The Financial Times (behind paywall) at least gives clear answers.
- Will Boris Johnson agree a trade deal with the EU? Yes.
- Will Britain’s Labour Party return to electability? No.
- Will Angela Merkel’s grand coalition collapse? Yes.
- Will Mattel Salvini come back to power in Italy? Yes.
- Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in November’s election? No (but he will still be re-elected because of the Electoral College).
- Will the US go into recession? No.
- Will China become world leader in 5G telecoms? Yes.
- Will India regain its status as the fastest-growing large economy? No.
- Will there be war with Iran? No.
- Will South African debt hit junk levels? Yes.
- Will the protest that have shaken Latin America continue? Yes.
- Will France’s Macron engineer a “reset” with Putin’s Russia? No.
- Will we see meaningful regulation of Big Tech? No.
- Will Disney+ change the game in streaming? Yes.
- Will Uber become profitable in 2020? No.
- Will vaping be banned? No.
- Will global carbon emissions fall? No.
- Will Brent crude prices end the year above $65 a Barrel? No.
- WIll the three-decade bond rally finally come to an end? No.
- Will Europe’s banks keep slashing jobs? Yes.
So now we know where we stand. Happy New Year!