History’s Fools

Lovely piece in The Atlantic by Jack Beatty. The gist:

“Paradoxically, the very scale of the debacle in Iraq may yield one long-term good: the repudiation of neo-conservative “democratic imperialism.” The Americans killed in Iraq will not have died in vain if their sacrifice keeps other Americans from dying in neo-con wars to “remediate” Syria, Iran, or North Korea. After Iraq, “neo-conservative” may achieve the resonance of “isolationist” after World War II — a term of opprobrium for a discredited approach to foreign policy, shorthand for dangerous innocence about world realities. Like the isolationists, the neo-cons are history’s fools. The strategy they championed was the wrongest possible strategy for the wrongest possible moment in the wrongest possible region of the world.

History showed what worked against threatening states — containment and deterrence. Behind them, confident of the melting power of its way of life, the West waited out Soviet Communism. Containment had its critics — a wing of the Republican Party demanded a “rollback” of Soviet power from Eastern Europe. The neo-cons are the heirs of rollback. They ditched the strategy that worked against a nuclear-armed superpower to launch a pre-emptive war against a toothless Iraq, which has been contained and deterred — and disarmed — since the Gulf War. They identified the wrong enemy (a state), attacked it for the wrong reasons (WMD), and in a way that strengthened our real enemy, the transnational terrorists of September 11. America has made mistakes in foreign policy, but nothing compares to this. In the larger context of the Cold War, Vietnam made a kind of sense. In the context of the struggle against Islamist terrorism, Iraq is an act of self-sabotage. Of the neo-cons and their neo-con war Auden might have written: ‘Intellectual disgrace stares from every human face’.”