Wednesday 8 October, 2025

900+ and still going strong

A really venerable parish church bathed in Autumnal sunshine and currently acquiring a new roof.


Quote of the Day

”The great tragedy of our age is that science gathers knowledge faster than society gathers wisdom.”

  • Isaac Asimov

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Bach | French Suite No.3 in B Minor, BWV 814 – 3 Sarabande | Keith Jarrett

Link


Long Read of the Day

 Say it, don’t show it

Lovely essay by Neal Stephenson.

I’m generally not very interested in meta-writing, which is to say, writing about how to write. But for the last few years I’ve had a single sentence from Dickens hanging around on my desktop in a tiny text file, which I open up and re-read from time to time. It’s a moment from The Pickwick Papers. The titular character is attempting to board a stagecoach. It’s crowded and so he has to get on the roof, which is a bit of a challenge because he is old and portly. A passing stranger, seeing his predicament, offers to give him a hand. What happens next is described as follows:

‘Up with you,’ said the stranger, assisting Mr. Pickwick on to the roof with so much precipitation as to impair the gravity of that gentleman’s deportment very materially.

If you’re a fluent reader of the Dickensian style of English, these few words will conjure up a whole short film inside of your head…

Do read on. Among other things, it explains why so many people still read Dickens, Jane Austen & Co.


Books, etc.

For at least some of us, Dan Wang’s book is unputdownable. The TL;DR summary of it is that it’s a comparison of two superpowers — the “Engineering State” (China) and the “Lawyerly State” (the US). An (exceedingly crude summary) of that underlying idea is that China is able to ‘build’ important stuff like infrastructure, because its government is dominated by engineers; whereas the US is a society dominated by lawyers who are skilled at stopping or slowing down initiatives that their clients dislike.

It’s a vivid contrast, but because so many people are disenchanted by the lack of state capacity in liberal democracies they may be tempted to draw the wrong conclusion from the TL;DR summary. Wang’s searing accounts of the cruelty of the ‘one-child’ policy and the brutal way the Xi regime screwed up Covid should be enough to give any China-boosters pause.

The conclusion that I’m drawing as I read is that a world in which we have to choose between two such dysfunctional Leviathans is not one to look forward to.


My commonplace booklet

 Around the World, Many People Are Leaving Their Childhood Religions

Interesting Pew survey.

In many countries around the world, a fifth or more of all adults have left the religious group in which they were raised. Christianity and Buddhism have experienced especially large losses from this “religious switching,” while rising numbers of adults have no religious affiliation, according to Pew Research Center surveys of nearly 80,000 people in 36 countries.


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Monday 6 October, 2025

Conkers, anyone?

Picked up on a walk yesterday. When I was a kid, all these would have been rejected as possible contestants in a game.


Quote of the Day

“AI is the asbestos we are shoveling into the walls of our society and our descendants will be digging it out for generations.”

  • Cory Doctorow

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Bob Dylan | Gotta Serve Somebody

Link

Extraordinary lyrics with a contemporary relevance.


Long Read of the Day

Trump bagging TikTok for his investor pals

My latest Observer column

So fervid was the atmosphere that a bipartisan bill waltzed through the US Congress at a time of increasingly rancid polarisation. It was called the Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act and passed in April 2024. One of its provisions was that TikTok must either divest from ByteDance by 19 January 2025 or be banned in the US.

Note the date: the day before Trump 2.0 took office. With his customary cunning, he spotted a risk – and maybe also an opportunity. Instead of having 150 million enraged addicts on his inauguration day, he could harvest their plaudits as the knight in shining armour. He declared that the next day he would issue an executive order to delay enforcement of Congress’s edict. And in return, TikTok responded that, because of this assurance, it would keep the servers running. The only question about these cosy arrangements being: who was playing whom?

Who indeed?…

Read on


Books, etc.

This is a really interesting book by a distinguished Spanish philosopher which tries to answer a critical question that’s relevant to humanity’s current predicament: why don’t we listen to warnings?

One of the key distinctions he makes is that of between predictions and warnings.

Predictions call out what will take place regardless of our actions, a future as the only possible continuation of the present. Warnings, instead, point towards what’s to come and are meant to involve us in the possibility of a radical break, a discontinuity with the present signalled by alarming signs that we are asked to confront.

This distinction is illuminating for anyone struggling to interpret our response to climate change or (in my case) to AI. Which is why I was delighted when the book arrived last week.


My commonplace booklet

On Friday, we went to my friend Conor’s funeral in a packed London church and then returned home to find the current issue of the London Review of Books on the doormat, and in it his final essay for the magazine.

It’s a clinical examination of how the UK Supreme Court is systematically diminishing the influence of human rights law through various legal mechanisms and case decisions, particularly in relation to trans rights and privacy cases. In it, he fingers Lord Reed, the Supreme Court’s president, as a key figure in this shift and points out that other judges are increasingly following suit.

The essay is a poignant reminder of what a great scholar he was — and also of the extent of our loss. May he rest in peace.


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Friday 3 October, 2025

School Trip


Quote of the Day

”There’s no way around grief and loss: you can dodge all you want, but sooner or later you just have to go into it, through it, and, hopefully, come out the other side. The world you find there will never be the same as the world you left.”

  • Johnny Cash

Today sees the funeral of my dear, dear friend Conor Gearty, so you can guess what’s been on my mind.


Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Bach | Cello Suite No. 6, BWV 1012: IV. Sarabande | Abel Selaocoe

Link

Appropriately consoling for a sombre day. YoYo Ma has some very interesting things to say about it here.


Long Read of the Day

 Nightmare on Pennsylvania Ave – and Prince Harry’s new Gambit

If you want to see what a great columnist is like on full throttle, then this blast by Tina Brown would be hard to beat.

It can’t be real: A power-engorged president Beta testing martial law by sending troops into made-up emergencies in American cities, a certifiably insane head of Health and Human Services with zero medical background unleashing disease on America, a boatload of Venezuelans whose identities and intent we still don’t know after eight days, blown up by the U.S. military on the unproven premise they were fentanyl-smuggling fiends; ICE agents, like Brownshirts, breaking car windows to extract petrified immigrant. Swimming behind each increasingly fascistic executive order by an intellectually lazy president is the pallid, malevolent face of cartoon villain Stephen Miller, working late in his office on his deportation quotas.

And as morning dawns, we are freshly assailed by the coarsening of American public life, circling the drain. We no longer even blink when the sitting vice president tweets at a citizen who called the Venezuela strike a war crime, “I don’t give a shit what you call it,” or the White House press secretary sneering about a network news anchor, “She’s stupid. You can put that on the record” or the Treasury secretary, who is supposed to be Wall Street’s grown-up in the room, threatening to punch a top housing finance official “in the fucking face.”…

And then there’s this:

We have the morally blank cohort of centibillionaire tech bros and their ilk summoned to a White House dinner celebrating America’s AI dominance. It swiftly turned into an on-camera ring-kissing of their fat-fingered host, who prodded them to declare titanic investments in AI in the U.S., all thanks to DJT. How gratifying that Meta’s slippery salamander Mark Zuckerberg was caught on a hot mic, apologizing to Trump for his hesitant reply pledging $600 billion through 2028. “I wasn’t sure what number you wanted to go with.” What a worm.

Read on. It’s worth it.


My commonplace booklet

The NYT’s Kevin Roose visited an unnamed liberal arts college recently. Here are his takeaways:

  1. The “students don’t read” meme appears to be real. Profs there don’t assign full books anymore, even to English majors, because nobody will read them. Only chapters/essays, and even that’s pushing it. (Not a literacy issue, per se — more of a focus/time management issue.)

  2. The job market for computer science grads is as bad as people say. Their top CS student from last year is still looking for work.

  3. AI adoption is ~100% among students, ~50% among faculty. Still a lot of worries around cheating, but most seem to have moved past denial/anger and into bargaining/acceptance. Some profs are “going medieval” (blue books, oral exams), others are putting it in the curriculum.

  4. There is a lot of anger at the AI labs for giving out free access during exam periods. (Not from students, of course, they love it.) Nobody buys the “this is for studying” pitch.

  5. The possibility of near-term AGI is still not on most people’s minds. A lot of “GPT-5 proved scaling is over” reactions, even among fairly AI-pilled folks. Still a little “LLMs are just fancy autocomplete” hanging around, but less than a year or two ago.

Source


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Wednesday 1 October, 2025

Origins

The Industrial Revolution begins.

Coalbrookdale by Night, Philip James de Loutherbourg, 1801

The painting depicts the Madeley Wood (or Bedlam) furnaces, which belonged to the Coalbrookdale Company from 1776 to 1796. It’s come to symbolize the birth of the Revolution in the Ironbridge Gorge, Shropshire.


Quote of the Day

”Inspiration arrives as a packet of material to be delivered.”

  • John Updike

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Little Feat | Easy to Slip

Link


Long Read of the Day

 A masterpiece of Ryder Cup drama with a truth Donald Trump could never understand

Even if you hate golf this fine report by George Simms about the circus in New York State last weekend might cheer you up.

In his endless benevolence, Donald Trump arrived just before midday, a futile attempt to avoid inconveniencing fans, with one calling it “the most disorganised event I’ve ever been to”. And in a way he was always here, an endless shadow cast by not only the lingering prospect of his arrival but by an event seemingly designed for him, taking time out from his busy schedule of curing autism and failing to end whichever conflict has grabbed his eye this week.

In his home state, in a county which voted for him last year, playing a sport with largely right-leaning fans and overwhelmingly conservative players, this was Trump Day of the Trump Ryder Cup. As both Bryson DeChambeau and the White House Press Secretary have claimed, it would not be happening without him, having averted a minor rail strike. Even European fans now do jingoism through a Trump lens with “Make Europe Great Again” caps and T-shirts depicting Luke Donald in the Oval Office reading: “There’s a new Donald in town.”

(Note for non-golfers: Luke Donald was the captain of the European team that won the cup.)


Books, etc.

Tim Wu’s new book comes out on November 6. It’s about the way tech platforms have become the greatest machines for ‘wealth extraction’ that humanity has ever seen. He thinks that we are heading into a ‘two-class age’ where many industries become divided into two groups: the extractors and their agents on the one side; dependent businesses, consumers and employees on the other. And it’s also about the question that is rarely asked: just what happened to the broad spread of prosperity and democracy many expected to follow the Internet revolution. Instead we’ve wound up with intolerable levels of inequality and rising autocracy.

I’ve read nearly everything Wu has written. His book The Master Switch changed the way I think about digital technology.


My commonplace booklet

I have to give a talk about AI to a non-specialist audience later in the month, so I’ve been collecting examples of what LLMs can (and cannot) do. Here’s one I took from Simon Willison’s terrific blog. He gave Claude Sonnet 4.5 this picture and asked it to describe it:

The machine’s response:

This image shows a large gathering of pelicans crowded together along what appears to be a waterfront or shoreline. The birds are densely packed, creating a chaotic scene with dozens of brown pelicans visible. Their distinctive long bills and pouches are clearly visible among the mass of feathered bodies. In the background, there’s calm water and a dark tree line or forested area. The lighting suggests this was taken during early morning or late afternoon, giving the scene a golden, warm tone. The pelicans appear to be resting or congregating together, which is typical behavior for these colonial seabirds.

Not bad, eh?


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