Wednesday 26 May, 2021

Seen in the Children’s Books section of Waterstones on Monday.


Quote of the Day

”The road to ignorance is paved with good editions.”

  • George Bernard Shaw

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Mark Knopfler, Eric Clapton, Sting & Phil Collins | Money for Nothing | Live

Link


Long Read of the Day

Tim Harford has lunch with Daniel Kahneman

Link

As I wave my plate of paella in front of the webcam, Daniel Kahneman drops the bombshell.

“I have had my lunch.”

Awkward.

A lunch over Zoom was never an especially appetising prospect, and perhaps it was too much to expect Kahneman to play along. He is, after all, 87 years old, a winner of the Nobel Memorial Prize in economics — despite being a psychologist — and, thanks to the success of his 2011 book Thinking, Fast and Slow, vastly more famous than most of his fellow laureates. For the sake of form I ask him to describe the lunch.

“Well, I had sashimi salad and shumai from a restaurant, and to be absolutely complete and precise, I had a baked apple which I baked myself.”

He raises his chin in defiance, then smiles impishly. “And that was my lunch. It was fine. Not exceptional, but it was fine.”

I set my paella to one side; I am somewhat relieved.

Do read on…


Culture war passes most Brits by

I was really cheered up by this — partly because in an online event recently I was asked if I approved of ‘cancel culture’ and had to admit that I didn’t really have a view since I had paid no attention to the various furores about it. (My feeling was that the questioner was astonished by my ignorance.)

But maybe I’m relatively normal. At any rate,

The UK public are as likely to think being “woke” is a compliment (26%) as they are to think it’s an insult (24%) – and are in fact most likely to say they don’t know what the term means (38%), according to a major new study of culture wars in the UK.

The research, by the Policy Institute at King’s College London and Ipsos MORI, also finds that a majority of the public have heard little to nothing about the phrases “cancel culture” or “identity politics”, and that there is limited awareness of the culture war debate more generally in the UK – despite a huge surge in related media coverage in recent years, from just 21 newspaper articles focused on the issue in the UK in 2015 to over 500 in 2020.

The study is the first in a series of reports that provides an in-depth assessment of the UK’s culture wars.


At last, an original way of challenging Amazon

Yesterday, the Attorney General of the District of Columbia, Karl Racine, has launched a legal argument against Amazon that is both novel and venerable — and which might yield results.

Here’s how the NYT reports it:

It’s a longstanding claim by some of the independent merchants who sell on Amazon’s digital mall that the company punishes them if they list their products for less on their own websites or other shopping sites like Walmart.com. Those sellers are effectively saying that Amazon dictates what happens on shopping sites all over the internet, and in doing so makes products more expensive for all of us.

Racine has made this claim a centerpiece of his lawsuit. Amazon has said before that merchants have absolute authority to set prices for the products they sell on its site, but that ignores that the company has subtle levers to make merchants’ products all but invisible to shoppers. If a merchant lists a product for less on another site, Amazon can respond by making it more cumbersome for a shopper to buy the item.

Why is this significant? Well, mainly because US competition laws — both as written and as interpreted by generations of judges — make it tricky to sue technology giants for breaking antitrust laws. The interesting thing about Mr Racine’s lawsuit it that it bypasses this by arguing that Amazon hurts the public the same way that 19th-century railroads and steel giants did — by strong-arming competition and raising prices at will.

It’s nice to see legal creativity in some other area than increasing fees.


Why Economics is failing us

A Bloomberg column by Tyler Cowen, himself a distinguished practitioner of the dismal science.

Here’s the dirty little secret that few of my fellow economics professors will admit: As those “perfect” research papers have grown longer, they have also become less relevant. Fewer people — including academics — read them carefully or are influenced by them when it comes to policy.

Actual views on politics are more influenced by debates on social media, especially on such hot topics such as the minimum wage or monetary and fiscal policy. The growing role of Twitter doesn’t have to be a bad thing. Social media is egalitarian, spurs spirited debate and enables research cooperation across great distances.

Still, an earlier culture of “debate through books” has been replaced by a new culture of “debate through tweets.” This is not necessarily progress. Economics is failing us.

I agree with him if by “us” he means democracy.


Another, hopefully interesting, link

“I photoshop Paddington into another movie every day until I forget”. This is daft — and sweet: a guy on Reddit who’s been photoshopping an image of Paddington Bear once a day into a movie. When I looked today he was on Day 77. Link.

H/T to Charles Arthur.


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Tuesday 25 May, 2021

Cloudscape

Seen on our cycle to the postbox today.


Quote of the Day

”Architecture is the art of how to waste space”.

  • Philip Johnson

Musical alternative to the morning’s radio news

Joseph Haydn | Piano Sonata nº 59 in E flat, Hob. XVI:49 | Alfred Brendel

Link

21 minutes of pure delight. And a good excuse for a second cup of coffee.


Long Read of the Day

How the Covid pandemic ends: Scientists look to the past to see the future

Very interesting piece by Helen Branswell, who’s an experienced and distinguished medical journalist. (In 2010-11 she was a Nieman Global Health Fellow at Harvard, where she focused on polio eradication. And in 2020 she received the George Polk Award in the public service category for her coverage of the Covid-19 pandemic.)

The truth is, she says, that pandemics always end. And to date vaccines have never played a significant role in ending them. (That doesn’t mean vaccines aren’t playing a critical role this time. Far fewer people will die from Covid-19 because of them.)

So how did previous pandemics end?

The viruses didn’t go away; a descendent of the Spanish flu virus, the modern H1N1, circulates to this day, as does H3N2. Humans didn’t develop herd immunity to them, either. That’s a phenomenon by which a pathogen stops spreading because so many people are protected against it, because they’ve already been infected or vaccinated.

Instead, the viruses that caused these pandemics underwent a transition. Or more to the point, we did. Our immune systems learned enough about them to fend off the deadliest manifestations of infection, at least most of the time. Humans and viruses reached an immunological détente. Instead of causing tsunamis of devastating illness, over time the viruses came to trigger small surges of milder illness. Pandemic flu became seasonal flu.

The viruses became endemic…

Read on.


Why CAPTCHAs are getting harder

Useful video explanation by Vox. Eight minutes well spent.

Thanks to the kind reader who spotted it.


Currys Law: how everything that can go wrong, will go wrong

(& why Amazon will rule the world)

Lovely blog post by Geoff Mulgan on the amazing incompetence and inefficiency of many companies (to the point where one wonders why they are not insolvent).

This is a boring blog. You can jump a few paragraphs down to the punchline if you like. It’s about the remarkable, indeed baffling, inefficiency of some big organisations. As a customer or passenger I can’t help but notice how systems are organised – so this piece is about how even the most basic things can be got wrong and how they could be put right.

It’s about very trivial problems by comparison with pandemics, disease and unemployment. But I suspect we all sometimes find that very trivial things take up a ridiculous amount of time and even emotional energy, crowding out the more important things we would rather have to think about. So this – a story about my failure to buy a cooker, and the larger failure of parts of British business to run themselves well – is in part personal therapy to get it off my chest.

Here goes. I bought a Rangemaster cooker from Currys/Dixons in mid-June 2020, to replace a similar older model which was broken. I also opted for installation and removal of the old cooker in the order. The delivery date, initially promised for 29th June, was repeatedly postponed, but eventually was fixed for August 15th. When the team arrived it turned out there was no gas installer with them and so no delivery was made.

If you’ve dealt with one of these companies, you could write the story yourself.

“On 23rd March (2021) — i.e. eight months after ordering the cooker,

the delivery lorry arrived, for the fifth time. As I had feared they said they could not deliver because of the steps. I told them I had offered to organise carriers but had been told this wasn’t necessary. They told me to take this up with customer services. Eventually I got through to them – to be told that the order had been cancelled, by them.

Geoff doesn’t tell us when the cooker was eventually up and running. But as I read the saga it brought to mind the problems we had with BT and getting fibre to our house some years ago. But that’s for another day…


The Colonial Pipeline Ransomware Hackers Had a Secret Weapon: Self-Promoting Cybersecurity Firms

Great ProPublica story, though one that’s sadly predictable.

On Jan. 11, antivirus company Bitdefender said it was “happy to announce” a startling breakthrough. It had found a flaw in the ransomware that a gang known as DarkSide was using to freeze computer networks of dozens of businesses in the U.S. and Europe. Companies facing demands from DarkSide could download a free tool from Bitdefender and avoid paying millions of dollars in ransom to the hackers.

But Bitdefender wasn’t the first to identify this flaw. Two other researchers, Fabian Wosar and Michael Gillespie, had noticed it the month before and had begun discreetly looking for victims to help. By publicizing its tool, Bitdefender alerted DarkSide to the lapse, which involved reusing the same digital keys to lock and unlock multiple victims. The next day, DarkSide declared that it had repaired the problem, and that “new companies have nothing to hope for.”

“Special thanks to BitDefender for helping fix our issues,” DarkSide said. “This will make us even better.”

DarkSide soon proved it wasn’t bluffing, unleashing a string of attacks — including the one on the Colonial pipeline.

This has been a feature of cybercrime stories for ages — most of the media coverage comes in the shape of quotes from the myriad ‘cybersecurity’ firms that inhabit this shadowy underworld. Some of them may be perfectly reputable. But one wonders…


What’s your favourite Bob Dylan song?

He was 80 yesterday. Can you believe it? The Guardian had a nice idea — to ask Mick Jagger, Marianne Faithfull, Tom Jones, Judy Collins and more for their favourite Dylan number.

Jagger’s was Desolation Row (predictable, that). Tom Jones’s was Blowin’ in the Wind. Mine too.


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