinger

The attribution to Kissinger is common but may be unfair. It was probably coined by a senior and profoundly cynical US State Department official years before his tenure of office. At any rate Kissinger himself denied originating the line, claiming that he was merely repeating an old Washington joke.

The funny thing, though, is that it now describes the predominant modus operandi of the Trump administration.

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Bruce Springsteen | Tougher than the Rest

Link

Long Read of the Day

Human Interaction Is Now a Luxury Good

Really interesting interview with Alison Pugh about her research and book. The title of the piece provides a good insight into the long-term dehumanising trends of digital technology.

In part of her new book, “The Last Human Job,” the sociologist Allison Pugh shadowed an apprentice hospital chaplain as she went through her day. The chaplain ministered to a family that had lost a young woman to a Tylenol overdose. She went from room to room, praying, offering hugs, even singing with bereaved and anxious patients and family members. “There is nothing like being in the worst moment of your life and being met with comfort by someone you don’t even know,” she recounted a patient telling her.

The chaplain also had to track all of these profound connections in a janky online record that kept freezing, costing her precious minutes of the day that could have been spent in communion and support. She had to track her work in three separate systems overall.

Pugh interviewed not just chaplains. She spent five years following teachers, doctors, community organizers and hairdressers — more than 100 people in total who perform what she calls “connective labor,” which is work that requires an “emotional understanding” with another person.

Pugh explains that increasingly, people in these jobs have to use technology to obsessively monitor and standardize their work so that they might be more productive and theoretically have better (or at least more profitable) outcomes.

But a lot of care work cannot be tracked and cannot be standardized. Industrial logic, when applied to something like chaplaincy, borders on the absurd. How do you even measure success when it comes to providing spiritual comfort? Unlike with doctors, “the hospital did not bill anybody for her ‘units of service,’” Pugh writes about the chaplain, but she still had to figure out a way to chart her actions in multiple systems, which mostly didn’t capture what she was doing in the first place. This additional labor arguably made her a worse chaplain because it sapped her energy — dealing with the glitchy tech frustrated her — and wasted her time.

This a really insightful piece — so much so that I’ve put Pugh’s book on my reading list.

My commonplace booklet

“What we call AI is really ‘statistical learning from large datasets’.”

The inimitable Alison Gopnik in a terrific episode of the Santa Fe institute podcast series on ‘Complexity’. Well worth a listen if you have the time. And the site provides a transcript.

Linkblog

Something I noticed, while drinking from the Internet firehose.

• Denmark to abolish VAT on books in effort to get more people reading Link

Culture minister says government will propose ending the 25% rate, the highest in the world, in its budget bill.

Nice idea, but I wonder if it’ll make any difference. My hunch is that price is not the deterrent that government ministers imagine it is. More seismic, cultural changes are under way.

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Chiaroscura

Light and dark on the Dingle peninsula.

Quote of the Day

”Academia: the only profession where people are paid to think slowly.”

• Chris Anderson

Suits me perfectly.

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Beethoven | Quartet in G major for Strings, Op.18, No.2, II. Adagio cantabile

Link

Long Read of the Day

 Putin, the once and future Chekist

Very interesting essay by Gordon Corera on what really drives Putin.

Britain’s Cabinet Office Briefing Room is one of the most sensitive sites in government, a place where ministers, spies and top officials gather to handle emergencies. In October 2005 it hosted its first foreign leader as a visitor. That leader was Russian President Vladimir Putin.

It seems extraordinary now but this was a time when the UK government was still actively courting the Russian leader as a figure who could bring stability to Russia and predictability to its relations with the West.

Putin was being briefed by senior British police and intelligence officials about the 7 July terrorist bombings a few months earlier. Putin was engaged throughout the presentations, taking notes and asking questions, an official note of the meeting reveals. He took a particular interest in how security services should take on threats. To defeat terrorists who are willing to die for their cause, security officers must also be prepared to die, Putin told his British hosts. He then had a tense exchange with one of those speaking to him. Eliza Manningham-Buller was then head of MI5. ‘He was clearly hostile to me,’ she told me recently. ‘He said something like: “It’s the duty of people like you to stand between the terrorist and their victim. And you failed.”‘

Other than her recollection of the Russian leader’s ‘rather sinister looking eyes’, what is telling about the exchange is how it reveals an essential aspect of Putin’s character. Putin was speaking to Manningham-Buller as one security service operative to another. But Putin’s definition of an operative does not mirror that of an MI5 or FBI officer. Putin was and always will be something different – a Chekist.

It is only by understanding what a Chekist is and the phenomenon of Chekism that you can truly understand the Russian leader…

Chilling, but also revelatory.

My commonplace booklet

Hal Varian has retired from Google, where has been the company’s Chief Economist since 2002. He was a distinguished academic before he went over to the other side. I first knew about him when my friend, David Livesey suggested I have a look at Information Rules, the book he co-authored with Carl Shapiro. It came out in 1999 when the first Internet boom was reaching its zenith and the movers and shakers of Silicon Valley believed that they were operating in a ‘new economy’ to which the laws of economics did not apply. The book’s advice to these embryonic titans was: “Ignore basic economic principles at your own risk. Technology changes. Economic laws do not.” Their book introduced and explained the economic concepts that were needed to navigate the evolving network economy.

He wrote a couple of bestselling economics textbooks before he left academia, but remained quietly detached about them, sometimes quoting a friend’s aphorism that “Having a successful textbook is like being married to a very wealthy person you don’t like much anymore.”

There’s a nice photograph of him at his retirement ‘do’.

This Blog is also available as an email three days a week. If you think that might suit you better, why not subscribe? One email on Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays delivered to your inbox at 5am UK time. It’s free, and you can always unsubscribe if you conclude your inbox is full enough already!

Riverside

Eastern bank of the Rhone in Arles on a peaceful Summer evening.

Quote of the Day

”When you stop doing things for fun you might as well be dead.”

• Ernest Hemingway

He was as good as his word.

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Handel | Water Music | Suite No. 2 in D Major, HWV 349: II.

Link

I’m married to a keen gardener who is distressed by the current drought. So I offer this as a feeble alternative to attempting a rain dance.

Long Read of the Day

Trump’s Apprentice

If you think that, however unhinged or despicable things are in Washington D.C., it doesn’t affect us here in the UK, then think again — as this fine piece of reportage by Sam Bright makes clear.

When Donald Trump took the oath of office, he made a promise to his bank account – to use the powers of the presidency to enrich the Trump dynasty.

Even in the space of a few short months, according to The New Yorker, Trump has executed his plan with ruthless efficiency, making an eye-watering $3.4 billion. Public service has been supplanted by private revenue. Trump has given a masterclass in how to wrap personal enrichment in the flag and call it patriotism.

Across the Atlantic, Nigel Farage has been taking notes. Since entering Parliament in July 2024, the GB News host and part-time MP has pulled in over £1 million a year from non-parliamentary ventures. He’s even been paid £189,300 for a gold-bullion ambassadorship that requires four hours of work a month.

Farage’s desire to merge politics with personal gain seems to have grown since his theatrical ride in the gold lift of Trump Tower the morning after the 2016 US election…

Worth pondering, now that Reform is polling ten points ahead of Labour at the moment.

My commonplace booklet

Would you pay $200,000 to look half your age?

My eye was caught by a sharp piece by Emma Jacobs in the weekend edition of the Financial Times. It’s about the staggering efforts that members of the 0.01% set are now making to deny that they are getting older.

It seems that that old staple, the facelift, is now being given,

well, a facelift. While there is no single “magic” facelift, advances in technique now focus on lifting and tightening the lower part of the face by working with the superficial muscular aponeurotic system (SMAS). This is a key layer involved in facial movement and support.

According to London aesthetics doctor Jonny Betteridge, “By repositioning the SMAS rather than just tightening skin, surgeons can achieve results that look more natural and last longer.”

The deep-plane facelift goes further, he adds. “By releasing and lifting tissue beneath the SMAS, it can provide more significant improvement to the mid-face and nasolabial folds in the right patients. This deeper approach can deliver a more comprehensive lift without an over-tightened appearance.”

Note that this cove is an “aesthetics doctor”. He and his mates have

also learnt to combine facelifts well with other procedures like blepharoplasty (eyelid surgery), fat transfers and brow lifts to achieve more balanced and “harmonious results”. Having one area rejuvenated and another beside it untouched might draw attention to something being done, she says. Furthermore, the abilities of the practitioner are key, with an A-list coterie of doctor names emerging. Betteridge observes “a clear trend towards refreshed and sculpted looks that often result from discreet and highly skilled surgical techniques”.

Of course, this stuff doesn’t come cheap. It seems that A-list celebrities usually turn to expensive surgeons for deep-plane facelifts, which cost more than an SMAS facelift, with prices ranging from $100,000 in New York and Los Angeles, even surpassing $200,000, according to some reports.

We’re living in Gilded Age 2.0, much of it funded by obscene wealth created by tech companies. So maybe Silicon Valley needs a rebrand, or at least a breast implant: Silicone Valley.

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G’day, sunshine!

Stars of a glorious herbaceous border in Devon the other day.

Quote of the Day

”Confidence is what you have before you understand the problem.”

• Woody Allen

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Handel | ‘Where’er you walk’ | Semele | Academy of Ancient Music

Link

Lovely orchestral version of a favourite arias.

Long Read of the Day

How to learn about politics from two Democratic-leaning women in New York

Lovely piece of reportage by the economist Branko Milanovic on two conversations he had recently, sitting at the bar of a fancy eaterie in the city.

This’ll give you a flavour of the piece.

Of course, she was an artist. She did pottery and knitting. I had some doubts whether her pottery and knitting alone would buy her dinners in fine restaurants but I left them to myself. I added however that I knew nothing about modern plastic arts. She was not pleased with such an open expression of philistinism. But the conversation ended when she told me about some social platforms (the only acceptable social platform that may be used, according to her) and of which I have never heard. I told her that instead of that particular and socially-acceptable platform I like Twitter. It was the last straw. She expressed outrage that anyone may use Twitter in a language not less intemperate than had I confessed to some special adoration of the Satan.

She was touching in her self-oblivious self-righteousness.

Luckily, on my right, sat another woman, perhaps only five years younger than the lady of the liberal East Coast establishment with whom I had just ended this charming conversation. She was as appalled by Trump as the other was, but disliked Democratic party establishment equally. And told me the story that captures the entire history of American involvement with globalization: the story of American industrial rise, decline, and inability to ever get industrialized again. All told through her small fashion business. She owns a small or middle size successful fashion company. She started it some 35 years ago. The company at first bought all of its material, fabrics, prints and dyes etc. from within the United States, from California to the East Coast. But gradually US suppliers became too expensive…

Observant and revealing. Hope you enjoy it.

Zuckerberg’s ‘superintelligence’ sermon

Yesterday’s Observer column …

Dearly beloved, our reading for today is a sermon by the supreme leader of Meta (nee Facebook), Mark Zuckerberg (hereinafter known as Zuck), given on the 30th day of July in the year of our Lord 2025. For those who have been holidaying on Mars, Zuck, who in an earlier life was a socially challenged nerd, has now been reborn as a believer in the importance of “masculinity” and as a mixed martial arts fighter. So devoted to this latter activity is he that he has even posed topless with “legendary fighters Israel Adesanya and Alex Volkanovski”.

And now he wishes to enthuse us on the newest new thing: artificial general intelligence.

The subject of his sermon is “personal superintelligence”. It runs to 625 words and is available online on the Meta site, where readers with robust constitutions may peruse it, having made sure that a sick bag is readily to hand. Its basic message is this: superintelligence is coming and it will be mighty, but fear not, little people, for my great corporation will put this power into your own tiny hands so that you may flourish...

Read on

My commonplace booklet

Ever since Joe Weizenbaum’s experiments in the 1960s with the first chatbot, Eliza, we’ve known that machines that can talk back have weird effects on (some) humans. ChatGPT and its peers are revealing how widespread this syndrome has become. A while back OpenAI — the creator of ChatGPT — had released a model (GPT-4o) to which it appears that many people have become ‘emotionally’ attached. And then, a few days ago, the company released its newest — supposedly super-duper — model, GPT-5, which supplanted GPT-4o and it seems that suddenly many ChatGPT users went into mourning over the loss of their new best friend and eventually OpenAI relented. (I am not making this up).

The bit that’s really interesting, though, is that the grief was manifest even in China, where if you want to access ChatGPT you have to go through the palaver of using a VPN (and, I guess, possibly incurring the displeasure of Xi Jinping).

Writing in the ChinaTalk newsletter, Irene Chang reports that

Some of the loudest voices criticizing GPT-5 since last week came from people “dating,” or otherwise engaging in long, companion-like roleplay conversations with, GPT-4o. They say GPT-5 is emotionally distant, lacks nuance, and just “doesn’t feel the same,” perhaps resulting from OpenAI’s work on making the model less sycophantic. The subreddit r/MyBoyfriendisAI (17k subscribers) is currently full of distraught users thanking the heavens that 4o is back, as if their actual loved ones were briefly lost to the digital void.

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Painterly ultra-realism

This is a painting by the Ukrainian painter Vladimir Orlovsky which I came across in Adam Tooze’s terrific blog. I looked hard at it, unable to believe that it isn’t a photograph. It’s not.

Quote of the Day

“I’m not crazy about reality, but it’s still the only place to get a decent meal.”

• Groucho Marx

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Mozart | Piano Concerto No 21 in C major, K 467. | II. Andante Herbert von Karajan and (I guess) the Berliner Phil.

Link

Funny how often this is now called the “Elvira Madigan” because of its use in the film.

Audio quality of the recording is abysmal I’m afraid. Apologies.

Long Read of the Day

Watching the detectives

Andrew Brown is a friend of mine, an experienced journalist and a bloody good writer. (One of his books won the Orwell Prize.) He also has a Substack, which I follow. Recently, he stumbled on some of his notebooks when, 40 years ago, he was shadowing London police officers as research for a book. This is an excerpt from one of them.

The superintendent’s face was ruddy and his fingers sunburned. He looked like an honest Labour politician of the ‘45 vintage, marked by good living well appreciated – say Jim Callaghan, but with George Brown’s eyebrows. I had been following the work at his station for a month or two and he had decided I could be trusted, a little bit. So he invited me to drink whisky with him in his office one afternoon. There was a desk, of course, chairs for visitors, a filing cabinet and display a cabinet full of gardening trophies; on top of that were two carved wooden hands, one with one finger upraised; the other with two fingers raised, not in a sign of peace.

He wanted to teach me how policing worked…

Read on.

I found it compelling. Hope you do too.

So many books, so little time

Fabers sent me a proof copy of Peter’s book last year and somehow it got lost in the chaotic piles in my study. I retrieved it yesterday and started to read — and am finding it unputdownable. It’s about an extraordinary Briton, Sefton Delmer, who was a gifted propagandist working for the British during the Second World War. It’s a good story, very well told by an author who knows a lot about propaganda. Such a relief to have found it at last.

My commonplace booklet

This comes from the remarkable material currently being published by the Economist drawn from archives of the magazine’s coverage of the final year of WW2 in Europe. The excerpt below came from one of their correspondents who was on a Bavarian country road in June down which thousands of defeated German troops and their officers were marching towards wherever they were to be incarcerated.

”Somewhere by the side of the road a man in the striped uniform of the concentration camp is trudging slowly home. A short time ago he was stopped by an SS officer, travelling with his orderly in a car. A sharp exchange of words and threats accompanied by violent gesticulation takes place. As an American jeep approaches the quarrel stops, and the SS officer’s car moves off. The ex-inmate of the concentration camp explains with some pride that he was an official of the Social Democratic party at Breslau. Yes, it is true. SS men occasionally bully people like this on the roads.”

The man heading to Breslau (now Wroclaw, in Poland) faced an uncertain fate under Russian occupation. Until he was “dragged away to the concentration camp”, we wrote, “he had been a ‘Social-Fascist’ in the eyes of local Communists.”

”At the other side of the road, a tall, thin woman tries to explain something in broken English to two American officers. In her confused, unintelligible story two words keep on recurring: Gas-kammer. It turns out that seven years ago her child was classified by a Nazi doctor as mentally defective. The family doctor disagreed with the diagnosis, but his opinion was ignored. In accordance with the rules of ‘racial hygiene’ the child would have to be thrown into a gas-chamber, the Nazi version of the Tarpeian rock. The mother hid the child in a remote place, some two hundred kilometres away. The last time she saw the child it was nearly starving. Could she now get a permit from the Military Government to go and fetch her child?”

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Commuters

From Paul Day’s frieze in St Pancras Station in London.

Quote of the Day

”Every civilization that has ever existed has ultimately collapsed. History is a tale of efforts that failed, or aspirations that weren’t realized. So, as a historian, one has to live with a sense of the inevitability of tragedy.”

• Henry Kissinger

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

John Prine | Souvenirs | Live from Sessions at West 54th Street

Link

Long Read of the Day

 The commander-in-cheat comes to Scotland

Lovely Observer column by John Niven on what can be learned from watching how Trump ‘plays’ golf. He is, says Niven, “the biggest golf cheat of the modern age”.

This is already well known in the golfing community and was documented at length by the sports writer Rick Reilly in his book Commander in Cheat. Trump cheats in every way possible: he improves his lie. He has his caddy drop a new ball if the old one is lost. He just doesn’t count shots he doesn’t like. (To be fair, this last offence isn’t unique to Trump. It is endemic with American golfers, many of whom will take a “breakfast ball” off the first tee, which simply means not counting your first shot if you don’t like it. They’ll take “mulligans” all over the course, which again means just not counting a bad shot.) All of this is how Trump manages to maintain a golf handicap of 2.8: even lower than Jack Nicklaus’s. If you believe that, I have some NFTs to sell you.

And this week, Trump’s disgraceful reputation was soiled even further (something I thought impossible, like Spud further soiling those bed sheets in Trainspotting) when he was caught – on camera – cheating at golf in Scotland. That’s right, the Dockers-Clad Sweating Oaf Sex Pest chose to cheat at golf at the home of golf. For a golfer, this is like a Catholic not only committing adultery but choosing to commit it in the Vatican. In the Papal Audience Hall. In front of the Pope. From behind. Using a condom. While singing Orange Lodge songs.

It’s a lovely piece which raises an interesting question for the R&A, the organisation that decides where the British Open is played every year. Trump has been lobbying them for years to have his Turnberry course chosen for that signal honour, so far without success. So now we will see whether the R&A has anything that might be described as a backbone. My guess is that they will cave, just as most organisations do when confronted by the Cheat-in-Chief.

My commonplace booklet

Tyler Cowen, the well-known US economist, was invited to 10 Downing Street recently to give a talk about AI. Afterwards he gave a talk at DeepMind, part of which was about how quickly he thought the technology would have a big impact on society. You can find the video and the transcript here, but it’s long, so I asked Claude.ai to give me a summary of the main points he made on this particular topic. Here’s what it provided.

Core Argument: The speaker believes in “slow takeoff” – not because AI models won’t advance rapidly, but because translating AI progress into improved living standards will take much longer due to institutional and practical barriers.

Household Budget Analysis: Tyler examines how AI will affect the major categories of household spending:

Rent (pessimistic outlook): • AI won’t lower housing costs anytime soon • The main constraint on housing is legal/regulatory, not construction costs • AI might even increase rents in tech hubs by making proximity to smart people more valuable

Food (slow improvement): • Even simple agricultural innovations historically take decades or centuries to spread geographically • Despite free trade and shared languages, US agricultural productivity improvements haven’t quickly spread to Mexico • AI-driven food innovations will happen but won’t meaningfully reduce food costs for typical families within 10 years

Education (complex and uneven): • Already millions of people are smarter due to AI, but distribution is highly asymmetric (maybe 5-10% significantly benefit now) • Educational institutions are slow to change due to their nonprofit structure and multiple stakeholders • Getting 2/3 of students to benefit could take 10+ years • Tuition costs likely won’t decrease – people will still pay similar amounts even if they get better education

Healthcare (long-term optimistic): • AI will eventually “cure everything” over 30-40 years • Regulatory barriers (like FDA approval taking ~10 years) will slow implementation • In the near term, healthcare costs may actually increase due to more available treatments • Living standards won’t improve much until later in life when serious health issues typically arise

Overall Conclusion: Even with massive optimism about AI model progress, the impact on GDP and living standards will be slow due to imperfect human institutions that change gradually. The bottleneck isn’t AI capability but implementation and adoption barriers.

It may be just confirmation bias, but that last para seems realistic to me.

Linkblog

Something I noticed, while drinking from the Internet firehose.

Shannon Wheeler’s lovely cartoon in the New Yorker. Made me wonder what Julia Margaret Cameron used to say to her subjects.

Feedback

All the stuff about Trump in Monday’s edition reminded Steve Evans, a journalist on the Canberra Times, of the fact that Philip Roth in 2004 had published a novel, The Plot Against America which imagines “an alternative history in which Franklin D. Roosevelt is defeated in the presidential election of 1940 by Charles Lindbergh. The novel follows the fortunes of the Roth family during the Lindbergh presidency, as antisemitism becomes more acceptable in American life and Jewish-American families like the Roths are persecuted on various levels”.

In 2017, after Trump’s election. Judith Thurman, a New Yorker writer had the bright idea of emailing Roth asking him if the scenario envisaged in his novel had now happened in the US. He responded:

“It is easier to comprehend the election of an imaginary President like Charles Lindbergh than an actual President like Donald Trump. Lindbergh, despite his Nazi sympathies and racist proclivities, was a great aviation hero who had displayed tremendous physical courage and aeronautical genius in crossing the Atlantic in 1927. He had character and he had substance and, along with Henry Ford, was, worldwide, the most famous American of his day. Trump is just a con artist. The relevant book about Trump’s American forebear is Herman Melville’s ‘The Confidence-Man,’ the darkly pessimistic, daringly inventive novel—Melville’s last—that could just as well have been called ‘The Art of the Scam.’”

This Blog is also available as an email three days a week. If you think that might suit you better, why not subscribe? One email on Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays delivered to your inbox at 5am UK time. It’s free, and you can always unsubscribe if you conclude your inbox is full enough already!

End of the Valley

Langdale on a beautiful day.

Quote of the Day

“For Trump, everything is a shakedown, the way it was for Vito Genovese, who is Trump’s model of governance. Every crisis, foreign or domestic, is assessed for its financial opportunity, and crises are manufactured for this purpose. He doesn’t have a worldview but a cognitive handicap, the incurable myopia of infinite self-interest. Money is his country; and more money is his diplomacy, a kind of one-man imperialism. (America will withdraw from the world, but not from the world’s money.) The sole objective that comes even close to money is revenge, which is the only thing that Trump will pursue even without the prospect of remuneration.”

• Leon Wieseltier via Tina Brown’s splendid blog

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Handel | As steals the morn (L’Allegro, HWV 55) | Amanda Forsythe & Thomas Cooley, Voices of Music 4K

Link

Long Read of the Day

The Permanent Stain

When Trump took office in January my first thought was to look out two texts which seemed potentially relevant. One was the obvious choice — Edmund Burke’s “Reflections on the Revolution in France”, published in November 1790. The other was Ralf Dahrendorf’s thoughtful little book, Reflections on the Revolutions in Europe, published in 1990, in which he pondered the various post-1989 ‘colour’ revolutions in Eastern Europe and wondered how many of those liberated states had a chance of evolving as functional democracies. Both were interesting reads, but of no use in interpreting what was happening in Washington.

The big question, as I saw it in those early weeks of the new regime, was whether we were witnessing a revolution or a coup. The catapulting of Elon Musk into the heart of the administration initially suggested the latter, and so for a brief period it seemed to be. But Musk imploded, as he is wont to do, and Americans are left with something much more worrying: that they have a full-blown revolution on their hands.

The strangest thing is that it’s all happening in full view. The most discriminating effort at monitoring what’s been going on is Christina Pagel’s heroic attention to detail as expressed in her ’Trump Action Tracker’ website. But for a literary assessment of what’s happening, the most eloquent I’ve come across to date is this essay by Andrew Sullivan, published on his blog the other day.

It’s long but (IMHO) worth it. Here’s a sample:

This very Greek tragedy — conservatives killing the Constitution they love because they hate the left more — is made more poignant by Trump’s utter cluelessness: he doesn’t even intend to end the American experiment in self-government and individual freedom. He isn’t that sophisticated. He is ending it simply because he knows no other way of being a human being. He cannot tolerate any system where he does not have total control. Character counts, as conservatives once insisted, and a man with Trump’s psyche, when combined with his demagogic genius, is quite simply incompatible with liberal democratic society. Unfit.

The inescapable implication of all this is that Trump will turn out to be the most impactful American president since FDR, and not in a good way.

America’s plan to use AI as a political weapon

Yesterday’s Observer column…

Software engineer turned venture capitalist Marc Andreessen, one of Silicon Valley’s really big shots (and loudest mouths), was given the bum’s rush when he went to Washington. This convinced him, he said afterwards to Ross Douhat, that the tech industry was “no longer dealing with rational people. We’re no longer dealing with people we can deal with. And that’s the day we walked out and stood in the parking lot of the West Wing and took one look at each other, and we’re like: ‘Yep, we’re for Trump.’”

Which explains how all the big tech moguls wound up with front row seats at Donald Trump’s inauguration in January. Sidling up to Trump, though, was also shrewd because it meant that, suddenly, there was a chance that their corporate interests might become inextricably intertwined with those of the US government, to their mutual benefit.

That it was a good bet – for the industry, anyway – was amply confirmed last week when “America’s AI action plan” appeared…

Read on

So many books, so little time

Frederic Jameson famously observed that “it is easier to imagine the end of the world than to imagine the end of capitalism.” Which is why this new book by the New Yorker writer John Cassidy looks interesting.

The blurb says that Cassidy

tells the story through the eyes of the system’s critics. From eighteenth-century weavers who rebelled against early factory automation to Eric Williams’s paradigm-changing work on slavery and capitalism, to the Latin American dependistas, the international Wages for Housework campaign of the 1970s, and the modern degrowth movement…

Martin Wolf reviewed it pretty favourably in the FT at the weekend, agreeing with the book’s overall conclusion that its extraordinary adaptability is what has enabled capitalism to survive its perennial crises. Its “permanent revolution” is likely to continue because no compelling alternative has yet emerged. Sadly, Jameson was right.

I’ve just bought a copy. More when I’ve read it.

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Book haven

As regular readers know, I have a romantic view of libraries. I couldn’t live anywhere that did not have a decent one within easy reach — which is one of the many reasons for living in a university town like Cambridge. Last Saturday I urgently needed an arcane commentary on Pierre Bourdieu for something I was writing. Couldn’t find anything relevant online, so hopped into the car, drove for 20 minutes to the University Library, and went hunting in the stacks. As I walked back down with the book to check it out, I found myself in this corridor, and stopped to savour the peace and quiet of an institution which is dedicated to quiet contemplation. And felt lucky to have access to it.

Quote of the Day

“To get born, your body makes a pact with death, and from that moment, all it tries to do is cheat.”

• Louise Glück

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Chet Atkins, Leo Kottke and Doc Watson | Last Steam Engine Train

Link

Lovely jam session, especially when Chet Atkins gets going.

Long Read of the Day

 The Glass Box And The Commonplace Book

Text of Steven Johnson’s Hearst Lecture. This is from 2010, but I was reminded of it during an email exchange with a reader of the newsletter. It had a big impact me at the time, and indeed reinforced my determination to continue keeping a paper notebook in addition to the usual digital tools.

The tradition of the commonplace book contains a central tension between order and chaos, between the desire for methodical arrangement, and the desire for surprising new links of association. The historian Robert Darnton describes this tangled mix of writing and reading:

”Unlike modern readers, who follow the flow of a narrative from beginning to end, early modern Englishmen read in fits and starts and jumped from book to book. They broke texts into fragments and assembled them into new patterns by transcribing them in different sections of their notebooks. Then they reread the copies and rearranged the patterns while adding more excerpts. Reading and writing were therefore inseparable activities. They belonged to a continuous effort to make sense of things, for the world was full of signs: you could read your way through it; and by keeping an account of your readings, you made a book of your own, one stamped with your personality.”

Each rereading of the commonplace book becomes a new kind of revelation. You see the evolutionary paths of all your past hunches: the ones that turned out to be red herrings; the ones that turned out to be too obvious to write; even the ones that turned into entire books. But each encounter holds the promise that some long-forgotten hunch will connect in a new way with some emerging obsession…

Read on. I hope you enjoy it as much as I did when I first read it.

My commonplace booklet

Cover of this week’s Private Eye.

Linkblog

Something I noticed, while drinking from the Internet firehose.

• The Penguin that followed a teacher home A really heartwarming story from the BBC World Service. Link

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Coming soon…

… to a hedgerow near you.

 ## Quote of the Day

”A hangover is the wrath of grapes.”

• Dorothy Parker

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Bach | Jesu, Joy of Man’s Desiring | Leo Kottke

Link

I heard him play this one evening in the 1970s at the Cambridge Folk Festival. Suddenly the chap sitting next to me started to gently (and tunefully) whistle the counterpoint. Kottke looked down at him and grinned. Magical moment.

Long Read of the Day

 What Epstein Was Afraid Of

One of the most surprising things (to me anyway) is the way the QAnon conspiracy theory about Trump and Jeffrey Epstein seems to be tearing the MAGA crowd apart. What’s even more interesting is that the Trump regime seems unable to stamp out the madness out. I’d been ignoring the story until I tuned into an episode of the Ezra Klein podcast in which he talked to Will Sommer, a journalist who has written a book about the conspiracy theory. That led me to watch part of a Netflix series about Epstein which usefully documented how creepy and mysterious he was, and chronicled the investigative process that eventually landed the brute in prison, where he apparently committed suicide. Or — so the conspiracists wonder — did he?

Which is why I fell like a ravening wolf upon this riveting blog post by Tina Brown on that interesting question.

Here’s a sample:

Ghislaine Maxwell (Epstein’s partner in crime), Brown writes.

knows all about the dangers around every unlit corner in prison, given the number of questionable deaths surrounding Epstein, including his own “suicide” in that now-closed sinkhole, the MCC lockup. It’s Craig Rothfeld’s opinion that the corruption and violence at the MCC, not to mention the cockroaches, mold, burnt food, and running toilet were all insupportable torments to a former master of the universe. His likely fate as a “chomo” (prison jargon for the hated tribe of child molesters) terminally terrified him. Former inmates told the Daily News in 2020 that Epstein was denied medical attention for his back problems because “he’s a pervert” and staffers “were treating him like crap. They were making him sleep on the floor. They wouldn’t let him sleep on a cot.” Inmates would “slide papers under the door [that said] We’re going to kill you, you rapist, you pedophile.’” He was constantly being extorted, ripped off, and was shelling out for protection. The inmates said, “He was giving thousands of dollars. Wiring it Western Union to inmates’ families,” and, “He was saying he’s going to kill himself because the government is trying to kill him anyway.” It was coming at him from all sides.

Rothfeld’s personal theory is that Epstein was presented with two options: Kill yourself or be killed — here’s some extra sheets. This would explain the photo of Epstein’s cell after his death. I have always wondered why it was strewn with so many sheets for a single inmate in a notoriously spartan prison…

You get the idea.

My commonplace booklet

Google now spends more on physical capital like datacentres ($85 billion/year) than the entire UK defence budget ($79 billion/year). Source

Hmmm… I wonder where he got those figures from. The UK Defence Journal estimates that the UK spent $85.6 billion on defence in 2024/25 and plans to spend $90 billion in 2025/26.

Linkblog

Something I noticed, while drinking from the Internet firehose.

• Ukraine used a cargo drone to deliver an e-bike to a soldier stranded behind Russian lines. Link

This Blog is also available as an email three days a week. If you think that might suit you better, why not subscribe? One email on Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays delivered to your inbox at 5am UK time. It’s free, and you can always unsubscribe if you conclude your inbox is full enough already!